๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Full TimeShauna Bannon 0 โ€“ 1 Nicolle Caliari
โŒ Prediction Incorrect

Predicted

Shauna Bannon

Actual

Nicolle Caliari 0-1

Shauna Bannon

Shauna Bannon

vs

Nicolle Caliari

Nicolle Caliari

Shauna Bannon

AI Confidence: โšก67%

Winner: Shauna Bannon (โšก67%)

Method: Decision

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Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Prediction

Shauna Bannon is favored to win against Nicolle Caliari in what is anticipated to be a competitive strawweight bout. Bannon's striking volume and recent win give her an edge, while Caliari's power and grappling are her main threats.

AI-powered prediction

Shauna Bannon face Nicolle Caliari on Saturday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

FIGHT WINNER

Shauna Bannon

โšก67%

Shauna Bannon, fighting at home in Las Vegas, holds a slight height and reach advantage over Nicolle Caliari. Bannon has shown good striking volume, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute, and has demonstrated resilience after recovering from knee surgery, securing a submission win in March 2025. While Caliari possesses more professional experience and a higher number of KO/TKO finishes, her recent UFC outings have resulted in two consecutive losses, including a TKO stoppage in July 2025 and a unanimous decision loss in January 2025. Caliari's takedown accuracy is noted, but Bannon's 40% sprawl defense suggests she can defend against grappling attempts. Given Bannon's recent momentum, her striking output, and the fact that Caliari has struggled to secure a win in her recent UFC appearances, Bannon is likely to control the pace and secure a decision victory. Caliari's power and submission threat mean Bannon will need to be cautious, but Bannon's ability to dictate the striking exchanges and defend takedowns should see her through to the final bell. The fight is expected to be competitive, going the distance due to both fighters' toughness, with Bannon edging out the rounds.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: Round 3

67%

Shauna Bannon, fighting at home in Las Vegas, holds a slight height and reach advantage over Nicolle Caliari. Bannon has shown good striking volume, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute, and has demonstrated resilience after recovering from knee surgery, securing a submission win in March 2025. While Caliari possesses more professional experience and a higher number of KO/TKO finishes, her recent UFC outings have resulted in two consecutive losses, including a TKO stoppage in July 2025 and a unanimous decision loss in January 2025. Caliari's takedown accuracy is noted, but Bannon's 40% sprawl defense suggests she can defend against grappling attempts. Given Bannon's recent momentum, her striking output, and the fact that Caliari has struggled to secure a win in her recent UFC appearances, Bannon is likely to control the pace and secure a decision victory. Caliari's power and submission threat mean Bannon will need to be cautious, but Bannon's ability to dictate the striking exchanges and defend takedowns should see her through to the final bell. The fight is expected to be competitive, going the distance due to both fighters' toughness, with Bannon edging out the rounds.

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Shauna BannonStatNicolle Caliari
67% โœ…AI Win Probability33%
75% โœ…Data Quality Scoreโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

Betting Angles โ€” Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (Odds not available) Line movement: N/A (Odds not available)

Risk Assessment

Specific risk factors for this matchup are evaluated as data populates. Whatever the model output, factor your own bankroll discipline โ€” single-match outcomes are noisy by nature, and even high-confidence picks miss often enough to matter.

Data Quality Score

โšก75%

Data quality: High, recent fight data and fighter statistics are readily available and consistent across multiple sources.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of current betting odds prevents analysis of market sentiment and line movement.
  • โ€ขSpecific training camp details and last-minute fighter conditions are not fully known.
  • โ€ขThe exact weight class for Caliari has varied in her career, though this fight is confirmed at Strawweight, which could impact her performance if it's a significant cut for her.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 16, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, held at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone โ€” confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.