BundesligaBundesligaWeserstadion

Saturday, May 2, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 59m

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

vs

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

68%
13%
19%
Werder BremenDrawFC Augsburg

AI Pick: Werder Bremen Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Werder Bremen Win (65%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Prediction

This Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg pits two inconsistent mid-to-lower table teams against each other. Werder Bremen holds the home advantage and has shown slightly better recent form, while Augsburg struggles significantly on the road. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from both sides, likely favoring the home team narrowly.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Werder Bremen Win

Predicted: 2-1

65%

Werder Bremen, despite being lower in the standings, has shown slightly better recent form (3 wins in last 5) compared to FC Augsburg (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 5). Bremen's home record (4W 4D 6L) is marginally better than Augsburg's away record (3W 2D 9L). With home advantage at Weserstadion, Bremen will be motivated to secure points against a team with a poor away record. Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities on the road (1.9 goals conceded per away game) could be exploited by Bremen.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.0

60%

The average total goals in matches involving these teams hover around 2.9-3.0. Both teams exhibit defensive vulnerabilities, with Werder Bremen conceding 1.8 goals per home game and Augsburg conceding 1.9 goals per away game. Both also score an average of 1.1-1.2 goals per game. This suggests a match with at least three goals and both teams contributing to the scoreline.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

The average total goals in matches involving these teams hover around 2.9-3.0. Both teams exhibit defensive vulnerabilities, with Werder Bremen conceding 1.8 goals per home game and Augsburg conceding 1.9 goals per away game. Both also score an average of 1.1-1.2 goals per game. This suggests a match with at least three goals and both teams contributing to the scoreline.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

90%

With both teams averaging around 3 goals per match combined, and both having porous defenses, it is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in the game.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

While Over 2.5 is predicted, neither team frequently sees matches with 4 or more goals. Werder Bremen had only 2/28 matches over 3.5 goals, and Augsburg had 0/29. This suggests a cap at 3 goals is more likely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Werder Bremen has scored 9 goals and conceded 21 in the first half, while Augsburg has scored 16 and conceded 27. This indicates a high likelihood of at least one goal before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

55%

With home advantage and a slight edge in overall form, Werder Bremen is marginally more likely to open the scoring, though both teams have shown late-game scoring tendencies.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

Given the expectation of multiple goals (Over 2.5) and a high probability of a first-half goal (Over 0.5), it's reasonable to expect goals to be scored in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

2-1

15%

Based on Werder Bremen's average home goals (1.1) and Augsburg's average away goals (1.1), a 2-1 scoreline for the home team aligns with the predicted outcome and the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes' markets.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While both teams score and concede in the first half, it's less common for both to score within the first 45 minutes compared to the full 90. A single goal in the first half is more probable than both teams scoring.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

65%

Based on the predicted score of 2-1 and the expectation of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities for both sides, the cumulative Expected Goals (xG) for the match is likely to exceed 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

75%

Considering Werder Bremen's home advantage and slightly better recent form, avoiding a loss at home against an away-struggling Augsburg side is a strong possibility.

Draw No Bet

Home

68%

If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void. Given the prediction of a home win, this offers a safer alternative by removing the draw outcome, leveraging Bremen's home advantage.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

40%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score late, and a tight first half is plausible. Werder Bremen's ability to score in the later stages (38.71% of goals in 76-90 min) could see them edge out a win after a level first half.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

Bundesliga matches typically see a good number of corners. With both teams likely to push for goals and having defensive weaknesses, attacking play from both sides should lead to multiple corner opportunities.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

80%

Werder Bremen averages 2.5 cards per game and FC Augsburg averages 2.65 cards per game. A combined average of over 5 cards suggests a high probability of exceeding 3.5 cards in a competitive Bundesliga fixture.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

65%

Given the expectation of goals and attacking play from both sides, coupled with defensive frailties, both teams should be able to register a fair number of shots on target. A competitive match often sees 9+ shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

With both teams having defensive weaknesses and an impetus to score, a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is a reasonable expectation for an open Bundesliga game.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Bundesliga matches are generally physical. In a competitive mid-table clash, both teams will likely commit a fair number of fouls, pushing the total over 22.5.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Werder Bremen, playing at home, will likely try to dictate the tempo and maintain more possession, especially against an Augsburg side that might be content to play on the counter away from home.

Werder Bremen Clean Sheet

No

85%

Augsburg has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away games this season. Werder Bremen has only kept 3 clean sheets at home. Both teams have a high propensity to concede, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.

FC Augsburg Clean Sheet

No

85%

Augsburg has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away games this season. Werder Bremen has only kept 3 clean sheets at home. Both teams have a high propensity to concede, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Key Stats

Werder BremenStatFC Augsburg
14th League Position9th
28 Points35
28 Games Played29
7 Wins9
7 Draws6
31 Goals Scored36
49 Goals Conceded53
1.1 Goals Per Game1.2
6 Clean Sheets5
WWLWL Recent FormLLLDD
🏟️

Weserstadion

Home Ground

1:30 PM UTC

Saturday, May 2

Matchday kickoff

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

⚠️ Full Time Result: Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen's recent form and home advantage make them a slightly undervalued pick against an Augsburg side that struggles significantly on the road.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams have a high average of total goals in their matches (Bremen 2.86, Augsburg 3.07). Augsburg's away defense is leaky (1.9 GA/game), and Bremen also concedes frequently at home (1.8 GA/game). A 2-1 prediction supports this market.

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Werder Bremen has conceded in 78.6% of their matches, while Augsburg has conceded in 82.8%. Both teams also score regularly (Bremen 60.7%, Augsburg 72.4%). This points to a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.

💰 Sharp Money

Given the lack of available odds, it's difficult to track sharp money. However, smart bettors would likely target the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'Both Teams To Score' markets due to the statistical tendencies of both teams. Line movement: Without opening odds, no line movement can be observed. If odds were available, a potential move towards Werder Bremen or the 'Over' goal markets would be anticipated based on the analysis.

AI Same Game Parlay Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Werder Bremen Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent, leading to unpredictable outcomes.
  • ⚠️Augsburg's ability to grind out draws, even away, could negate Bremen's home advantage.
  • ⚠️Lack of specific H2H data makes historical trend analysis difficult.
  • ⚠️Defensive frailties on both sides could lead to a high-scoring draw or an unexpected result.

Model Confidence

70%

Data quality: The provided team statistics and league standings are comprehensive and of high quality, allowing for a detailed analysis of form, goals, and defensive records.

Limitations

  • Absence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • Lack of specific injury reports for either squad.
  • No historical odds data to compare against model probabilities.
  • No xG (Expected Goals) data provided for a more advanced offensive/defensive metric.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg FAQ

Based on current form and home advantage, a Werder Bremen win is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a strong possibility.