Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain Prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Charles Jourdain

Predicted: 29-28

⚡68%

Charles Jourdain enters this co-main event in his home country of Canada with strong momentum, having secured back-to-back guillotine choke submission victories in his last two outings at Bantamweight, earning him Performance of the Night bonuses. His aggressive striking style, coupled with opportunistic grappling, has proven effective since his move to the 135-pound division where he is 2-0. Kyler Phillips, on the other hand, is coming off two consecutive unanimous decision losses to Vinicius Oliveira and Rob Font, indicating a recent dip in form. While Phillips possesses a diverse skill set with a strong wrestling and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background, Jourdain's finishing ability and the palpable energy from the home crowd could be decisive factors in a close contest.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Charles Jourdain Moneyline (-155)

70%

Charles Jourdain is the favored fighter with moneyline odds typically around -155. Given his recent impressive finishes and the home crowd advantage, betting on Jourdain to win outright offers a solid pick. Although UFC doesn't use traditional point spreads, his status as the favorite aligns with his current performance trajectory. Phillips' recent struggles make Jourdain a more reliable moneyline play here.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 2.5

60%

While Charles Jourdain has shown a propensity for finishes, Kyler Phillips has strong defensive grappling (75% takedown defense) and has frequently gone to decision, even in losses. This suggests Phillips could extend the fight, making it likely to go beyond 2.5 rounds. Phillips' durability and diverse skill set will challenge Jourdain to find an early finish.

⚠️ Method of Victory: Charles Jourdain by Submission

Jourdain has secured back-to-back guillotine choke submissions in his last two fights, demonstrating his high-level grappling and opportunistic finishing ability. Phillips, while defensively sound, could be susceptible if Jourdain can create scrambles, and the odds for a submission win for Jourdain offer good value based on recent performance.

⚠️ Fight to Go the Distance: Yes

Phillips has a history of going to decision, even in his recent losses, and possesses strong defensive wrestling which could negate some of Jourdain's finishing attempts. While Jourdain has finishes, Phillips' durability makes a decision outcome a strong possibility, suggesting value in the 'Yes' for fight to go the distance.

💰 Sharp Money

Information on sharp money is not publicly available without specialized betting tools, but the line movement (if any) will indicate where professional bettors are placing their wagers. Line movement: Initial lines have Charles Jourdain as the favorite (around -155 to -175), suggesting that the market generally agrees with his projected success. Any significant movement closer to fight night will indicate concentrated betting activity.