Ligue 1Stadium de ToulouseSunday, Apr 12, 2026, 3:15 PM UTC
Kickoff in 10d 16h 28m
Toulouse
vs
Lille
AI Pick: Lille Win
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Lille Win (โก65%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
Lille enters this match as the favorite, backed by a stronger league position, superior recent form, and a solid away record. Toulouse, despite playing at home, has shown inconsistency. The match is expected to feature goals from both sides.
MATCH RESULT
Lille Win
Predicted: 1-2
โก65%
Lille, currently 5th in Ligue 1, holds a significant advantage over 9th-placed Toulouse. Lille's recent form of WWDWW is superior to Toulouse's WWLLD. Furthermore, Lille boasts a strong away record with 7 wins and 2 draws from 14 matches, while Toulouse's home record is more balanced with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Lille also scores more goals on average (1.6 total, 1.6 away) compared to Toulouse (1.4 total, 1.5 home), suggesting they have the offensive power to secure an away victory.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2-3 Goals
60%
Toulouse's home games average 2.7 total goals (1.5 For, 1.2 Against), while Lille's away games average 3.0 total goals (1.6 For, 1.4 Against). The combined offensive and defensive averages for this specific fixture lean towards Over 2.5 goals. Both teams also show a high propensity to score and concede; Toulouse scored in 9/14 home games and conceded in 8/14, while Lille scored in 8/14 away games and conceded in 10/14, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong likelihood.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Toulouse's home games average 2.7 total goals (1.5 For, 1.2 Against), while Lille's away games average 3.0 total goals (1.6 For, 1.4 Against). The combined offensive and defensive averages for this specific fixture lean towards Over 2.5 goals. Both teams also show a high propensity to score and concede; Toulouse scored in 9/14 home games and conceded in 8/14, while Lille scored in 8/14 away games and conceded in 10/14, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong likelihood.
Toulouse vs Lille โ Key Stats
Stadium de Toulouse
Home Ground
3:15 PM UTC
Sunday, Apr 12
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Toulouse vs Lille
โ ๏ธ Match Result: Lille to Win
Lille's superior league position, recent form, and strong away record suggest a higher probability of victory (estimated at 50%) than the implied probability from the odds (43.48%). This presents a positive edge for a Lille win.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Information on sharp money movements was not provided in the data. Line movement: Information on line movement was not provided in the data.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Toulouse vs Lille
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 7.96 (+696)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 โ $79.55 | $25 โ $198.88 | $50 โ $397.75
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธToulouse's ability to secure draws at home (5 in 14 home games) could lead to an unexpected result.
- โ ๏ธLille's away form, while strong, still includes 5 losses from 14 matches, indicating they are not invincible on the road.
- โ ๏ธAbsence of head-to-head and injury data limits a comprehensive risk evaluation.
Model Confidence
โก75%
Data quality: The provided data is comprehensive for team statistics and league standings, allowing for a robust statistical analysis.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of head-to-head match history.
- โขLack of specific player injury reports or suspensions.
- โขNo detailed tactical information or recent news beyond form strings.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Toulouse vs Lille โ FAQ
Lille is in excellent form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).