๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Friday, May 29, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC

Game starts in 7d 18h 0m

Ryoga Arimoto

Ryoga Arimoto

vs

Shiki Takei

Shiki Takei

Ryoga Arimoto

AI Confidence: 59%

Winner: Ryoga Arimoto (59%)

Method: Decision

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Ryoga Arimoto vs Shiki Takei Prediction

Ryoga Arimoto is favored to win a close decision against the undefeated Joseph Larcinese in their 'Road to UFC' flyweight bout. Arimoto's experience and diverse skillset are expected to be key factors.

AI-powered prediction

Ryoga Arimoto face Shiki Takei on Friday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

FIGHT WINNER

Ryoga Arimoto

59%

This prediction is based on the assumption that the user intended to ask for Ryoga Arimoto vs Joseph Larcinese, as 'Shiki Takei' is a boxer and not scheduled to fight Arimoto in MMA. Ryoga Arimoto (10-1-2) has a more extensive and diverse MMA record, including a balanced mix of KO/TKO, decision, and submission victories, and is currently on a five-fight winning streak. Joseph Larcinese (5-0-0) is an undefeated prospect with a notable win over a Contender Series veteran, indicating high potential. However, Arimoto's greater experience and proven ability to go the distance in competitive bouts give him a slight edge. The fight is expected to be closely contested, likely going to the judges' scorecards due to both fighters' skill and the high stakes of a 'Road to UFC' event.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: Full Fight (3 Rounds)

59%

This prediction is based on the assumption that the user intended to ask for Ryoga Arimoto vs Joseph Larcinese, as 'Shiki Takei' is a boxer and not scheduled to fight Arimoto in MMA. Ryoga Arimoto (10-1-2) has a more extensive and diverse MMA record, including a balanced mix of KO/TKO, decision, and submission victories, and is currently on a five-fight winning streak. Joseph Larcinese (5-0-0) is an undefeated prospect with a notable win over a Contender Series veteran, indicating high potential. However, Arimoto's greater experience and proven ability to go the distance in competitive bouts give him a slight edge. The fight is expected to be closely contested, likely going to the judges' scorecards due to both fighters' skill and the high stakes of a 'Road to UFC' event.

Ryoga Arimoto vs Shiki Takei โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Ryoga ArimotoStatShiki Takei
59% โœ…AI Win Probability41%
68% โœ…Data Quality Scoreโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

Betting Angles โ€” Ryoga Arimoto vs Shiki Takei

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A - Odds are not available for this 'Road to UFC' preliminary bout at this time. Line movement: N/A - Odds are not available for this 'Road to UFC' preliminary bout at this time.

Risk Assessment

Specific risk factors for this matchup are evaluated as data populates. Whatever the model output, factor your own bankroll discipline โ€” single-match outcomes are noisy by nature, and even high-confidence picks miss often enough to matter.

Data Quality Score

โšก68%

Data quality: Good for Ryoga Arimoto's record and general fight details. Limited detailed statistical breakdown for Joseph Larcinese's finishing methods, but his overall undefeated record and a key win are strong indicators.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of detailed method of victory breakdown for Joseph Larcinese's undefeated record.
  • โ€ขNo direct head-to-head metrics or common opponents for a more precise comparison.
  • โ€ขUFC-specific striking and grappling statistics are not yet applicable for 'Road to UFC' fighters.
  • โ€ขThe initial prompt contained an incorrect opponent, requiring an assumption for the prediction.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Ryoga Arimoto vs Shiki Takei โ€” FAQ

No, this fight is part of 'Road to UFC 5.3 + 5.4', which is a series designed to find new talent for the UFC roster, not a main card UFC event.

Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone โ€” confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.