Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon Prediction

FIGHT WINNER

Cody Haddon

Predicted: Cody Haddon by Unanimous Decision

59%

Cody Haddon enters this fight with superior striking and takedown defense statistics, boasting a higher significant strikes landed per minute (9.20 vs 4.69) and a significantly better strike defense (64% vs 48%) compared to Aoriqileng. Haddon also has a strong grappling background with a BJJ brown belt and a high takedown defense rate of 83%, which will be crucial against Aoriqileng, who has shown vulnerability to submissions in the past. While Aoriqileng is a durable and aggressive brawler with a potent knockout threat and more overall professional experience, Haddon's current six-fight winning streak, including a dominant UFC debut, indicates strong momentum and a well-rounded skillset that should allow him to control the pace and effectively neutralize Aoriqileng's offense over three rounds. The fight location in Macau, China, could slightly favor Aoriqileng as a Chinese fighter, but Haddon's technical advantages and recent form are expected to prevail.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Cody Haddon by Decision (+1)

59%

Given Cody Haddon's strong defensive striking (64% strike defense) and impressive takedown defense (83%), he is well-equipped to avoid Aoriqileng's power shots and grappling attempts, leading to a decision victory. Aoriqileng, despite his aggressive style, has a history of going to decision, and Haddon's consistent pace and technical striking make him likely to outpoint his opponent rather than secure an early finish.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 1.5

59%

Both fighters possess durability and have demonstrated the ability to go the distance. While both have finishing capabilities, Aoriqileng has multiple decision wins and losses in his UFC career, and Haddon's last UFC bout went to a unanimous decision. The likelihood of this Bantamweight contest extending beyond the halfway point of the second round is high, making the 'over 1.5 rounds' a sensible pick.

✅ Method of Victory: Cody Haddon by Decision

Haddon's robust defense and ability to control the pace suggest he will outscore Aoriqileng over three rounds. The hypothetical odds of 2.75 imply a 36.36% chance, whereas our model estimates a 45% probability, indicating good value.

✅ Fight to go the Distance: Yes

Both fighters have proven durable, and a significant portion of their recent fights have reached the judges' scorecards. Aoriqileng has been in multiple decision bouts, and Haddon's last UFC fight was a decision win. The hypothetical odds offer an attractive edge for this outcome.

💰 Sharp Money

Not available, as official betting lines are not widely released yet for this future event. Line movement: Not available, as official betting lines are not widely released yet for this future event.