Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio 15 de Abril

Friday, Apr 17, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 6d 10h 50m

Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe

vs

Newells Old Boys

Newells Old Boys

87%
5%
8%
FeDrawBoys

AI Pick: Union Santa Fe Win

Confidence: 85%

1X2: Union Santa Fe Win (โšก85%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Prediction

Union Santa Fe is strongly favored to win this Liga Profesional Argentina match against Newells Old Boys. Union's formidable home defense and overall solid form contrast sharply with Newells' struggles, particularly on the road. A low-scoring home victory is the most probable outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Union Santa Fe Win

Predicted: 2-0

โšก85%

Union Santa Fe boasts an exceptional home record, remaining undefeated in 6 home league games with 3 wins and 3 draws, conceding only 1 goal. Their defense is formidable at Estadio 15 de Abril. Newells Old Boys, in contrast, has a poor away record, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per away game. Union's superior form, strong defense, and home advantage make them clear favorites to secure a comfortable victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.1

60%

Union Santa Fe's home defense is incredibly robust, having conceded just one goal in six home matches this season. Newells Old Boys struggles significantly in attack, particularly away from home, averaging only 0.8 goals per away game. This combination strongly suggests a low-scoring match where Union is likely to keep a clean sheet, making 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS: No' the most probable outcomes.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Union Santa Fe's home defense is incredibly robust, having conceded just one goal in six home matches this season. Newells Old Boys struggles significantly in attack, particularly away from home, averaging only 0.8 goals per away game. This combination strongly suggests a low-scoring match where Union is likely to keep a clean sheet, making 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS: No' the most probable outcomes.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

65%

While Under 2.5 is predicted, a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline would still hit Over 1.5 goals. Union's home scoring ability against Newells' weak defense makes at least two goals likely.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

85%

Given the strong prediction for Under 2.5 goals and Union's tight defense, it is highly improbable that this match will see four or more goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Union has shown a tendency to score early (23.53% of goals in 0-15 min), and Newells concedes a significant portion of goals in the first half (10% in 0-15, 10% in 16-30, 10% in 31-45). A goal before halftime is quite probable.

First Team to Score

Home

80%

Union Santa Fe has a much stronger attack at home and Newells Old Boys has a porous away defense, making Union the most likely team to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

55%

Union has a tendency to score early, and Newells tends to concede in both halves, particularly in the second half. While a low-scoring game, a goal in each half is still plausible.

Most Likely Score

2-0

65%

Union's average home goals are 1.3, and they concede 0.2. Newells' away goals are 0.8, and they concede 2.3. A 2-0 scoreline reflects Union's defensive strength and Newells' attacking weakness.

BTTS 1st Half

No

80%

Union's home defense is exceptionally strong, making it very unlikely for Newells to score in the first half. Union might score, but Newells is expected to struggle.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Based on the low expected total goals (2.1) and the defensive strengths of Union at home, the quality and quantity of chances (xG) are likely to be below 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Union Santa Fe is undefeated at home this season (3 wins, 3 draws), making a home win or draw a highly secure bet against a struggling away side.

Draw No Bet

Home

85%

Given Union's strong home form and Newells' poor away record, Union is highly favored to win. The draw no bet option provides a safety net in case of an unexpected stalemate.

HT/FT

Home/Home

70%

Union often starts strong at home and has a solid defense to maintain a lead. Newells' struggles suggest they are unlikely to recover if Union takes an early lead.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Under 9.5

60%

Given the likely defensive approach from Newells and Union's ability to control games, the number of corners might be moderate rather than high, with fewer attacking waves from the away side.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both teams average over 1.7 yellow cards per game, with Newells averaging 2.25. A competitive Liga Profesional match often sees at least 4 cards, especially with Newells' defensive struggles potentially leading to fouls.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

60%

With Union's strong defense and Newells' weak attack, Newells is unlikely to register many shots on target. Union might not need an excessive number of shots to score against a struggling defense.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

60%

With a likely defensive setup from Newells and Union's efficiency at home, the game might not be an end-to-end affair, leading to a moderate number of total shots.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Liga Profesional matches are often physical. Newells, as the underdog, may resort to more fouls to disrupt Union's play, pushing the total fouls count higher.

Possession Winner

Home

65%

As the home favorite, Union Santa Fe is expected to control the tempo and possession against a weaker Newells Old Boys side.

Union Santa Fe Clean Sheet

Yes

85%

Union Santa Fe has kept 5 clean sheets in 6 home games, demonstrating exceptional defensive solidity. Newells Old Boys has failed to score in 3 of their 6 away games and has not kept an away clean sheet this season.

Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet

No

85%

Union Santa Fe has kept 5 clean sheets in 6 home games, demonstrating exceptional defensive solidity. Newells Old Boys has failed to score in 3 of their 6 away games and has not kept an away clean sheet this season.

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys โ€” Key Stats

FeStatBoys
4th โœ…League Position14th
19 โœ…Points9
12 Games Played12
5 โœ…Wins2
4 Drawsโœ… 3
18 โœ…Goals Scored10
12 โœ…Goals Conceded23
1.5 โœ…Goals Per Game0.8
5 โœ…Clean Sheets1
WDDLW โœ…Recent FormLDLWW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadio 15 de Abril

Home Ground

โฐ

11:30 PM UTC

Friday, Apr 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Liga Profesional Argentina

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys

โœ… Match Winner: Union Santa Fe

Union's strong home form (undefeated, 1 goal conceded in 6 games) and Newells' poor away performance suggest a higher probability for a home win than implied by the odds.

โœ… Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Union's home games have seen Under 2.5 goals in 5 out of 6 matches, largely due to their stellar defense. Newells' overall league games have seen Under 2.5 in 11 out of 12 matches. This points to a low-scoring encounter.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money is likely to be on Union to win, potentially combined with 'Under 2.5 Goals' or a handicap bet given the significant difference in team performance. Line movement: The odds for Union Santa Fe to win are already low (1.55), indicating they are strong favorites. Any significant line movement would likely see these odds shorten further as kickoff approaches, reflecting increased confidence in a home victory.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Union Santa Fe Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 30%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธNewells Old Boys adopting an ultra-defensive strategy that frustrates Union and leads to a low-scoring draw.
  • โš ๏ธAn unexpected individual error or moment of brilliance from Newells leading to a goal against Union's strong home defense.
  • โš ๏ธUnion's attack failing to convert chances despite dominance, leading to a narrow win or draw.

Model Confidence

โšก88%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team and league statistics for the current season were provided, allowing for a detailed analysis of form, goals, and defensive records.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of head-to-head historical data for direct comparison.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury reports or squad news for either team.
  • โ€ขNo detailed tactical information or expected lineups.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys โ€” FAQ

Union Santa Fe has an excellent home record this season, remaining undefeated with 3 wins and 3 draws in 6 matches, conceding only 1 goal.