BundesligaBundesligaVolkswagen Arena

Thursday, May 21, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 22h 38m

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

vs

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07

37%
35%
28%
VfL WolfsburgDraw07

AI Pick: VfL Wolfsburg Win

Confidence: 37%

1X2: VfL Wolfsburg Win (37%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

VfL Wolfsburg, despite a challenging Bundesliga season and poor home form, is favored against SC Paderborn 07 based on a strong historical head-to-head record and the API-Sports comparison. However, the complete lack of current season data for Paderborn introduces significant uncertainty.

AI-powered prediction

VfL Wolfsburg host SC Paderborn 07 at Volkswagen Arena on Thursday, part of the 2025 Bundesliga season. Both sides' recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and current injury status are factored into the prediction below.

How they arrived here

VfL Wolfsburg arrive having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last five matches. They are currently 16th and in the relegation play-off spot.

MATCH RESULT

VfL Wolfsburg Win

Predicted: 2-1

37%

VfL Wolfsburg has a strong historical head-to-head record against SC Paderborn 07, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. While Wolfsburg's overall season performance (16th in Bundesliga) and home form (2 wins in 17) are poor, the API-Sports comparison heavily favors them (73% total win probability). The lack of current season data for SC Paderborn 07 makes a direct comparison difficult, but based on available H2H and Wolfsburg's offensive capabilities against Paderborn, a home win is the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.0

60%

Wolfsburg's matches this season average 3.3 goals per game (1.3 for, 2.0 against). Their head-to-head encounters with Paderborn have historically been high-scoring, with results like 5-4 and 2-4. Wolfsburg's defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.0 goals at home, making BTTS likely.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Wolfsburg's matches this season average 3.3 goals per game (1.3 for, 2.0 against). Their head-to-head encounters with Paderborn have historically been high-scoring, with results like 5-4 and 2-4. Wolfsburg's defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.0 goals at home, making BTTS likely.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

80%

With Wolfsburg's average total goals per game at 3.3 and a history of high-scoring H2H matches, at least two goals are highly probable.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

55%

While API-Sports suggests Under 2.5, the historical H2H between these teams has frequently seen 4 or more goals (e.g., 5-4, 2-4), and Wolfsburg's overall goal averages support this.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Wolfsburg scores or concedes in the first half in a significant percentage of their games, and the historical H2H suggests an open game from the start.

First Team to Score

Home

65%

As the favored team with a strong H2H, Wolfsburg is more likely to open the scoring, especially at home.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Given the expectation of multiple goals and the attacking nature of their past encounters, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves.

Most Likely Score

2-1

30%

Based on Wolfsburg's average goals scored at home (1.2) and conceded (1.9), a 2-1 victory aligns with a narrow home win and both teams scoring, which is common in their H2H.

BTTS 1st Half

No

55%

While BTTS is likely for the full match, both teams scoring in the first half is less common and carries higher risk.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

60%

Given the high-scoring H2H and Wolfsburg's average goals for and against, the match is likely to generate a combined xG of over 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

75%

Considering Wolfsburg's H2H dominance and the API-Sports comparison heavily favoring them, a home win or draw is a relatively safe bet, despite Wolfsburg's poor home form.

Draw No Bet

Home

65%

Wolfsburg is favored to win, and the Draw No Bet market provides a safety net in case of a draw, returning the stake.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

40%

Wolfsburg's poor home form suggests they might not start strongly, potentially leading to a draw at halftime, but their H2H advantage could see them secure a win in the second half.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Bundesliga matches typically feature a good number of corners, and both teams will likely be pushing for goals, contributing to corner counts.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

Bundesliga matches are often competitive, leading to a fair number of fouls and cards. Wolfsburg's season card data suggests a propensity for bookings.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Given the expectation of goals and Wolfsburg's attacking average, both teams should contribute to a reasonable number of shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Both teams will be looking to create chances, leading to a high volume of shots throughout the match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Bundesliga matches are generally physical, and a competitive game, especially with Wolfsburg fighting relegation, is likely to see a good number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Home

70%

As the Bundesliga team playing at home, Wolfsburg is expected to control possession against a potentially lower-division opponent.

VfL Wolfsburg Clean Sheet

No

70%

VfL Wolfsburg has only managed 1 home clean sheet in 17 games this season, indicating a vulnerable defense. Given the high-scoring H2H, both teams are expected to score.

SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheet

No

70%

VfL Wolfsburg has only managed 1 home clean sheet in 17 games this season, indicating a vulnerable defense. Given the high-scoring H2H, both teams are expected to score.

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 โ€” Key Stats

VfL WolfsburgStat07
16th League Positionโœ… โ€”
29 โœ…Pointsโ€”
7 โœ…Wins0
8 Drawsโœ… 0
45 โœ…Goals Scored0
69 Goals Concededโœ… 0
2 โœ…Clean Sheets0

These sides last met on 4 January 2022, when VfL Wolfsburg won 5-4 at home in a narrow but lively win. Over the last 5 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg hold a 3-0 edge, with 2 draws in between.

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 โ€” Recent Meetings

Jan 4, 2022Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 5-4 SC Paderborn 07

โœ… Yes

9 (Over)

Feb 2, 2020Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 2-4 VfL Wolfsburg

โœ… Yes

6 (Over)

Aug 31, 2019Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SC Paderborn 07

โœ… Yes

2 (Under)

May 10, 2015Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg

โœ… Yes

4 (Over)

Dec 14, 2014Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SC Paderborn 07

โœ… Yes

2 (Under)

BTTS: 5/5 (100%) ยท Over 2.5: 3/5 (60%)

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Volkswagen Arena

Home Ground

โฐ

6:30 PM UTC

Thursday, May 21

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A - No odds provided. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
VfL Wolfsburg Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 13%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
7/10
  • โš ๏ธMissing opponent data for SC Paderborn 07, leading to reliance on historical and limited current data.
  • โš ๏ธVfL Wolfsburg's significantly poor home record (2 wins in 17 league games).
  • โš ๏ธConflicting API-Sports prediction for draw percentage vs. overall win probability.
  • โš ๏ธPotential for an upset or a draw given Wolfsburg's struggles and the unknown strength of Paderborn.

Data Quality Score

60%

Data quality: Poor for SC Paderborn 07 (missing current season stats), Moderate for VfL Wolfsburg (full season stats available).

Limitations

  • โ€ขIncomplete data for SC Paderborn 07, making a comprehensive statistical comparison impossible.
  • โ€ขReliance on historical H2H and Wolfsburg's individual season stats due to data gaps.
  • โ€ขConflicting signals from API-Sports regarding draw probability and total goals.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 โ€” FAQ

The provided data for SC Paderborn 07 indicates no matches played in the 2025 Bundesliga season, suggesting they might be in a lower division or the data is incomplete for this specific season. This limits the current form analysis.

Our soccer predictions weigh form, head-to-head record, home/away splits, league position, and current injury status across 16 leagues. Confidence is calibrated honestly โ€” a tight matchup stays 52-48 in our display rather than inflated. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Soccer Predictions hub.