Tuesday, Jun 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC
Game starts in 12d 6h 8m
Caesar Almeida
vs
Roman Kopylov
AI Confidence: 59%
Winner: Roman Kopylov (59%)
Spread: Roman Kopylov Moneyline (-150) (โก65%)
Total: Over 2.5 (โก70%)
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Caesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov Prediction
Roman Kopylov is predicted to defeat Caesar Almeida in a closely contested middleweight bout, likely by decision. Kopylov's technical striking and defensive prowess are expected to be key factors against Almeida's powerful kickboxing and knockout ability.
Caesar Almeida face Roman Kopylov on Tuesday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.
FIGHT WINNER
Roman Kopylov
Predicted: Decision (Split)
59%
This prediction for a hypothetical rematch on June 2, 2026, is based on the fighters' last encounter and their recent form. Roman Kopylov secured a split decision victory over Caesar Almeida at UFC 302 on June 1, 2024, indicating a very close contest where Kopylov's superior striking defense (60%) and takedown defense (87%) likely edged him ahead. Since then, Kopylov has maintained activity and recently secured a unanimous decision win against Marco Tulio on May 9, 2026, at UFC 328, showcasing continued form. While Almeida is a powerful Orthodox striker with a strong kickboxing background and knockout potential, as evidenced by his first-round KO of Abdul Razak Alhassan in January 2025, he also experienced a unanimous decision loss to Cezary Oleksiejczuk in December 2025. Given Kopylov's previous victory over Almeida and his consistent performance, he is favored to win a close decision again.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Roman Kopylov Moneyline (-150)
65%
Kopylov was the betting favorite in their previous matchup, and his split decision victory validates that position. His slightly higher striking rate and superior defense make him a consistent performer. While Almeida possesses significant knockout power, Kopylov's ability to navigate close rounds gives him the edge in a moneyline pick.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 2.5
70%
Their last fight went the distance to a split decision, indicating a durable contest rather than an early finish. Both fighters are seasoned, and while Almeida has KO power, Kopylov's defensive stats and ability to go to a decision suggest this fight is likely to extend beyond two rounds. Kopylov's last three fights have gone to decision.
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Method of Victory
Roman Kopylov by Decision
Based on their first fight going to a split decision and Kopylov's tendency to win by decision in recent outings, this is a strong possibility.
Round Betting
Fight goes to Round 3
Both fighters are durable, and their last fight went all three rounds. Kopylov often takes fights deep into rounds or to decision.
Caesar Almeida - Total Takedowns
Under 0.5
Almeida is primarily a striker with 0.00 TD Avg and 0% TD Acc. He is not known for his grappling. Kopylov also has excellent takedown defense at 88%.
Roman Kopylov - Total Significant Strikes Landed
Over 4.0 per minute
Kopylov has a SLpM of 4.54, indicating a relatively high volume of significant strikes. In a close fight, he'll be active.
Performance Bonus Winner
N/A
While both fighters have earned performance bonuses in the past, a close decision win is less likely to receive a bonus. This is highly speculative without knowing the full card and fight performance.
Caesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov โ Key Stats (AI)
No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.
Betting Angles โ Caesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov
โ Fight to go the distance: Yes
Their previous encounter went to a decision, and both fighters have a history of competitive fights extending to the final bell. Kopylov has gone to decision in his last three fights.
โ Roman Kopylov by Decision: Roman Kopylov
Kopylov won their first fight by split decision. His fighting style, with strong defense and calculated striking, often leads to decision victories. Given the competitiveness, this offers good value.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Information for sharp money movement on a hypothetical future fight is not available. Historically, Kopylov was the slight favorite in their first bout. Line movement: No specific line movement for a June 2, 2026, fight is available. For their 2024 fight, Kopylov saw favorable odds movement, opening at +120 and moving to -127.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Caesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.26 (+526)
AI Confidence: 60%
$10 โ $62.60 | $25 โ $156.50 | $50 โ $313.00
Correlation: Positive correlation as Kopylov winning by decision implies the fight going to the later rounds.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธAlmeida's one-punch knockout power, which can end a fight at any moment.
- โ ๏ธThe close nature of their previous encounter, suggesting a potentially unpredictable rematch.
- โ ๏ธAny undisclosed injuries or last-minute changes for a fight in the future.
Data Quality Score
โก68%
Data quality: High
Limitations
- โขPrediction is based on historical performance and a hypothetical rematch, as no official fight for 2026-06-02 is currently scheduled.
- โขBetting odds are inferred from past performance and current fighter standing, not actual lines for a future event.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Caesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov โ FAQ
Caesar Almeida and Roman Kopylov last fought on June 1, 2024, at UFC 302, where Roman Kopylov won by split decision.
Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone โ confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.