Liga MXSunday, Apr 12, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 1d 5h 18m

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
vs

Mazatlán
AI Pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Confidence: 85%
1X2: U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win (⚡85%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán Prediction
This Liga MX clash sees a strong U.N.A.M. - Pumas side, currently 5th in the Clausura standings, host a struggling Mazatlán team, placed 17th. Pumas boast a solid home record and a positive goal difference, while Mazatlán has a dismal away record and struggles defensively. The home side is heavily favored to secure a comfortable victory.
MATCH RESULT
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Predicted: 2-0
⚡85%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas are in significantly better form and hold a strong 5th position in the league standings, while Mazatlán languishes at 17th. Pumas have a solid home record (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in 7 home games) and a positive goal difference. Mazatlán, conversely, has a very poor away record (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses in 7 away games) and struggles to score on the road (0.7 goals per game). The odds heavily favor Pumas, reflecting their superior quality and home advantage. A comfortable home victory is the most probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.9
60%
Pumas' home games average 2.6 total goals, while Mazatlán's away games average 2.47 total goals. Looking at overall season averages, Pumas matches average 2.9 goals and Mazatlán matches average 2.97 goals. This combined average of approximately 2.9 goals per game suggests a slight lean towards Over 2.5 goals. For BTTS, Pumas have scored in 13 of 15 home games and conceded in 10 of 15. Mazatlán has scored in 8 of 15 away games and conceded in 14 of 15. The probability of both teams scoring is reasonably high, around 60% based on recent form and averages.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Pumas' home games average 2.6 total goals, while Mazatlán's away games average 2.47 total goals. Looking at overall season averages, Pumas matches average 2.9 goals and Mazatlán matches average 2.97 goals. This combined average of approximately 2.9 goals per game suggests a slight lean towards Over 2.5 goals. For BTTS, Pumas have scored in 13 of 15 home games and conceded in 10 of 15. Mazatlán has scored in 8 of 15 away games and conceded in 14 of 15. The probability of both teams scoring is reasonably high, around 60% based on recent form and averages.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With both teams' matches averaging around 2.9-3.0 total goals, and Pumas expected to score at least once, Over 1.5 goals is a highly probable outcome for this match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While Over 2.5 is predicted, pushing to Over 3.5 is less likely. Pumas' home games average 2.6 total goals, and Mazatlán's away games average 2.47. Neither team frequently sees very high-scoring matches, and Mazatlán's low scoring output limits the potential for a goal-fest.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams show a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Pumas scores over 50% of their goals in the first half, and Mazatlán concedes over 50% of their goals in the first half. A goal before halftime is highly probable.
First Team to Score
Home
Pumas, as the stronger attacking side playing at home, is much more likely to open the scoring against a defensively vulnerable Mazatlán team.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Given the expectation of multiple goals and both teams' tendencies to score/concede across both halves, it's reasonable to expect at least one goal in each half.
Most Likely Score
2-0
Based on Pumas' home scoring average (1.5 goals) and Mazatlán's away conceding average (1.7 goals), combined with Mazatlán's low away scoring (0.7 goals), a 2-0 scoreline for Pumas is a plausible and common result for a dominant home team against a weaker away side.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While BTTS overall is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is a less common occurrence. Pumas might score early, but Mazatlán's away scoring struggles make it less probable for them to net one in the first 45 minutes.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
While specific xG data isn't provided, the average total goals per game for both teams (around 2.9-3.0) suggests that the expected goals for the match would also likely be above 2.5, reflecting the attacking potential of Pumas and defensive weaknesses of Mazatlán.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
Pumas' strong home record combined with Mazatlán's poor away form makes a Pumas win or draw (1X) a very safe bet. Pumas has only lost 1 of 7 home games, while Mazatlán has lost 5 of 7 away games.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given Pumas' significant advantage and the high probability of a home win, backing Pumas in a Draw No Bet market offers good security, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Pumas are expected to start strong at home and maintain their lead. They score a significant portion of their goals in the first half, and Mazatlán often concedes early. This suggests Pumas could be leading at both halftime and fulltime.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
As the dominant home team, Pumas will likely press and attack frequently, leading to more corners. Mazatlán, while defensive, may also contribute to corners through clearances or counter-attacks.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Liga MX matches can be quite physical. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards throughout the season (Pumas 88, Mazatlán 77). With Pumas pushing for a win and Mazatlán likely resorting to fouls to break up play, a competitive match should see at least 4 cards.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Pumas, as the attacking home side, will aim for numerous shots on target. Mazatlán's defense is porous, and they may also get a few shots on target on the counter, contributing to the total.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Pumas, being the dominant home team, will generate a high volume of shots. Mazatlán will also attempt shots, even if fewer, pushing the total shots count over 22.5.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Liga MX matches are typically competitive and can be physical. Mazatlán, as the underdog, will likely commit fouls to disrupt Pumas' play, contributing to a higher foul count.
Possession Winner
Home
As the stronger team playing at home, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are expected to control the tempo of the game and dominate possession.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Clean Sheet
Yes
Pumas has kept 5 clean sheets in 15 home games (33%), while Mazatlán has only managed 1 clean sheet in 15 away games (6.7%). Given Mazatlán's low away scoring average (0.7 goals per game) and Pumas' defensive solidity at home (1.1 goals conceded per game), a home clean sheet is more likely.
Mazatlán Clean Sheet
No
Pumas has kept 5 clean sheets in 15 home games (33%), while Mazatlán has only managed 1 clean sheet in 15 away games (6.7%). Given Mazatlán's low away scoring average (0.7 goals per game) and Pumas' defensive solidity at home (1.1 goals conceded per game), a home clean sheet is more likely.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán — Key Stats
Betting Angles — U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán
⚠️ Match Winner: U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Pumas are strong favorites at home against a struggling Mazatlán side. Their league position, home form, and goal difference all point to a clear advantage. The implied probability from the odds (69.93%) is lower than our model's estimated probability (78%), indicating a positive edge for a home win.
💰 Sharp Money
Given the clear disparity between the teams and the favorable odds for Pumas, sharp money is likely to be on the home win, possibly combined with other markets like 'Pumas to win to nil' or 'Asian Handicap -1.5 Pumas' if the odds are attractive. Line movement: Without real-time data, specific line movement cannot be determined. However, it's expected that the odds for a Pumas win would have shortened slightly or remained stable, while draw and away win odds would have drifted out, as money comes in on the favorite.
AI Same Game Parlay — U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 30%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Low Risk- ⚠️Mazatlán's ability to pull off an upset despite poor form.
- ⚠️Pumas' occasional inconsistency, as seen in their overall form.
- ⚠️Potential for a draw, as Pumas have a relatively high number of home draws (3 in 7).
Model Confidence
⚡88%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and current odds were provided, allowing for a detailed and data-driven analysis.
Limitations
- •Absence of specific head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
- •Lack of real-time injury reports for either squad.
- •No direct xG data or advanced metrics for deeper statistical modeling.
- •No information on referee assignments or recent player performance trends.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán — FAQ
The most likely outcome is a home win for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, given their superior league position, strong home form, and Mazatlán's poor away record.