Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC
Game starts in 9d 15h 5m
Song Yadong
vs
Deiveson Figueiredo
AI Confidence: โก67%
Winner: Song Yadong (โก67%)
Spread: Song Yadong -1.5 Rounds (-1.5) (โก65%)
Total: Over 3.5 (60%)
Get $5 Free Bet โ No Deposit Required
Bet Song Yadong ยท AI confidence 67%
18+ ยท Play Responsibly ยท Predictify Sports may earn commission ยท Affiliate disclosure
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction
This bantamweight main event features the younger, high-volume striker Song Yadong against the experienced former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo. Song's youth and consistent bantamweight performance give him an advantage, while Figueiredo's grappling and finishing ability remain a threat. The fight is expected to be competitive but lean towards Song.
Song Yadong face Deiveson Figueiredo on Saturday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.
FIGHT WINNER
Song Yadong
Predicted: 49-46
โก67%
Song Yadong, at 28, is significantly younger than the 38-year-old Deiveson Figueiredo, which often translates to better endurance and recovery in the unpredictable bantamweight division. Song possesses higher striking volume (4.42 significant strikes landed per minute) and slightly better striking defense (55%) compared to Figueiredo's 3.09 SLpM and 52% strike defense. While Figueiredo is a former two-time flyweight champion with a strong grappling background and finishing prowess (9 KOs, 9 submissions), his recent move to bantamweight has seen mixed results, including a TKO loss due to injury and a decision loss in his last two fights. Song is coming off a competitive loss to Sean O'Malley but has a strong record against other top contenders in the bantamweight division. The age difference, combined with Song's consistent performance at bantamweight and superior striking metrics, gives him the edge in this matchup.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Song Yadong -1.5 Rounds (-1.5)
65%
Given Song Yadong is a strong favorite with his striking volume and defensive capabilities, a victory by winning at least 3 out of 5 rounds or a finish seems probable. Figueiredo, despite his experience, has shown some vulnerabilities in recent bantamweight outings, making it harder for him to grind out a close decision against a younger, high-output striker. This pick requires Song to win dominantly enough to cover the round handicap.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 3.5
60%
Both fighters are highly skilled and durable, having faced top competition. While both have finishing capabilities, a significant portion of their recent high-level fights have gone to decision. Figueiredo, even at 38, is known for his toughness, and Song has proven he can go the distance in 5-round main events. Expect a strategic fight that likely extends into the championship rounds.
๐ More Markets
๐ Additional Markets
Method of Victory
Song Yadong by Decision
While Song has knockout power, many of his recent high-level fights have gone to decision. Figueiredo is tough and experienced, making it likely he can survive for five rounds, leading to a judges' decision.
Round Betting
Fight goes to Decision: Yes
Both fighters have proven their ability to endure five rounds against tough opponents. Given the high stakes and their respective skill sets, a cautious and technical battle resulting in a decision is a strong possibility.
Alternative Total Rounds
Over 4.5 Rounds
Considering this is a five-round main event and both fighters' durability, going past the midway point of the fifth round is a reasonable expectation if the fight avoids an early finish.
Exact Round of Finish
Song Yadong in Round 4 or 5
If Song is to get a finish, it's more likely to come in the later rounds as Figueiredo tires and absorbs damage, given Song's consistent pressure and volume.
Fight to go the distance
Yes
Both are ranked bantamweights, suggesting a high level of skill and toughness. It's plausible that neither fighter will be able to secure a finish within the allotted time, leading to a decision.
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo โ Key Stats (AI)
No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.
Betting Angles โ Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo
โ ๏ธ Moneyline: Deiveson Figueiredo
The implied probability for Figueiredo at +300 (4.00 decimal odds) is 25%. Our model estimates his win probability slightly higher at 28%. While a small edge, Figueiredo's experience and dangerous finishing ability present some value given the perceived underdog status by bookmakers, especially in an unpredictable sport like MMA.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Indications are that sharp money is aligning with the favored Song Yadong, driving his odds even shorter on some books. Line movement: Initial lines established Song Yadong as a clear favorite, and recent movements suggest the line is continuing to shorten in his favor, making Figueiredo an even bigger underdog.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 5.31 (+431)
AI Confidence: 62%
$10 โ $53.10 | $25 โ $132.75 | $50 โ $265.50
Correlation: Positive correlation, as Song winning by decision aligns with the fight going over 3.5 rounds and him being the outright winner.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธFigueiredo's proven finishing ability (KO/Sub)
- โ ๏ธUnpredictability of MMA, where one strike can change the fight
- โ ๏ธAge factor for Figueiredo could lead to either a quick finish or a rapid decline in later rounds
- โ ๏ธPotential for a 'grappling trap' from Figueiredo, a BJJ black belt
Data Quality Score
โก72%
Data quality: High
Limitations
- โขMMA is highly unpredictable, and single moments can change outcomes.
- โขFigueiredo's age and recent performance introduce a higher degree of variability.
- โขDetailed betting lines for specific round totals and method of victory were not fully comprehensive from search results, requiring some estimation.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo โ FAQ
Song Yadong's key strengths lie in his youth, higher striking volume, and good striking defense. He's a powerful striker with a strong chin, consistently performing well in the bantamweight division.
Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone โ confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.