BundesligaBundesligaWeserstadion

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 1h 0m

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

vs

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

30%
20%
50%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund

AI Pick: Borussia Dortmund Win

Confidence: 46%

1X2: Borussia Dortmund Win (46%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Borussia Dortmund, positioned 2nd in the Bundesliga, travels to face 15th-placed Werder Bremen at Weserstadion. Dortmund is the overwhelming favorite, boasting superior league form, attacking prowess, and a strong head-to-head record against Bremen. Despite a couple of recent losses, their overall season performance is indicative of a team competing at the top.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Borussia Dortmund Win

Predicted: 1-2

46%

Borussia Dortmund, currently 2nd in the Bundesliga, faces 15th-placed Werder Bremen. Dortmund boasts significantly superior overall form, attacking statistics (2.0 goals/game vs 1.2), and defensive solidity (1.0 goals conceded/game vs 1.8). Their away record (8 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses) is strong, while Bremen's home record is mediocre (5 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). Although Dortmund has two recent losses in their last five, their overall season performance and head-to-head advantage are compelling. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Dortmund across all metrics (Form 60%, Attack 57%, Defense 62%, H2H 85%, Poisson 74%). While API-Sports suggests a 45% chance for a draw, the overall data points towards a Dortmund victory, making them the slight favorite.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.9

60%

Both teams exhibit a high average of total goals in their matches (around 3.0 per game for both). Borussia Dortmund has a potent attack (2.0 goals/game) and Werder Bremen's defense is leaky (1.8 goals conceded/game). While Dortmund's defense is solid, Bremen scores an average of 1.2 goals at home, suggesting they are likely to find the net. Dortmund has failed to score only once this season, and Bremen concedes in most of their matches. Therefore, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score are strong predictions.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams exhibit a high average of total goals in their matches (around 3.0 per game for both). Borussia Dortmund has a potent attack (2.0 goals/game) and Werder Bremen's defense is leaky (1.8 goals conceded/game). While Dortmund's defense is solid, Bremen scores an average of 1.2 goals at home, suggesting they are likely to find the net. Dortmund has failed to score only once this season, and Bremen concedes in most of their matches. Therefore, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score are strong predictions.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

Both teams average around 3.0 total goals per game. Dortmund's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 21 out of 30 games, and Bremen's in 9 out of 30. Given the offensive capabilities of Dortmund and Bremen's defensive issues, at least two goals are highly probable.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

46%

While Over 2.5 goals is expected, both teams' individual 'goals for' statistics show a low frequency of matches with 4 or more goals (Dortmund 1/30, Bremen 2/30). It's more likely to be a 2-1 or 2-0 type of game rather than a high-scoring thriller.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half, particularly in the later stages of the first half (31-45 minutes). Given Dortmund's attacking strength and Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities, at least one goal in the first half is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Away

47%

Borussia Dortmund is the stronger attacking side and has a higher average of goals scored per game. They are more likely to open the scoring against a struggling Werder Bremen defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

Given the expectation of multiple goals and both teams' scoring patterns, it's likely that goals will be scored in both the first and second halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

15%

Based on Dortmund's average goals scored (2.0) and Bremen's average goals conceded (1.8), combined with Bremen's home scoring ability (1.2 goals/game) against Dortmund's away goals conceded (1.1), a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Dortmund is a plausible outcome, though exact scores are inherently difficult to predict.

BTTS 1st Half

No

46%

While both teams can score, the probability of both teams scoring within the first 45 minutes is lower than over the full 90 minutes. Dortmund's early scoring percentage is not exceptionally high, and Bremen might struggle to break through early.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

47%

Considering Dortmund's average of 2.0 goals scored and Bremen's average of 1.2 goals scored, the combined expected goals for the match are likely to be around 3.2, comfortably exceeding 2.5 xG.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

35%

Borussia Dortmund is the clear favorite, and the 'Draw or Away Win' option provides a strong safety net, covering both a direct win for Dortmund and the possibility of a draw, which API-Sports also indicates as plausible (45%).

Draw No Bet

Away

46%

Given Borussia Dortmund's superior quality and league position, they are expected to win. The Draw No Bet market eliminates the risk of a draw, making 'Away' a confident pick.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

While Dortmund is expected to win, Bremen's home advantage and tendency to score in the first half could lead to a drawn first half. Dortmund often finishes strong, scoring 31.67% of their goals in the last 15 minutes, making a second-half push for an away win likely.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Bundesliga matches typically see a good number of corners. With Borussia Dortmund's attacking style and Werder Bremen playing at home, both teams are expected to contribute to a total exceeding 9.5 corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Both teams accumulate a fair number of cards throughout the season (Bremen 73 yellow, 4 red; Dortmund 58 yellow, 2 red). A competitive Bundesliga fixture is likely to see at least 4 cards issued.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Borussia Dortmund's attacking prowess suggests they will generate many shots on target. Werder Bremen, playing at home and needing to score, will also contribute. Over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Borussia Dortmund is an attacking team that generates many shots. Werder Bremen, playing at home, will also attempt shots. The combined total is likely to exceed 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Bundesliga matches are typically physical. With Werder Bremen likely to defend deep and Dortmund pressing, a fair number of fouls can be expected, pushing the total over 22.5.

Possession Winner

Away

47%

Borussia Dortmund, as a top-tier team, typically dominates possession against lower-ranked opponents, even away from home. Their style of play emphasizes ball control.

Werder Bremen Clean Sheet

No

47%

Borussia Dortmund has an excellent scoring record (2.0 goals/game) and has only failed to score once this season, making a home clean sheet for Bremen highly unlikely. Werder Bremen scores 1.2 goals per game at home, and Dortmund, while defensively strong, concedes 1.0 goals per game on average, suggesting Bremen could find the net, preventing an away clean sheet.

Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheet

No

47%

Borussia Dortmund has an excellent scoring record (2.0 goals/game) and has only failed to score once this season, making a home clean sheet for Bremen highly unlikely. Werder Bremen scores 1.2 goals per game at home, and Dortmund, while defensively strong, concedes 1.0 goals per game on average, suggesting Bremen could find the net, preventing an away clean sheet.

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund โ€” Key Stats

Werder BremenStatBorussia Dortmund
15th League Positionโœ… 2nd
31 Pointsโœ… 64
30 Games Played30
8 Winsโœ… 19
7 Draws7
35 Goals Scoredโœ… 61
53 Goals Concededโœ… 31
1.2 Goals Per Gameโœ… 2.0
6 Clean Sheetsโœ… 13
LWLLW โœ…Recent FormWWWLL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Weserstadion

Home Ground

โฐ

1:30 PM UTC

Saturday, May 16

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Borussia Dortmund to win, potentially with a handicap, or on goal markets like Both Teams To Score or Over 2.5 Goals, considering the statistical likelihood. Line movement: If odds were available, it's anticipated that the odds for a Borussia Dortmund win would shorten as kick-off approaches, reflecting market confidence in the away side.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Borussia Dortmund Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
5/10
  • โš ๏ธBorussia Dortmund's recent two losses in their last five matches could indicate a slight dip in form.
  • โš ๏ธWerder Bremen's home advantage, despite their lower league position, can sometimes lead to unexpected results.
  • โš ๏ธThe API-Sports prediction indicating a 45% chance for a draw suggests the match might be tighter than expected.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports prediction/comparison data were available, providing a solid foundation for analysis.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time odds data for value bet analysis.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury or suspension information for both teams.
  • โ€ขFootball's inherent unpredictability, especially in a league like the Bundesliga where upsets can occur.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund โ€” FAQ

Borussia Dortmund is predicted to win the match with a score of 1-2.