Jeisla Chaves vs Yuneisy Duben Prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Jeisla Chaves

⚡67%

Jeisla Chaves enters this bout with an undefeated professional record of 7-0-0, showcasing a balanced skill set with 57% of her wins coming by KO/TKO and 43% by decision. She recently earned her UFC contract through a 'bloody war' decision victory on Dana White's Contender Series in September 2025, demonstrating significant durability and heart. Chaves exhibits solid striking defense (60%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (4.27) compared to her opponent. Yuneisy Duben, with a record of 6-1-0, is a high-volume, aggressive striker, landing 13.53 significant strikes per minute. She possesses significant knockout power, with 66.7% or 83% of her wins coming by KO/TKO, including a viral one-punch knockout on Contender Series. However, Duben's aggressive style often leaves her vulnerable, as evidenced by her higher significant strikes absorbed per minute (10.75) and lower striking defense (53%). Her UFC debut in March 2025 resulted in a first-round TKO loss to Carli Judice, where she appeared 'overmatched'. Chaves's superior defensive metrics, undefeated record, and proven ability to withstand punishment give her a distinct advantage. While Duben's power is a threat, her tendency to absorb strikes and her recent TKO loss suggest a vulnerability that Chaves can exploit. Chaves is also slightly taller and has a longer reach. I anticipate Chaves will weather Duben's initial storm, utilize her better defense and counter-striking, and eventually overwhelm Duben with consistent pressure, leading to a TKO victory in the second round as Duben's aggression leaves her exposed.

METHOD OF VICTORY

KO/TKO

Round: Round 2

67%

Jeisla Chaves enters this bout with an undefeated professional record of 7-0-0, showcasing a balanced skill set with 57% of her wins coming by KO/TKO and 43% by decision. She recently earned her UFC contract through a 'bloody war' decision victory on Dana White's Contender Series in September 2025, demonstrating significant durability and heart. Chaves exhibits solid striking defense (60%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (4.27) compared to her opponent. Yuneisy Duben, with a record of 6-1-0, is a high-volume, aggressive striker, landing 13.53 significant strikes per minute. She possesses significant knockout power, with 66.7% or 83% of her wins coming by KO/TKO, including a viral one-punch knockout on Contender Series. However, Duben's aggressive style often leaves her vulnerable, as evidenced by her higher significant strikes absorbed per minute (10.75) and lower striking defense (53%). Her UFC debut in March 2025 resulted in a first-round TKO loss to Carli Judice, where she appeared 'overmatched'. Chaves's superior defensive metrics, undefeated record, and proven ability to withstand punishment give her a distinct advantage. While Duben's power is a threat, her tendency to absorb strikes and her recent TKO loss suggest a vulnerability that Chaves can exploit. Chaves is also slightly taller and has a longer reach. I anticipate Chaves will weather Duben's initial storm, utilize her better defense and counter-striking, and eventually overwhelm Duben with consistent pressure, leading to a TKO victory in the second round as Duben's aggression leaves her exposed.

💰 Sharp Money

N/A - Odds are not yet available for this fight, so sharp money movements cannot be tracked. Line movement: N/A - As odds are not available, there is no line movement to report.