Premier LeaguePremier LeagueTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Monday, May 11, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 19d 10h 7m

Tottenham

Tottenham

vs

Leeds

Leeds

31%
38%
31%
TottenhamDrawLeeds

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 38%

1X2: Draw (38%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction

This Premier League clash pits a struggling Tottenham side, deep in the relegation zone, against Leeds, who are just above it. Tottenham's home form is abysmal, while Leeds shows more fight and a tendency for draws away from home. The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams desperate for points.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

38%

Tottenham is struggling significantly this season, sitting in the relegation zone (18th) with a very poor home record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses in 17 matches. Their recent form is 'DLLDL'. Leeds, while only 15th, is in slightly better form ('WWDDL') and has a more balanced away record (2 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). API-Sports provides conflicting signals: it states 'Winner: Tottenham - Win or draw' but then gives equal probabilities for Home (35%) and Draw (35%), with Away at 30%. Crucially, the API-Sports comparison heavily favors Leeds across Form (80%), Attack (56%), and Defense (83%), with a total comparison of 59.6% for Away vs 40.4% for Home. Both teams have shown a tendency for draws, especially Leeds away. Given Tottenham's dire home form and the overall statistical advantage for Leeds, a draw is the most balanced outcome, allowing Tottenham a point at home while reflecting Leeds' ability to avoid defeat.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.2

60%

Both Tottenham and Leeds show a strong trend for Under 2.5 goals, with Tottenham having 30/33 matches under 2.5 and Leeds 26/33. API-Sports also predicts Under 2.5 goals for both teams. However, both teams score and concede regularly, making BTTS 'Yes' likely, especially with a predicted 1-1 draw. The average total goals for both teams combined is around 2.85, but the strong 'Under 2.5' trend suggests a more conservative total.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both Tottenham and Leeds show a strong trend for Under 2.5 goals, with Tottenham having 30/33 matches under 2.5 and Leeds 26/33. API-Sports also predicts Under 2.5 goals for both teams. However, both teams score and concede regularly, making BTTS 'Yes' likely, especially with a predicted 1-1 draw. The average total goals for both teams combined is around 2.85, but the strong 'Under 2.5' trend suggests a more conservative total.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

68%

Despite the strong Under 2.5 trend, both teams score and concede regularly enough for at least two goals to be scored. Tottenham has had over 0.5 goals in 26/33 matches, Leeds in 22/33.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

85%

Both teams have a very strong trend for Under 3.5 goals, with Tottenham having 33/33 matches under 3.5 and Leeds 32/33. This is a highly confident pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Both teams have a history of scoring and conceding in the first half. Tottenham scored 17 and conceded 28 in the first half, while Leeds scored 23 and conceded 16. It's highly probable at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Away

50%

Leeds has shown a slightly higher propensity to score earlier in matches (6 goals in 0-15 min, 6 in 16-30 min) compared to Tottenham (3 and 4 goals respectively). Combined with their better overall form, Leeds might open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

55%

While a low-scoring game is expected, both teams have shown the ability to score and concede across both halves. A 1-1 draw often sees goals in different halves.

Most Likely Score

1-1

30%

A 1-1 draw aligns with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes' predictions, and reflects the tight nature of the match between two teams struggling for form but capable of scoring.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

Given the overall 'Under 2.5 Goals' trend and the likelihood of a tight first half, both teams scoring in the first 45 minutes is less probable than a single goal or no goals.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, it's expected that the quality and quantity of chances created (xG) will also be below 2.5, reflecting a tight, low-scoring affair.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

45%

API-Sports explicitly advises 'Double chance : Tottenham or draw (1X)'. While other comparison metrics favor Leeds, this direct advice from the prediction endpoint is followed.

Draw No Bet

Away

50%

Given the overall API-Sports comparison heavily favoring Leeds (59.6% total probability) and their better recent form, Leeds is the more likely side to win if there is a decisive outcome, despite the main prediction being a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Draw

35%

Given the predicted full-time draw and the likelihood of a competitive first half without a clear dominant side, a Draw at halftime and fulltime is a plausible outcome.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Premier League matches typically feature a good number of corners, especially in a competitive fixture where both teams will be pushing for a result. A combined average of 10-11 corners is common.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards this season (Tottenham 83 yellow, 4 red; Leeds 55 yellow, 1 red). A relegation battle match is expected to be fiercely contested, leading to multiple bookings.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

With both teams needing points, they will likely create chances. Tottenham averages 1.3 goals per game, Leeds 1.3. A combined effort should result in at least 9 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Both teams will be looking to create opportunities. A combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is reasonable for a competitive match where both sides are pushing.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Premier League matches, especially those involving teams in the lower half of the table fighting for points, are typically physical. Over 22.5 fouls is a common occurrence.

Possession Winner

Home

50%

As the home team, Tottenham will likely attempt to control possession, even if their overall form is poor. They will aim to dictate the tempo in front of their fans.

Tottenham Clean Sheet

No

65%

Tottenham has only 2 home clean sheets in 17 matches, and Leeds has only 2 away clean sheets in 16 matches. Both teams concede frequently, making it unlikely either will keep a clean sheet.

Leeds Clean Sheet

No

65%

Tottenham has only 2 home clean sheets in 17 matches, and Leeds has only 2 away clean sheets in 16 matches. Both teams concede frequently, making it unlikely either will keep a clean sheet.

Tottenham vs Leeds โ€” Key Stats

TottenhamStatLeeds
18th League Positionโœ… 15th
31 Pointsโœ… 39
33 Games Played33
7 Winsโœ… 9
10 โœ…Draws12
42 Goals Scored42
53 Goals Concededโœ… 49
1.3 Goals Per Game1.3
7 Clean Sheets7
LDLLD โœ…Recent FormLDDWW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Home Ground

โฐ

7:00 PM UTC

Monday, May 11

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Premier League

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Tottenham vs Leeds

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movements. However, given the statistical advantage for Leeds in comparison metrics, sharp money might lean towards Leeds to avoid defeat. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided to observe line movement.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Tottenham vs Leeds

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Draw2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 13%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
8/10
  • โš ๏ธConflicting API-Sports signals (Winner vs. Comparison percentages).
  • โš ๏ธTottenham's extremely poor home form makes any home win prediction highly risky.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are near the relegation zone, increasing the pressure and unpredictability.
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific H2H data makes historical trends difficult to verify.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of odds makes value betting difficult to identify.

Model Confidence

60%

Data quality: Good, comprehensive team and league statistics provided for both teams and the league standings.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of direct head-to-head match results.
  • โ€ขNo specific injury reports.
  • โ€ขNo real-time odds data to validate market sentiment or identify value bets.
  • โ€ขConflicting signals from API-Sports 'Winner' prediction versus its comparison percentages.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Tottenham vs Leeds โ€” FAQ

Tottenham has a very poor home record this season, with only 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses in 17 home matches. Their recent form is 'DLLDL'.