๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

Full TimeKing Green 1 โ€“ 0 Jeremy Stephens
โœ… Prediction Correct

Predicted

King Green

Actual

King Green 1-0

King Green

King Green

vs

Jeremy Stephens

Jeremy Stephens

King Green

AI Confidence: โšก67%

Winner: King Green (โšก67%)

Method: Decision

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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens Prediction

This lightweight bout features two seasoned veterans, King Green (formerly Bobby Green) and Jeremy Stephens, both 39 years old. Green enters with recent momentum, including a TKO win in February 2026, while Stephens is looking to rebound from a loss in his UFC return in May 2025.

AI-powered prediction

King Green face Jeremy Stephens on Sunday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

FIGHT WINNER

King Green

โšก67%

King Green, at 39, has shown remarkable recent form and resilience, including a second-round TKO victory in February 2026 where he overcame significant underdog odds and showcased slick head movement and counter-striking. He has a strong striking accuracy of 53% and a robust striking defense of 62%. Jeremy Stephens, also 39, is a powerful striker known as 'Lil Heathen,' but his recent MMA record has been less consistent, with a loss in his UFC return in May 2025 and a 1-4 record in his last five MMA fights across UFC and PFL. While Stephens always carries knockout power, Green's recent activity, defensive prowess, and ability to absorb pressure suggest he can navigate Stephens' early flurries. Green's veteran savvy and consistent output are likely to earn him a decision victory over the course of the fight, as Stephens has shown signs of decline in his MMA career despite success in bare-knuckle boxing.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: Full Fight

67%

King Green, at 39, has shown remarkable recent form and resilience, including a second-round TKO victory in February 2026 where he overcame significant underdog odds and showcased slick head movement and counter-striking. He has a strong striking accuracy of 53% and a robust striking defense of 62%. Jeremy Stephens, also 39, is a powerful striker known as 'Lil Heathen,' but his recent MMA record has been less consistent, with a loss in his UFC return in May 2025 and a 1-4 record in his last five MMA fights across UFC and PFL. While Stephens always carries knockout power, Green's recent activity, defensive prowess, and ability to absorb pressure suggest he can navigate Stephens' early flurries. Green's veteran savvy and consistent output are likely to earn him a decision victory over the course of the fight, as Stephens has shown signs of decline in his MMA career despite success in bare-knuckle boxing.

King Green vs Jeremy Stephens โ€” Key Stats (AI)

King GreenStatJeremy Stephens
67% โœ…AI Win Probability33%
75% โœ…Data Quality Scoreโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

Betting Angles โ€” King Green vs Jeremy Stephens

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money might lean towards Green for a decision victory, considering his defensive capabilities and Stephens' durability but declining offensive output in MMA. However, Stephens' knockout power could attract some speculative bets. Line movement: Without initial odds, it's hard to predict movement, but if Green opens as a slight favorite, the line might move further in his favor as fight night approaches, especially with public awareness of his recent TKO win. If Stephens opens as an underdog, his power might keep the line from widening too much.

Risk Assessment

Specific risk factors for this matchup are evaluated as data populates. Whatever the model output, factor your own bankroll discipline โ€” single-match outcomes are noisy by nature, and even high-confidence picks miss often enough to matter.

Data Quality Score

โšก75%

Data quality: High. Extensive recent fight data, career statistics, and news for both fighters were readily available and consistent across multiple sources, including official UFC and MMA record sites.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific injury reports for the immediate lead-up to this particular fight (though Green had a cancelled bout in Aug 2025, he has fought since).
  • โ€ขJeremy Stephens' potential motivation or focus given his recent comments about retirement and interest in other combat sports.
  • โ€ขThe unpredictable nature of veteran fights where a single moment can change the outcome.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

King Green vs Jeremy Stephens โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 9, 2026, at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland.

Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone โ€” confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.