🥊 UFC

Sunday, Jun 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Game starts in 15d 20h 52m

Andre Lima

Andre Lima

vs

Kevin Borjas

Kevin Borjas

Andre Lima

AI Confidence: 67%

Winner: Andre Lima (67%)

Spread: Andre Lima Moneyline (-260) (72%)

Total: Over 2.5 (65%)

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Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas Prediction

This flyweight bout features the undefeated prospect Andre Lima against the struggling Kevin Borjas. Lima possesses a complete skillset with effective striking and strong grappling, while Borjas is a well-rounded fighter but has found limited success in the UFC. Lima is a significant favorite to maintain his perfect record.

AI-powered prediction

Andre Lima face Kevin Borjas on Sunday, part of the 2026 UFC season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

FIGHT WINNER

Andre Lima

Predicted: Andre Lima by Decision or Submission

67%

Andre Lima enters this bout with a perfect 11-0 professional record, including a 4-0 run in the UFC, showcasing a well-rounded skillset with significant striking accuracy (60%) and an active grappling game (1.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes). Kevin Borjas, conversely, holds a 10-5 record with a 1-4 UFC stint, having struggled to find consistent success in the octagon and currently on a two-fight losing streak, with two KO/TKO losses in his last five UFC fights. Lima's defensive stats are also superior, absorbing only 2.49 significant strikes per minute compared to Borjas's 5.64. While Lima is coming off a layoff of over a year due to injury, his dominant performances and higher Composite Fighter Rating (64.9 vs 22.3) strongly position him as the favorite.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Andre Lima Moneyline (-260)

72%

Andre Lima's undefeated record and superior UFC performance make him a clear favorite. His diverse skillset in both striking and grappling, combined with Borjas's struggles and recent finishes, indicate a strong probability of Lima securing the win. The moneyline pick reflects the overall predicted outcome without a specific round handicap, emphasizing Lima's higher likelihood of victory.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 2.5

65%

While Andre Lima has finishing capabilities (5 KOs, 1 submission in 11 fights), many of his UFC victories have gone the distance, including unanimous and split decisions. Kevin Borjas has also gone to decision in three of his five UFC fights, despite two recent TKO losses. The durability of both fighters to go into later rounds, and Lima's tendency to work towards submissions or decisions, suggests that this fight has a good chance of extending past 2.5 rounds.

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Method of Victory

Andre Lima by Decision

60%

Andre Lima has secured four decision victories in his professional career, including two unanimous decisions and one split decision in the UFC. While he also has finishes, Borjas has shown resilience in some fights, making a decision win for Lima a strong possibility, especially if he manages control without securing an early finish.

Method of Victory

Andre Lima by Submission

55%

Andre Lima has a BJJ brown belt and an average of 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes in the UFC, including a recent submission win over Daniel Barez. Kevin Borjas has a 70% takedown defense but zero submission attempts in the UFC, indicating a potential vulnerability if Lima gets the fight to the ground.

Round Betting

Fight goes to Decision - Yes

58%

Given Andre Lima's multiple decision wins and Borjas's tendency to go the distance in his UFC losses (three out of four losses were by decision), the fight reaching the judges' scorecards is a plausible outcome, despite Borjas's two KO/TKO losses.

Total Rounds

Over 1.5 Rounds

70%

Both fighters have demonstrated the ability to go deep into fights. Lima's last three UFC fights went to the third round, including a submission in round 3 and two decisions. Borjas has also seen many fights go past the first round, even in his losses.

Fighter to Land More Significant Strikes

Andre Lima

68%

Andre Lima boasts a significant strike accuracy of 60% and lands 4.06 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing only 2.49. Kevin Borjas has a lower accuracy of 44% and absorbs 5.64 significant strikes per minute, suggesting Lima will be more effective and active in striking exchanges.

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas Key Stats (AI)

Andre LimaStatKevin Borjas
67% AI Win Probability33%
Andre Lima Moneyli… Spread72% conf
Over 2.5 Total65% conf
72% Data Quality ScoreHigh

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

Betting Angles Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas

💰 Sharp Money

Information on specific sharp money movement is not available from the search results, but the strong consensus on Lima suggests significant professional backing. Line movement: Specific line movement data is not provided, but given Lima's strong favoritism, the line is likely to remain stable in his favor or move further towards him.

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Andre Lima's long layoff (>12 months) and recovery from chronic shoulder injury/bacterial infection could affect performance.
  • ⚠️MMA's inherent unpredictability, where one strike or submission can change the fight instantly.
  • ⚠️Kevin Borjas's 'all-arounder' style could pose unexpected challenges if he can exploit Lima's rust.
  • ⚠️Lima has previously missed weight, indicating potential issues with weight cut.

Data Quality Score

72%

Data quality: High

Limitations

  • Lack of real-time bookmaker odds for all specific markets (e.g., method of victory, round props) for value betting analysis.
  • Unpredictable nature of MMA, where single moments can drastically alter fight outcomes.
  • Impact of Andre Lima's long layoff and recovery on his actual fight-day performance.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas FAQ

Andre Lima holds an undefeated professional record of 11-0, with a perfect 4-0 run in the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

Our UFC predictions weigh both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, stylistic matchups, reach, and layoff length. MMA is structurally upset-prone — confidence rarely exceeds 75% even on clear stylistic edges. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI UFC Predictions hub.