Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento Prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Allan Nascimento

⚡85%

Allan Nascimento (22-6) enters this bout with significant momentum, boasting a 4-1 UFC record and a recent Performance of the Night bonus for a submission victory over Cody Durden in November 2025. Nascimento is a world-class grappler with a high submission rate, having secured 15 of his 22 wins by submission. His striking accuracy and output are also superior to Raposo's. Mitch Raposo (10-3) is a strong wrestler, coming off his first UFC win against Azat Maksum in October 2025. However, he has shown vulnerability to submissions in the past, notably being submitted by Jake Hadley on the Contender Series. While Raposo's wrestling could pose a challenge, Nascimento's elite jiu-jitsu and ability to find finishes from various positions make him a dangerous opponent on the ground. Given Nascimento's proven submission prowess, his recent form, and Raposo's past submission loss, Nascimento is highly favored to secure a submission victory. The betting lines also reflect Nascimento as the favorite. While Raposo is durable, Nascimento has demonstrated the ability to finish fights in the second round, as seen in his last outing.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Submission

Round: Round 2

85%

Allan Nascimento (22-6) enters this bout with significant momentum, boasting a 4-1 UFC record and a recent Performance of the Night bonus for a submission victory over Cody Durden in November 2025. Nascimento is a world-class grappler with a high submission rate, having secured 15 of his 22 wins by submission. His striking accuracy and output are also superior to Raposo's. Mitch Raposo (10-3) is a strong wrestler, coming off his first UFC win against Azat Maksum in October 2025. However, he has shown vulnerability to submissions in the past, notably being submitted by Jake Hadley on the Contender Series. While Raposo's wrestling could pose a challenge, Nascimento's elite jiu-jitsu and ability to find finishes from various positions make him a dangerous opponent on the ground. Given Nascimento's proven submission prowess, his recent form, and Raposo's past submission loss, Nascimento is highly favored to secure a submission victory. The betting lines also reflect Nascimento as the favorite. While Raposo is durable, Nascimento has demonstrated the ability to finish fights in the second round, as seen in his last outing.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money appears to be on Allan Nascimento, as indicated by his favorite status in early odds. Line movement: No significant line movement information is available yet, but the initial odds position Nascimento as a solid favorite (-190).