Saturday, May 2, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Game starts in 16d 14h 18m
RAC Arena, Perth, Australia
vs
Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele
AI Confidence: โก78%
Winner: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (โก78%)
Method: Decision - Unanimous
RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele Prediction
A compelling lightweight clash between two grappling specialists, with Dom Mar Fan making his official UFC debut on a strong win streak against Kody Steele, who looks to rebound from a 'Fight of the Night' loss in his first UFC appearance.
FIGHT WINNER
Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele
โก78%
This lightweight bout between Dom Mar Fan and Kody Steele pits two highly skilled grapplers against each other, with Mar Fan holding a slight edge in recent momentum and overall striking efficiency. Dom Mar Fan, 'Street Buddha,' enters his official UFC debut on a five-fight win streak, culminating in his Road to UFC Season 4 lightweight final victory. His strong jiu-jitsu foundation and effective takedowns (50% accuracy) have been key to his success. He also boasts superior striking accuracy (56%) and absorbs significantly fewer strikes per minute (2.49) compared to Steele. Kody Steele, a black belt grappler and former Combat Jiu-Jitsu world champion, is known for his ability to blend grappling with striking. He earned his UFC contract via Dana White's Contender Series but lost his UFC debut in a 'Fight of the Night' performance. While Steele has a 100% takedown defense in his limited UFC outings, Mar Fan's consistent pressure and offensive grappling, combined with his reach advantage (75" vs 71"), could prove challenging. Given both fighters' grappling prowess, it's likely this fight will see significant exchanges on the feet and on the ground. Mar Fan's superior striking defense and higher output in significant strikes landed per minute (3.71 vs 4.44, but with much better accuracy) suggest he can control the pace and land more effectively. Steele's resilience was evident in his UFC debut, indicating he's tough to finish. Therefore, a decision victory for the more consistent and defensively sound Dom Mar Fan seems the most probable outcome.
METHOD OF VICTORY
Decision - Unanimous
Round: N/A (Full 3 Rounds)
78%
This lightweight bout between Dom Mar Fan and Kody Steele pits two highly skilled grapplers against each other, with Mar Fan holding a slight edge in recent momentum and overall striking efficiency. Dom Mar Fan, 'Street Buddha,' enters his official UFC debut on a five-fight win streak, culminating in his Road to UFC Season 4 lightweight final victory. His strong jiu-jitsu foundation and effective takedowns (50% accuracy) have been key to his success. He also boasts superior striking accuracy (56%) and absorbs significantly fewer strikes per minute (2.49) compared to Steele. Kody Steele, a black belt grappler and former Combat Jiu-Jitsu world champion, is known for his ability to blend grappling with striking. He earned his UFC contract via Dana White's Contender Series but lost his UFC debut in a 'Fight of the Night' performance. While Steele has a 100% takedown defense in his limited UFC outings, Mar Fan's consistent pressure and offensive grappling, combined with his reach advantage (75" vs 71"), could prove challenging. Given both fighters' grappling prowess, it's likely this fight will see significant exchanges on the feet and on the ground. Mar Fan's superior striking defense and higher output in significant strikes landed per minute (3.71 vs 4.44, but with much better accuracy) suggest he can control the pace and land more effectively. Steele's resilience was evident in his UFC debut, indicating he's tough to finish. Therefore, a decision victory for the more consistent and defensively sound Dom Mar Fan seems the most probable outcome.
RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele โ Key Stats (AI)
Betting Angles โ RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A (Odds not available) Line movement: N/A (Odds not available)
Model Confidence
โก85%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive information on both fighters' records, styles, and recent performances was available through Google Search, including specific UFC and Road to UFC results.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of official betting odds makes it impossible to gauge market sentiment or sharp money movement.
- โขLimited UFC sample size for Kody Steele's advanced statistics (e.g., 100% takedown defense based on one fight).
- โขNo specific injury or last-minute lineup news available, assuming both fighters are healthy and ready.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
RAC Arena, Perth, Australia vs Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele โ FAQ
The fight is scheduled for May 2, 2026, at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, as part of UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates.