🥊 UFC

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

Game starts in 16d 21h 40m

Bobby Green

Bobby Green

vs

Jeremy Stephens

Jeremy Stephens

Bobby Green

AI Confidence: 78%

Winner: Bobby Green (78%)

Method: Decision

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Bobby Green vs Jeremy Stephens Prediction

This lightweight clash pits the technical, high-volume striking of Bobby 'King' Green against the aggressive, power-punching style of Jeremy 'Lil Heathen' Stephens. Green holds a distinct advantage in recent form and activity within the UFC, while Stephens looks to re-establish himself after a challenging period in MMA.

AI-powered prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Bobby Green

78%

Bobby 'King' Green enters this bout with significantly better recent form and activity within the UFC. He secured TKO victories in February 2026 and October 2023, demonstrating his striking prowess, and a split decision win in December 2025. [2, 6, 7, 10, 14] Green's style, characterized by fluid, unorthodox boxing, exceptional head movement, high striking volume, and strong defensive grappling, makes him a difficult opponent to hit cleanly and often frustrates power punchers. Jeremy Stephens, while a seasoned veteran with undeniable knockout power, has struggled to find consistent success in recent years in MMA. His return to the UFC in May 2025 resulted in a unanimous decision loss, and his PFL stint saw him go 1-2. [1, 3, 4, 11] Stephens' last UFC victory dates back to February 2018. While his bare-knuckle boxing success is notable, it doesn't directly translate to the nuances of MMA against a technical striker like Green. Stephens' aggressive, power-first approach often leads to him absorbing significant strikes, and he has a history of losing by decision. Green's ability to evade, counter, and maintain a high pace over three rounds should allow him to outpoint Stephens. Stephens' power is always a threat, but Green's defensive acumen and cardio are likely to negate it over the course of the fight.

METHOD OF VICTORY

Decision

Round: N/A

78%

Bobby 'King' Green enters this bout with significantly better recent form and activity within the UFC. He secured TKO victories in February 2026 and October 2023, demonstrating his striking prowess, and a split decision win in December 2025. [2, 6, 7, 10, 14] Green's style, characterized by fluid, unorthodox boxing, exceptional head movement, high striking volume, and strong defensive grappling, makes him a difficult opponent to hit cleanly and often frustrates power punchers. Jeremy Stephens, while a seasoned veteran with undeniable knockout power, has struggled to find consistent success in recent years in MMA. His return to the UFC in May 2025 resulted in a unanimous decision loss, and his PFL stint saw him go 1-2. [1, 3, 4, 11] Stephens' last UFC victory dates back to February 2018. While his bare-knuckle boxing success is notable, it doesn't directly translate to the nuances of MMA against a technical striker like Green. Stephens' aggressive, power-first approach often leads to him absorbing significant strikes, and he has a history of losing by decision. Green's ability to evade, counter, and maintain a high pace over three rounds should allow him to outpoint Stephens. Stephens' power is always a threat, but Green's defensive acumen and cardio are likely to negate it over the course of the fight.

Bobby Green vs Jeremy Stephens Key Stats (AI)

Bobby GreenStatJeremy Stephens
78% AI Win Probability22%
78% Model Confidence2026

Betting Angles Bobby Green vs Jeremy Stephens

💰 Sharp Money

While specific sharp money movements are not available, the initial odds showing Green as a significant favorite (-275, -250) suggest that professional bettors are likely aligning with Green's recent form and technical advantages. Line movement: Without opening and closing lines, it's difficult to track specific movement. However, if the line started closer and moved towards Green, it would indicate increasing confidence in his victory.

Model Confidence

78%

Data quality: High. Extensive recent fight data, injury reports, and stylistic breakdowns were available for both fighters, including very recent fight results for Green (Feb 2026) and Stephens (May 2025). [1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 14]

Limitations

  • Lack of specific weigh-in information for this exact fight, though the fight is confirmed.
  • Absence of detailed striking and grappling statistics for Bobby Green from the search results for a direct comparison with Stephens' UFC stats.
  • The unpredictable nature of Jeremy Stephens' power, which can always lead to an early finish.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Bobby Green vs Jeremy Stephens FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 9, 2026, at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, in Newark, New Jersey, United States. [9, 14, 22]