Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade de la Meinau

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 3:15 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 13h 0m

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

vs

Toulouse

Toulouse

78%
8%
14%
StrasbourgDrawToulouse

AI Pick: Strasbourg Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: Strasbourg Win (โšก75%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction

Strasbourg enters this match as clear favorites, primarily due to their formidable home record and more consistent recent form compared to Toulouse. While Toulouse can be dangerous on their day, their away inconsistencies and Strasbourg's defensive solidity at home point towards a home victory. The match is expected to be relatively low-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Strasbourg Win

Predicted: 2-1

โšก75%

Strasbourg boasts a strong home record this season with 8 wins, 3 draws, and only 3 losses, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game and conceding a mere 0.7. Their recent form, despite including three draws, shows resilience. Toulouse, while capable away, has a less convincing away record with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, conceding 1.3 goals per game. Strasbourg's superior home defense and consistent scoring give them a clear edge in this fixture.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.4

60%

Strasbourg's home games average 2.4 goals, and Toulouse's away games average 2.6 goals. Both teams have a high percentage of matches ending with Under 2.5 goals (Strasbourg 71.4%, Toulouse 82.1%). However, both teams also score and concede regularly, with Strasbourg scoring in 86% of home games and Toulouse conceding in 79% of away games, making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable prediction despite the 'Under 2.5' lean. The predicted score of 2-1 aligns with both.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Strasbourg's home games average 2.4 goals, and Toulouse's away games average 2.6 goals. Both teams have a high percentage of matches ending with Under 2.5 goals (Strasbourg 71.4%, Toulouse 82.1%). However, both teams also score and concede regularly, with Strasbourg scoring in 86% of home games and Toulouse conceding in 79% of away games, making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable prediction despite the 'Under 2.5' lean. The predicted score of 2-1 aligns with both.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

Strasbourg's matches average 2.8 total goals, and Toulouse's average 2.7. Both teams have a high likelihood of scoring at least one goal, making Over 1.5 goals a very probable outcome.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

80%

Both teams have a very low percentage of games exceeding 3.5 goals (Strasbourg 7%, Toulouse 11%). This strongly indicates that the match will likely feature fewer than 3.5 goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

70%

Strasbourg has scored 21 goals and conceded 10 in the first half across 28 games (1.1 per game). Toulouse has scored 16 and conceded 18 in the first half (1.2 per game). The combined average indicates a high likelihood of at least one goal before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

70%

Strasbourg has a stronger home attack, averaging 1.7 goals per game, and Toulouse concedes 1.3 goals per game away. Strasbourg is more likely to break the deadlock.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Given the expectation of goals from both sides and the average goal distribution across halves for both teams, it's reasonable to expect at least one goal in each half, especially if the game is competitive.

Most Likely Score

2-1

60%

Based on Strasbourg's home scoring average (1.7 GF) and Toulouse's away scoring (1.3 GF) and conceding (1.3 GA), a 2-1 victory for the home side seems the most plausible specific outcome, reflecting Strasbourg's offensive edge and Toulouse's ability to find the net.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While both teams can score, it's less common for both to find the net in the first 45 minutes. Strasbourg's strong home defense makes it harder for Toulouse to score early.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

65%

Based on a predicted score of 2-1 and the attacking averages of both teams, the quality of chances created (Expected Goals) is likely to exceed 2.5, even if the actual goals scored are slightly lower.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

85%

Strasbourg's strong home record (8 wins, 3 draws in 14 games) makes a home win or draw a very safe bet. They have only lost 3 home games all season.

Draw No Bet

Home

80%

Strasbourg is the clear favorite at home due to their superior form and defensive solidity. The Draw No Bet option provides security in case of an unexpected draw, but a home win is the most probable outcome.

HT/FT

Home/Home

65%

Strasbourg often starts strong at home and has a good record of converting leads. They score a significant portion of their goals in the latter part of the first half (21.28% in 31-45 min) and are expected to maintain their advantage against an inconsistent Toulouse side.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Ligue 1 matches generally see a decent number of corners. With Strasbourg pushing for a home win and Toulouse likely to counter, an active game with multiple attacking phases should lead to over 9.5 corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

75%

Strasbourg averages 2.07 cards per game, and Toulouse averages 2.36 cards per game. A combined average of 4.43 cards per game strongly suggests that the total number of cards will exceed 3.5 in what is expected to be a competitive match.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

While specific shots on target data isn't available, both teams have decent attacking averages. Strasbourg averages 1.7 goals at home, and Toulouse averages 1.3 goals away. This suggests enough attacking intent to generate more than 8.5 shots on target combined.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Both teams show attacking intent, and a home team pushing for a win against an away team looking for opportunities should result in a decent volume of shots, likely exceeding 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Ligue 1 matches are often physical. Without specific foul data, assuming a competitive mid-table clash, the total number of fouls is likely to be above the average of 22.5.

Possession Winner

Home

65%

Playing at home, Strasbourg will likely aim to control the tempo and possession, especially against a team like Toulouse who might be content to play on the counter.

Strasbourg Clean Sheet

No

70%

Strasbourg has kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games, but Toulouse scores in 71% of their away matches. Given the predicted score of 2-1, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Toulouse Clean Sheet

No

70%

Strasbourg has kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games, but Toulouse scores in 71% of their away matches. Given the predicted score of 2-1, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Strasbourg vs Toulouse โ€” Key Stats

StrasbourgStatToulouse
8th โœ…League Position10th
43 โœ…Points37
28 Games Played28
12 โœ…Wins10
7 Draws7
46 โœ…Goals Scored39
34 โœ…Goals Conceded35
1.6 โœ…Goals Per Game1.4
9 Clean Sheets9
DDDWW โœ…Recent FormLLWWL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Stade de la Meinau

Home Ground

โฐ

3:15 PM UTC

Sunday, May 3

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Ligue 1

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Strasbourg vs Toulouse

โœ… Full Time Result: Strasbourg to Win

Strasbourg's dominant home form (57.1% win rate) against Toulouse's inconsistent away performance (50% loss rate) suggests a higher probability for a home win than implied by typical even odds. This offers a significant edge.

โœ… Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams show a strong tendency towards Under 2.5 goals in their overall season statistics (Strasbourg 71.4% Under 2.5, Toulouse 82.1% Under 2.5). While Strasbourg scores well at home, their defense is also solid, and Toulouse's away scoring isn't prolific enough to consistently push games over this line.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movements. However, smart bettors would likely be looking at Strasbourg to win or Strasbourg in a double chance market, potentially combined with Under 2.5 goals. Line movement: N/A - No initial odds provided to track movement.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Strasbourg vs Toulouse

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Strasbourg Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific H2H data, which can sometimes reveal unexpected trends.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of real-time odds, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.
  • โš ๏ธNo injury or squad news, which can significantly alter match dynamics.
  • โš ๏ธToulouse's ability to pull off an upset on the counter-attack despite their inconsistent away form.

Model Confidence

โšก78%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics for the current season were provided, including home/away splits, goal timings, and disciplinary records. Standings data is also up-to-date.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • โ€ขNo real-time betting odds, requiring hypothetical estimations for value bets.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury or suspension information for either squad.
  • โ€ขNo advanced metrics like xG, possession, or shot data per match.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Strasbourg vs Toulouse โ€” FAQ

Strasbourg has a strong home record with 8 wins, 3 draws, and only 3 losses in 14 home matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding 10.