Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Alejandro Tabilo Win

Predicted: 1-2

60%

Alejandro Tabilo, currently ranked World No. 35, holds a significant ranking advantage over Pablo Carreno Busta, who is World No. 91. While Carreno Busta has shown decent recent form with a 70% win rate (7-3 in last 10), Tabilo's higher current ranking and career-high of 19 suggest a stronger overall game. The match is on outdoor clay, a surface that often favors players with good endurance and topspin, which Tabilo possesses. Despite Carreno Busta's past success and clay court prowess, Tabilo's current form and higher standing make him the favorite, though Carreno Busta's experience could push it to three sets.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Tabilo -2.5 games (-2.5)

60%

Given Tabilo's superior ranking and the prediction of him winning, even if in three sets (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-3), he is likely to cover a modest game spread. His higher consistency and ability to break serve against a lower-ranked opponent should allow him to accumulate enough games to win by at least 3 games. Carreno Busta's recent form suggests he won't be easily dispatched, but Tabilo's current level should prevail.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 22.5

60%

With the prediction leaning towards a three-set match (1-2), the total games are highly likely to go over 22.5. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) would reach 25 games. Considering Carreno Busta's recent form and clay court experience, he is expected to put up a strong fight, leading to extended rallies and potentially multiple sets, pushing the total game count higher.

💰 Sharp Money

Not available Line movement: Not available