๐ŸฅŠ UFC

Saturday, May 2, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

Game starts in 12d 22h 50m

Jack Jenkins

Jack Jenkins

vs

Marwan Rahiki

Marwan Rahiki

Jack Jenkins

AI Confidence: โšก78%

Winner: Jack Jenkins (โšก78%)

Method: Decision

Jack Jenkins vs Marwan Rahiki Prediction

Jack Jenkins, the more experienced and well-rounded fighter, is predicted to defeat the undefeated but less tested Marwan Rahiki. Jenkins' grappling and tactical approach are expected to neutralize Rahiki's explosive striking.

AI-powered prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Jack Jenkins

โšก78%

This featherweight bout pits the experienced Jack Jenkins against the undefeated prospect Marwan Rahiki. Jenkins, with a professional record of 14-4-0, has a well-rounded skillset, boasting a good mix of KO, submission, and decision victories. His significant striking accuracy (61%) and solid takedown game (60% accuracy, 71% defense) make him a difficult opponent to deal with. He also has significantly more UFC experience with a 4-2 record in the promotion. Rahiki, on the other hand, is an explosive, undefeated fighter at 8-0-0, with a high finishing rate (7 KOs, 1 Sub). He is a high-volume striker (7.73 SLpM) but also absorbs a considerable amount of strikes (6.33 SApM). Rahiki's takedown defense is listed at 100%, but with a 0.00 TD Avg, it suggests he hasn't faced many grappling threats in the UFC yet. Jenkins' experience and grappling prowess will be key. He has the ability to weather Rahiki's early storm and then utilize his wrestling to control portions of the later rounds, wearing down the younger, less experienced fighter. While Rahiki's power is a threat, Jenkins' defensive grappling and ability to dictate the pace should allow him to secure rounds and ultimately win via decision. The home crowd advantage in Perth, Australia, for Jenkins could also play a subtle role.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: Round 3

78%

This featherweight bout pits the experienced Jack Jenkins against the undefeated prospect Marwan Rahiki. Jenkins, with a professional record of 14-4-0, has a well-rounded skillset, boasting a good mix of KO, submission, and decision victories. His significant striking accuracy (61%) and solid takedown game (60% accuracy, 71% defense) make him a difficult opponent to deal with. He also has significantly more UFC experience with a 4-2 record in the promotion. Rahiki, on the other hand, is an explosive, undefeated fighter at 8-0-0, with a high finishing rate (7 KOs, 1 Sub). He is a high-volume striker (7.73 SLpM) but also absorbs a considerable amount of strikes (6.33 SApM). Rahiki's takedown defense is listed at 100%, but with a 0.00 TD Avg, it suggests he hasn't faced many grappling threats in the UFC yet. Jenkins' experience and grappling prowess will be key. He has the ability to weather Rahiki's early storm and then utilize his wrestling to control portions of the later rounds, wearing down the younger, less experienced fighter. While Rahiki's power is a threat, Jenkins' defensive grappling and ability to dictate the pace should allow him to secure rounds and ultimately win via decision. The home crowd advantage in Perth, Australia, for Jenkins could also play a subtle role.

Jack Jenkins vs Marwan Rahiki โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Jack JenkinsStatMarwan Rahiki
78% โœ…AI Win Probability22%
78% โœ…Model Confidenceโ€”

Betting Angles โ€” Jack Jenkins vs Marwan Rahiki

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without official odds, it's difficult to gauge sharp money. However, experienced bettors might favor Jenkins for his proven ability against higher-level competition, while some might take a flyer on Rahiki's explosive potential. Line movement: N/A (Odds not yet released)

Model Confidence

โšก78%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive recent fight data, career statistics, and biographical information were readily available for both fighters from multiple reliable sources.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of official betting odds to compare against initial predictions.
  • โ€ขRahiki's limited UFC sample size means his 100% Takedown Defense might be inflated due to not facing a dedicated grappler yet.
  • โ€ขThe unpredictable nature of MMA, where one strike can change the fight.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Jack Jenkins vs Marwan Rahiki โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 2, 2026.