๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Sunday, Apr 19, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC

Match In Progress
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasmine Jasudavicius

vs

Karine Silva

Karine Silva

Jasmine Jasudavicius

AI Confidence: โšก65%

Winner: Jasmine Jasudavicius (โšก65%)

Spread: Jasmine Jasudavicius Moneyline (-170) (โšก68%)

Total: Over 2.5 (โšก70%)

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva Prediction

This flyweight bout features two top-10 contenders with strong grappling backgrounds. Jasmine Jasudavicius's wrestling and control are expected to counter Karine Silva's aggressive submission game, leading to a competitive, likely decision-based fight. Jasudavicius's consistency and defensive prowess give her a slight edge.

AI-powered prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Predicted: Jasmine Jasudavicius by Unanimous Decision

โšก65%

Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-4-0) is the #7 ranked UFC flyweight, known for her strong grappling, wrestling, and ground control, holding a BJJ Black Belt. She boasts superior striking accuracy (45%) and defense (51%) compared to Silva. While Karine Silva (19-6-0) is a dangerous submission specialist, her recent fights have shown a tendency to go to decision, with two decision losses and one decision win in her last four bouts. Jasudavicius's ability to control opponents on the ground and her higher takedown defense (75%) will likely neutralize Silva's submission threats, leading to a decision victory for Jasudavicius. The betting market also favors the fight going the distance and Jasudavicius winning by points.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Jasmine Jasudavicius Moneyline (-170)

68%

Jasmine Jasudavicius is currently favored with moneyline odds around -170 for a points victory, reflecting her more consistent performance in controlling fights and securing decision wins. Her superior wrestling and ground control, evidenced by a 75% takedown defense, make her a difficult opponent to finish and capable of dictating the pace of the fight. This moneyline pick aligns with her perceived ability to grind out a victory over the unpredictable Karine Silva.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 2.5

70%

The betting odds for 'Goes the Distance: Yes' are -225, indicating a strong expectation for this fight to go beyond 2.5 rounds. Both fighters possess solid defensive grappling, with Jasudavicius having high takedown defense and Silva being a capable submission artist who can defend and counter. While Silva is known for finishes, her recent UFC outings have seen her go the distance in two of her last three fights. Jasudavicius also frequently goes to decision, suggesting a prolonged contest is highly probable.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

๐Ÿ† Additional Markets

Winner and Total Rounds

Jasmine Jasudavicius & Over 2.5 Rounds

67%

This combines the prediction of a Jasudavicius win with the high probability of the fight going the distance, offering potentially better odds.

Round Betting

Jasmine Jasudavicius in Round 3 or Decision

60%

Given Jasudavicius's style, a late finish or decision is more probable than an early stoppage. She has one third-round submission in her recent wins.

Anytime Submission

Karine Silva by Submission

45%

Silva is a submission specialist with multiple UFC finishes, offering high upside if she can secure one, though Jasudavicius's takedown defense is a concern.

Total Significant Strikes Landed (Jasmine Jasudavicius)

Over X (e.g., 70.5)

63%

Jasudavicius has a high significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM: 3.70) and recently set a record for strike differential, indicating high output in longer fights.

Total Takedowns Landed (Jasmine Jasudavicius)

Over X (e.g., 2.5)

65%

Jasudavicius averages 2.59 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 44% accuracy, and she will likely look to implement her wrestling against Silva.

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Jasmine JasudaviciusStatKarine Silva
65% โœ…AI Win Probability35%
Jasmine Jasudaviciโ€ฆ โœ…Spread68% conf
Over 2.5 โœ…Total70% conf
72% โœ…Model ConfidenceHigh

Betting Angles โ€” Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva

โœ… Method of Victory: Jasmine Jasudavicius by Decision

Jasudavicius has a track record of winning by decision, particularly against fellow grapplers, and her defensive grappling is strong. Silva has shown an ability to go the distance recently, making a finish less likely for her. The odds of -170 for a decision win present good value given Jasudavicius's style and matchup.

โœ… Fight to Go the Distance: Yes

Both fighters are tough, and while Silva has submission prowess, Jasudavicius's defensive grappling is high. Silva's recent fights have shown a shift towards decisions, and Jasudavicius often wins by decision. This market appears to be a solid value bet.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Information on sharp money movement is not available from the search results, but the current odds suggest a stable lean towards Jasudavicius by decision and the fight going the distance. Line movement: No significant line movement has been recorded yet for this specific fight, suggesting the initial assessment of Jasudavicius as a slight favorite by decision remains consistent.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Moneyline: Jasmine Jasudavicius-200.00
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes-225.00
Jasmine Jasudavicius by Decision: Yes-170.00

Combined Odds: 150.00 (+14900)

AI Confidence: 65%

$10 โ†’ $1500.00 | $25 โ†’ $3750.00 | $50 โ†’ $7500.00

Correlation: Positive - A Jasudavicius decision win inherently means the fight goes the distance, creating a strong positive correlation between these legs. Odds for individual legs taken for illustrative purposes and would be adjusted by the sportsbook for correlation.

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธSilva's proven submission finishing ability could catch Jasudavicius off guard if taken down
  • โš ๏ธJasudavicius's recent TKO loss raises questions about her striking defense against powerful opponents
  • โš ๏ธBoth fighters are highly ranked, making for a closely contested bout where a single mistake could be costly.

Model Confidence

โšก72%

Data quality: High

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific injury news or detailed training camp reports for this exact fight date, relying on general fighter information and past performance.
  • โ€ขBetting odds are preliminary and subject to change.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva โ€” FAQ

Jasmine Jasudavicius is known for her strong grappling, effective wrestling, and excellent ground control, often utilizing her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt skills. She also boasts good striking accuracy and defense, making her a well-rounded contender.