Serie ASerie ABluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Saturday, Apr 18, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 7d 20h 34m

Udinese

Udinese

vs

Parma

Parma

68%
13%
19%
UdineseDrawParma

AI Pick: Udinese Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Udinese Win (65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Udinese vs Parma Prediction

This Serie A clash between Udinese and Parma is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Udinese holds a slight edge due to home advantage and a marginally better attacking output, while Parma will rely on their resilient away defense. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal or end in a draw.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Udinese Win

Predicted: 1-0

65%

Udinese, playing at home, holds a slight advantage over Parma. While both teams are in the lower half of the Serie A table, Udinese has a better overall goal difference (-7 vs -17) and a more consistent scoring record (1.2 goals/game vs 0.7 goals/game). Parma's away form is surprisingly resilient defensively (1.1 goals conceded per away game), but their attacking output is very low, having failed to score in 7 of their 15 away matches. Udinese's home record is decent (5W-4D-6L), and they will look to capitalize on Parma's offensive struggles. We anticipate a tight, low-scoring affair, with Udinese narrowly securing a victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.9

60%

The statistical data strongly points to a low-scoring game. Udinese's matches average 2.6 goals, and Parma's average 2.0 goals. Crucially, both teams have seen 'Under 2.5 Goals' in over 80% of their league matches this season. Parma's away goal average is a mere 0.7, and they have failed to score in nearly half of their away fixtures, making 'BTTS No' a highly probable outcome.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

The statistical data strongly points to a low-scoring game. Udinese's matches average 2.6 goals, and Parma's average 2.0 goals. Crucially, both teams have seen 'Under 2.5 Goals' in over 80% of their league matches this season. Parma's away goal average is a mere 0.7, and they have failed to score in nearly half of their away fixtures, making 'BTTS No' a highly probable outcome.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

70%

While 'Under 2.5 Goals' is a strong pick, a 1-0, 2-0, or 1-1 scoreline would still result in 'Over 1.5 Goals'. Udinese's games average 2.6 goals and Parma's 2.0, making at least two goals in the match more likely than not.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

90%

Both teams have had zero games this season with 'Over 3.5 Goals'. This is an extremely strong statistical indicator for 'Under 3.5 Goals'.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

60%

Despite the expectation of a low-scoring game overall, a single goal in the first half is still a common occurrence in Serie A. While both teams tend to score later, the probability of at least one goal before halftime remains above 50%.

First Team to Score

Home

65%

Udinese is the more attacking team and has the home advantage. Parma's low scoring rate makes them less likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

With a predicted low-scoring game and the tendency for goals to come later, it's more likely that goals will be concentrated in one half, or that only one goal will be scored in total.

Most Likely Score

1-0

25%

Reflecting the predicted low-scoring nature and Udinese's narrow home advantage, a 1-0 victory for the home side is the most likely exact scoreline.

BTTS 1st Half

No

75%

Given the overall low-scoring nature, the defensive solidity, and the fact that both teams tend to score later, it's highly improbable that both teams will score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

80%

Given the low average goals per game for both teams and the expected defensive nature of the match, the quality and quantity of chances (Expected Goals) are likely to be low.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

80%

Udinese has the home advantage and a better overall record. Parma's away form, while defensively sound, lacks attacking threat. A home win or a draw is the most probable outcome.

Draw No Bet

Home

70%

Udinese is the slight favorite due to home advantage and superior attacking stats. This market offers a safer bet by returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

30%

Given that both teams tend to score later in games and Parma's defensive resilience, a tight first half ending in a draw is plausible, followed by Udinese finding a breakthrough in the second half to secure the win.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

55%

While a low-scoring game is expected, Serie A matches typically generate a fair number of corners as teams push for opportunities. Both teams will likely attack the flanks, leading to deflections and clearances.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both Udinese (59 yellows, 1 red) and Parma (56 yellows, 4 reds) have accumulated a significant number of cards this season. A competitive mid-table clash in Serie A often leads to a physical encounter, making 'Over 3.5 Cards' a likely scenario.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

65%

Given the expected low-scoring nature of the match and Parma's defensive approach away from home, we anticipate fewer clear-cut chances and thus fewer shots on target. Both teams average relatively low goals per game, which correlates with fewer shots finding the target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

60%

A low-scoring, potentially cagey affair suggests fewer overall attempts at goal. Neither team is known for overwhelming attacking volume.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Serie A matches are often physical, and a mid-table clash between two teams fighting for points is likely to be contested fiercely, leading to a higher number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Playing at home, Udinese will likely aim to control the tempo and possession against a Parma side that often prefers to sit deep and counter.

Udinese Clean Sheet

Yes

65%

Parma's severe struggles in front of goal, particularly away from home (0.7 goals per game, 7 failed to score in 15 away), make a Udinese clean sheet highly plausible. Conversely, Udinese's slightly better attacking record means Parma is unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

Parma Clean Sheet

No

65%

Parma's severe struggles in front of goal, particularly away from home (0.7 goals per game, 7 failed to score in 15 away), make a Udinese clean sheet highly plausible. Conversely, Udinese's slightly better attacking record means Parma is unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

Udinese vs Parma Key Stats

UdineseStatParma
11th League Position12th
39 Points34
30 Games Played30
11 Wins8
6 Draws10
35 Goals Scored21
42 Goals Conceded38
1.2 Goals Per Game0.7
7 Clean Sheets10
LWDLW Recent FormWDDLL
🏟️

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Home Ground

1:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 18

Matchday kickoff

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles Udinese vs Parma

⚠️ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Both Udinese and Parma have a very high percentage of their matches ending with Under 2.5 goals (Udinese 27/30, Parma 25/30). Parma's away games average only 1.8 total goals, and Udinese's home games average 2.4. This market offers significant value given the statistical trends for both teams.

⚠️ Both Teams To Score: No

Parma has a very poor scoring record, especially away from home, failing to score in 7 of their 15 away matches. Udinese has kept 4 clean sheets at home. Given Parma's offensive struggles and Udinese's defensive capability at home, it's highly probable that at least one team will fail to score.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money is expected to target the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market and potentially 'BTTS No' due to the compelling statistical evidence for these outcomes. Line movement: Given the strong 'Under 2.5 Goals' trend, we might see the odds for this market shorten as kickoff approaches, reflecting increased public and sharp money on this selection. Odds for a Udinese win might fluctuate, but a significant shift is unlikely without major team news.

AI Same Game Parlay Udinese vs Parma

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Udinese Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Parma's strong away defensive record could lead to a frustrating draw for Udinese.
  • ⚠️Both teams' inconsistent form makes predicting a clear winner challenging.
  • ⚠️A single moment of individual brilliance or error could decide a low-scoring game, increasing variance.
  • ⚠️Lack of recent head-to-head data introduces an element of uncertainty.

Model Confidence

78%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive season statistics for both teams are available, providing a solid foundation for analysis, especially for goal-related markets.

Limitations

  • Lack of specific head-to-head match data.
  • Absence of real-time injury reports or team news.
  • No current odds provided, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.
  • Form analysis is based on recent results, which can be volatile.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Udinese vs Parma FAQ

Udinese is slightly favored to win due to home advantage and better attacking output, but a draw is also a strong possibility given Parma's defensive resilience.