🥊 UFC

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 20d 18h 38m

Shauna Bannon

Shauna Bannon

vs

Nicolle Caliari

Nicolle Caliari

Shauna Bannon

AI Confidence: 67%

Winner: Shauna Bannon (67%)

Method: Decision

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Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Prediction

Shauna Bannon is favored to win against Nicolle Caliari in what is anticipated to be a competitive strawweight bout. Bannon's striking volume and recent win give her an edge, while Caliari's power and grappling are her main threats.

AI-powered prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Shauna Bannon

67%

Shauna Bannon, fighting at home in Las Vegas, holds a slight height and reach advantage over Nicolle Caliari. Bannon has shown good striking volume, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute, and has demonstrated resilience after recovering from knee surgery, securing a submission win in March 2025. While Caliari possesses more professional experience and a higher number of KO/TKO finishes, her recent UFC outings have resulted in two consecutive losses, including a TKO stoppage in July 2025 and a unanimous decision loss in January 2025. Caliari's takedown accuracy is noted, but Bannon's 40% sprawl defense suggests she can defend against grappling attempts. Given Bannon's recent momentum, her striking output, and the fact that Caliari has struggled to secure a win in her recent UFC appearances, Bannon is likely to control the pace and secure a decision victory. Caliari's power and submission threat mean Bannon will need to be cautious, but Bannon's ability to dictate the striking exchanges and defend takedowns should see her through to the final bell. The fight is expected to be competitive, going the distance due to both fighters' toughness, with Bannon edging out the rounds.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: Round 3

67%

Shauna Bannon, fighting at home in Las Vegas, holds a slight height and reach advantage over Nicolle Caliari. Bannon has shown good striking volume, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute, and has demonstrated resilience after recovering from knee surgery, securing a submission win in March 2025. While Caliari possesses more professional experience and a higher number of KO/TKO finishes, her recent UFC outings have resulted in two consecutive losses, including a TKO stoppage in July 2025 and a unanimous decision loss in January 2025. Caliari's takedown accuracy is noted, but Bannon's 40% sprawl defense suggests she can defend against grappling attempts. Given Bannon's recent momentum, her striking output, and the fact that Caliari has struggled to secure a win in her recent UFC appearances, Bannon is likely to control the pace and secure a decision victory. Caliari's power and submission threat mean Bannon will need to be cautious, but Bannon's ability to dictate the striking exchanges and defend takedowns should see her through to the final bell. The fight is expected to be competitive, going the distance due to both fighters' toughness, with Bannon edging out the rounds.

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Key Stats (AI)

Shauna BannonStatNicolle Caliari
67% AI Win Probability33%
75% Model Confidence

Betting Angles Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

💰 Sharp Money

N/A (Odds not available) Line movement: N/A (Odds not available)

Model Confidence

75%

Data quality: High, recent fight data and fighter statistics are readily available and consistent across multiple sources.

Limitations

  • Lack of current betting odds prevents analysis of market sentiment and line movement.
  • Specific training camp details and last-minute fighter conditions are not fully known.
  • The exact weight class for Caliari has varied in her career, though this fight is confirmed at Strawweight, which could impact her performance if it's a significant cut for her.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 16, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, held at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.