Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Felix Auger-Aliassime Win

Predicted: 2-0

⚡68%

Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked World No. 5, holds a significant advantage over Vilius Gaubas, ranked World No. 124. Auger-Aliassime's powerful game, particularly his serve, is well-suited for the fast clay courts of Madrid. While Gaubas secured a notable first-round win against Baez, Auger-Aliassime's consistent top-tier performance and overall 2026 season record (15-7) suggest he will dominate this encounter. The ranking disparity and surface preference strongly favor the Canadian.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Auger-Aliassime -5.5 games (-5.5)

68%

Given Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking and powerful playing style, he is expected to win comfortably in straight sets. His ability to generate easy holds and break Gaubas's serve multiple times per set on the fast Madrid clay should allow him to cover a -5.5 game spread with relative ease, likely resulting in scores like 6-3, 6-3 or 6-4, 6-3.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 21.5

60%

With Felix Auger-Aliassime expected to win in straight sets, the total number of games is likely to remain low. A 2-0 victory with set scores such as 6-3, 6-3 (18 games) or 6-4, 6-3 (19 games) would comfortably fall under the 21.5 game total. While Gaubas has shown some form, Auger-Aliassime's class should prevent extended sets.

💰 Sharp Money

Likely to be on Auger-Aliassime covering a significant game spread. Line movement: Expect Auger-Aliassime's moneyline odds to be very short, with potential movement on the game handicap as the match approaches.