EredivisieKoning Willem II StadionSaturday, May 9, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Kickoff in 7d 1h 3m

Willem II
vs

Waalwijk
AI Pick: Willem II Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Willem II Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes

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Willem II vs Waalwijk Prediction
This Eredivisie match pits Willem II, with a strong historical H2H record and home advantage, against Waalwijk, who have started the season undefeated in their two matches. The lack of current form data for Willem II makes this a challenging prediction, but historical trends and API-Sports' overall comparison lean towards a home victory or draw.
MATCH RESULT
Willem II Win
Predicted: 2-1
58%
Willem II holds a significant historical head-to-head advantage (71% win rate) and will benefit from playing at home. While their current season form data is unavailable, API-Sports' overall comparison favors them at 66.5%. Waalwijk has started the season undefeated with a win and a draw in two matches, showing early promise, but the historical dominance and home advantage for Willem II are key factors. API-Sports also suggests a 'Willem II or draw' outcome, indicating a strong likelihood of the home side avoiding defeat. Given the slight overall favoritism for Willem II in the API-Sports comparison, a home win is predicted with moderate confidence, acknowledging Waalwijk's recent form and the potential for a draw.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 3.0
60%
Waalwijk has scored and conceded in both of their opening matches, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 goals against per game. Our predicted score of 2-1 for Willem II aligns with both teams finding the net and results in 3 total goals, pushing the total over 2.5. API-Sports also advises 'Under 3.5 goals', which is consistent with a 2-1 scoreline.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Waalwijk has scored and conceded in both of their opening matches, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 goals against per game. Our predicted score of 2-1 for Willem II aligns with both teams finding the net and results in 3 total goals, pushing the total over 2.5. API-Sports also advises 'Under 3.5 goals', which is consistent with a 2-1 scoreline.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Waalwijk's two matches have seen 3 and 2 goals respectively, both exceeding 1.5 goals. With a predicted 2-1 score, over 1.5 goals is a strong likelihood.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
API-Sports explicitly advises 'Under 3.5 goals'. Our predicted 2-1 score (3 goals total) falls within this range, suggesting a competitive match without an excessive number of goals.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Eredivisie matches frequently see goals in the first half. With Waalwijk showing an ability to score and Willem II playing at home, it's likely at least one goal will be scored before halftime.
First Team to Score
Home
As the home favorite with a strong H2H record, Willem II is more likely to open the scoring in this fixture.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Eredivisie matches often feature goals in both halves. With both teams expected to contribute offensively, it's reasonable to anticipate scoring action across both periods.
Most Likely Score
2-1
This score aligns with our main prediction of a home win, with both teams scoring, and is a common scoreline in competitive Eredivisie matches.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While BTTS is likely for the full match, both teams scoring in the first half is less common, especially early in the season when teams might start cautiously.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on our predicted score of 2-1 and the expectation of an open game with chances created by both sides, the combined Expected Goals (xG) is likely to exceed 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
API-Sports explicitly recommends 'Willem II or draw' (1X) and shows a 50% chance for a home win and 50% for a draw, making this a highly confident pick for the home side to avoid defeat.
Draw No Bet
Home
As Willem II is predicted to win, selecting 'Home' for Draw No Bet provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Given Willem II's home advantage and historical H2H dominance, it's plausible they will take an early lead and maintain it until full-time.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
In the Eredivisie, matches typically see a moderate to high number of corners. With both teams likely to attack, especially Willem II at home, an active game with over 9.5 corners is a reasonable expectation.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Waalwijk has accumulated 3 yellow cards in their two matches, indicating a willingness to engage physically. A competitive Eredivisie match, especially early in the season, often sees at least 4 cards issued.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While specific data for these teams is limited, Eredivisie matches generally feature a decent number of shots on target. Both teams will be looking to make an early statement, suggesting an active attacking game.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
With both teams looking to create chances, especially Willem II at home, a combined total of over 22.5 shots is a reasonable expectation for an Eredivisie fixture.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Eredivisie matches typically involve a fair amount of physical play. A competitive game between these two teams is likely to generate over 22.5 fouls.
Possession Winner
Home
Home teams in the Eredivisie often enjoy a slight advantage in possession, especially when considered favorites. Willem II is expected to control more of the ball.
Willem II Clean Sheet
No
Waalwijk has scored in both of their matches this season, suggesting they are capable of finding the net. Given our predicted 2-1 score, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Waalwijk Clean Sheet
No
Waalwijk has scored in both of their matches this season, suggesting they are capable of finding the net. Given our predicted 2-1 score, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Willem II vs Waalwijk โ Key Stats
Koning Willem II Stadion
Home Ground
2:30 PM UTC
Saturday, May 9
Matchday kickoff
Eredivisie
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Willem II vs Waalwijk
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds available to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds available to assess line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Willem II vs Waalwijk
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธLack of current season form data for Willem II, making their performance unpredictable.
- โ ๏ธEarly season match, where team dynamics and form are still settling.
- โ ๏ธNo market odds available for calibration, increasing reliance on statistical models and historical data.
Model Confidence
60%
Data quality: The data quality is poor for Willem II (no current season stats) and limited for Waalwijk (only 2 matches played). Historical H2H data is good. This significantly impacts the model's ability to provide high-confidence predictions.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of current season performance data for Willem II.
- โขLimited sample size for Waalwijk's current season form.
- โขNo real-time market odds for validation and value bet identification.
- โขReliance on historical H2H which may not fully reflect current team strengths.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Willem II vs Waalwijk โ FAQ
Yes, the absence of current season data for Willem II makes their immediate performance level unpredictable. Their strong historical H2H record and home advantage are the primary factors in their favor.