๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Saturday, May 2, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 16d 21h 19m

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

vs

Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott

Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott

Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott

AI Confidence: โšก75%

Winner: Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott (โšก75%)

Method: Decision

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott Prediction

A compelling flyweight clash between rising Australian prospect Steve Erceg and seasoned American veteran Tim Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates in Perth. Erceg aims to build momentum after a tough run against top contenders, while Elliott looks to continue his late-career resurgence with his unorthodox style.

AI-powered prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott

โšก75%

Steve Erceg, fighting in his home country of Australia, will face the unorthodox and highly experienced Tim Elliott. Erceg, a younger fighter, has recently faced top-tier competition, including a title shot, which has honed his skills despite some losses. His striking is precise, and he possesses solid grappling defense. Tim Elliott, a veteran known for his relentless pace, awkward striking, and strong submission game, presents a unique challenge. While Elliott is on a two-fight win streak, including a remarkable victory where he fought with a fractured leg, his age (39) and history of injuries could be a factor. Erceg's ability to defend takedowns and maintain striking distance will be crucial. I anticipate Erceg's technical striking and slightly superior athleticism will allow him to outpoint Elliott over three rounds, navigating Elliott's unconventional attacks and securing a decision victory. Elliott's extreme durability makes a stoppage unlikely, but Erceg's consistent output and ability to adapt will be the difference.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: N/A (Decision)

75%

Steve Erceg, fighting in his home country of Australia, will face the unorthodox and highly experienced Tim Elliott. Erceg, a younger fighter, has recently faced top-tier competition, including a title shot, which has honed his skills despite some losses. His striking is precise, and he possesses solid grappling defense. Tim Elliott, a veteran known for his relentless pace, awkward striking, and strong submission game, presents a unique challenge. While Elliott is on a two-fight win streak, including a remarkable victory where he fought with a fractured leg, his age (39) and history of injuries could be a factor. Erceg's ability to defend takedowns and maintain striking distance will be crucial. I anticipate Erceg's technical striking and slightly superior athleticism will allow him to outpoint Elliott over three rounds, navigating Elliott's unconventional attacks and securing a decision victory. Elliott's extreme durability makes a stoppage unlikely, but Erceg's consistent output and ability to adapt will be the difference.

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott โ€” Key Stats (AI)

AustraliaStatElliott
25% AI Win Probability25%
75% โœ…Model Confidence2025

Betting Angles โ€” RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without actual odds, it's hard to determine sharp money. However, if Erceg opens as a significant favorite, sharp money might look at Elliott as a live underdog due to his tricky style and grappling threat. If the line is close, it suggests a highly competitive matchup. Line movement: N/A (Odds not available)

Model Confidence

โšก75%

Data quality: High. Extensive recent fight data, injury reports, and fighter interviews are available for both competitors, including specific details about their last fights in late 2025 and early 2026.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of official betting odds prevents analysis of line movement and sharp money.
  • โ€ขElliott's age and recent leg injury (though reportedly healed) introduce a small degree of uncertainty regarding his physical state, despite his claims of feeling good.
  • โ€ขThe 'awkward' nature of Elliott's style can sometimes defy statistical prediction.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Steve Erceg vs. Tim Elliott โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 2, 2026, at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, as part of UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates.