Ligue 1Stade Francis-Le BlรฉWednesday, May 13, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Predicted
Draw 1-1
Actual
Strasbourg 1-2

Stade Brestois 29
+2.75
vs

Strasbourg
+2.5
AI Pick: Draw
Confidence: 40%
1X2: Draw (40%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes

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Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg Prediction
This Ligue 1 clash between Stade Brestois 29 and Strasbourg is anticipated to be a tight affair. Brest's strong home form and recent resurgence will be tested by a slightly higher-ranked Strasbourg side. A low-scoring draw, likely 1-1, appears to be the most probable outcome, with both teams capable of finding the net but struggling to dominate.
Stade Brestois 29 host Strasbourg at Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ on Wednesday, part of the 2025 Ligue 1 season. Both sides' recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and current injury status are factored into the prediction below.
How they arrived here
Stade Brestois 29 arrive having suffered back-to-back defeats, taking 3 wins from their last five. They are 11th in the table.
Strasbourg come in having taken 2 wins and 3 draws from their last five matches. They are 8th in the table.
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Predicted: 1-1
40%
Stade Brestois 29 boasts a strong home record (7 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses) and has shown good recent form (WWW in last 5 league games from standings). Strasbourg, while higher in the league table, has an average away record (4 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). The bookmakers slightly favor Strasbourg, but our model, aligning with the API prediction, sees significant value in Brest not losing. A tight contest is expected, with both teams in decent form, making a draw the most probable outcome, especially a 1-1 scoreline.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.0
60%
Both teams exhibit a tendency for lower-scoring games, with individual team 'over 2.5 goals' percentages being quite low. Brest averages 1.3 goals for and 1.4 against per game, while Strasbourg averages 1.6 for and 1.2 against. The combined average total goals per game for both teams is around 2.7-2.8, which is borderline, but the low frequency of individual teams scoring/conceding 3+ goals pushes the prediction towards Under 2.5. However, both teams have a good record of scoring at least one goal, making BTTS 'Yes' likely, with a 1-1 score being a strong possibility.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Both teams exhibit a tendency for lower-scoring games, with individual team 'over 2.5 goals' percentages being quite low. Brest averages 1.3 goals for and 1.4 against per game, while Strasbourg averages 1.6 for and 1.2 against. The combined average total goals per game for both teams is around 2.7-2.8, which is borderline, but the low frequency of individual teams scoring/conceding 3+ goals pushes the prediction towards Under 2.5. However, both teams have a good record of scoring at least one goal, making BTTS 'Yes' likely, with a 1-1 score being a strong possibility.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Despite the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, a 1-1 draw (2 goals) is a strong possibility. Both teams average over 1 goal per game, making 'Over 1.5 Goals' a more likely outcome than 'Under 1.5 Goals'.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
With a predicted 'Under 2.5 Goals' and both teams' historical data showing low percentages for high-scoring games, 'Under 3.5 Goals' is a very confident prediction.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Brest has scored 16 and conceded 21 goals in the first half across 27 games. Strasbourg has scored 18 and conceded 10 in the first half. The combined average of first-half goals is around 1.2 per game, making 'Over 0.5 Goals' in the first half a highly probable outcome.
First Team to Score
Home
Brest has a slightly higher percentage of goals scored in the opening 15 minutes (17.65%) compared to Strasbourg (6.82%). Combined with home advantage, Brest is marginally more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Both teams show a tendency to score and concede in both halves. With BTTS 'Yes' and 'Over 1.5 Goals' predicted, it's reasonable to expect action in both periods of the match.
Most Likely Score
1-1
A 1-1 draw aligns with the overall prediction of a tight match, 'Under 2.5 Goals', and 'BTTS Yes'. It's a common scoreline for competitive Ligue 1 fixtures between evenly matched teams.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams are likely to score overall, it's less common for both to find the net in the first half of a Ligue 1 match, especially in a tight contest. The combined first-half goal average is around 1.2, suggesting a single goal or none is more likely than both teams scoring.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the prediction of 'Under 2.5 Goals' and the historical low-scoring nature of both teams' matches, it's logical to infer that the expected goals (xG) for the match will also be 'Under 2.5'.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
Brest has a strong home record, and the model predicts a high probability for either a home win or a draw (90% combined). This makes '1X' a very safe and confident pick.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given the strong home form of Brest and the high probability of either a home win or a draw, selecting 'Home' in the Draw No Bet market provides good coverage. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned.
HT/FT
Draw/Draw
Given the expectation of a close contest and a predicted full-time draw, a 'Draw/Draw' outcome is plausible. Both teams are likely to be cautious in the first half, leading to a stalemate at the break.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
While specific corner data is unavailable, Ligue 1 matches typically see a decent number of corners. With both teams likely to push for a result, an active game with multiple attacking phases should lead to more than 9.5 corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Brest averages 1.96 cards per game, and Strasbourg averages 2.15 cards per game. A combined average of over 4 cards suggests that 'Over 3.5 Cards' is a confident pick for what is expected to be a competitive match.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
No specific data, but based on the teams' attacking averages (Brest 1.3 GF, Strasbourg 1.6 GF) and defensive records, both sides are expected to create chances. A combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for a Ligue 1 fixture.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams average a decent number of goals, implying they create chances. A combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is a standard expectation for a Ligue 1 game where both teams are looking for a result.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Ligue 1 matches are often physical. Without specific foul data, a competitive mid-table clash is expected to generate a moderate to high number of fouls, pushing the total over 22.5.
Possession Winner
Home
Home teams often enjoy a slight possession advantage. While Strasbourg might be technically stronger, Brest will aim to control the tempo at home. This is a low-confidence pick without specific possession stats.
Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheet
No
While Brest has a 53.8% home clean sheet rate, Strasbourg scores 1.6 goals per away game and has only failed to score in 21.4% of away matches. Strasbourg's away clean sheet rate is low at 14.3%, and Brest scores 1.5 goals per home game. Therefore, both teams are likely to score, resulting in no clean sheets.
Strasbourg Clean Sheet
No
While Brest has a 53.8% home clean sheet rate, Strasbourg scores 1.6 goals per away game and has only failed to score in 21.4% of away matches. Strasbourg's away clean sheet rate is low at 14.3%, and Brest scores 1.5 goals per home game. Therefore, both teams are likely to score, resulting in no clean sheets.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg โ Key Stats
These sides last met on 30 November 2025, when Stade Brestois 29 won 2-1 away from home in a narrow but lively win. Over the last 10 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 hold a 4-2 edge, with 4 draws in between.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg โ Recent Meetings
Strasbourg 1-2 Stade Brestois 29
โ Yes
3 (Over)
Strasbourg 0-0 Stade Brestois 29
โ No
0 (Under)
Stade Brestois 29 3-1 Strasbourg
โ Yes
4 (Over)
Strasbourg 0-3 Stade Brestois 29
โ No
3 (Over)
Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Strasbourg
โ Yes
2 (Under)
BTTS: 3/5 (60%) ยท Over 2.5: 3/5 (60%)
Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ
Home Ground
5:00 PM UTC
Wednesday, May 13
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg
โ Match Result: Draw
The bookmakers offer 3.3 for a draw, implying a 30.30% chance. Our model, supported by the API prediction, estimates the probability of a draw at 45%, indicating a substantial positive edge. Brest's strong home defense combined with Strasbourg's ability to score away, and both teams' recent form, make a stalemate highly plausible.
โ Double Chance: 1X (Stade Brestois 29 or Draw)
Given Brest's strong home form and the model's high probability for either a home win or a draw (45% Home, 45% Draw), the '1X' double chance offers excellent value. It covers two of the three possible outcomes with a very high estimated probability.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
No specific information on sharp money movements is available, but the discrepancy between bookmaker odds and our model's probabilities for Home/Draw suggests potential value for bettors following a data-driven approach. Line movement: No information on line movement is available.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 11.14 (+1014)
AI Confidence: 14%
$10 โ $111.37 | $25 โ $278.43 | $50 โ $556.85
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Player Props โ Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg
All Player Props โ
Kenny Lala
Stade Brestois 29 ยท D ยท 95'

Michel Diaz
Stade Brestois 29 ยท D ยท 95'

Daouda Guindo
Stade Brestois 29 ยท D ยท 95'

Joris Chotard
Stade Brestois 29 ยท M ยท 83'

Hugo Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29 ยท M ยท 84'

Romain Del Castillo
Stade Brestois 29 ยท M ยท 78'

Abdoul Ouattara
Strasbourg ยท D ยท 95'

Valentรญn Barco
Strasbourg ยท M ยท 92'
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธLack of direct head-to-head statistics.
- โ ๏ธAbsence of specific injury reports for both teams.
- โ ๏ธContradiction between average total goals (2.7-2.8) and individual team 'under/over 2.5' stats, requiring careful interpretation.
- โ ๏ธLigue 1 can be unpredictable, especially in mid-table clashes.
Data Quality Score
โก75%
Data quality: Good, comprehensive team statistics and league standings are available. Lack of H2H, xG, and injury data is a minor limitation.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of head-to-head match history.
- โขNo detailed xG (Expected Goals) metrics available for deeper offensive/defensive analysis.
- โขLack of specific injury or suspension information for key players.
- โขGeneral market data (sharp money, line movement) is not provided.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg โ FAQ
Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome, with a predicted score of 1-1.
Our soccer predictions weigh form, head-to-head record, home/away splits, league position, and current injury status across 16 leagues. Confidence is calibrated honestly โ a tight matchup stays 52-48 in our display rather than inflated. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Soccer Predictions hub.