Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With both teams having very poor defensive records and a high average of goals in their matches, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very safe prediction.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

While Over 2.5 is highly confident, Over 3.5 is also plausible given the high average goals in both teams' matches (SKC 3.4, NYRB 4.1) and their defensive struggles. NYRB's last 4 matches had over 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards higher scoring games.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls have shown a tendency to concede goals in the first half. NYRB also scores early (28.57% in 0-15 min). With defensive weaknesses on both sides, an early goal is quite probable.

First Team to Score

Away

New York Red Bulls have a more potent attack (1.6 goals/game) compared to Sporting Kansas City (0.8 goals/game), and SKC's defense is particularly vulnerable. NYRB also scores early (28.57% in 0-15 min).

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the expectation of multiple goals and both teams' defensive issues, it's likely that goals will be scored in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

This score reflects New York Red Bulls' stronger attack and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, leading to goals for both sides but an away victory.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While both teams are likely to score, a BTTS in the first half is less common. SKC's attack is weak, making it less likely they'll score early, even against a vulnerable defense.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Sporting Kansas City had the highest expected goals against (xGA) in MLS in 2025, indicating they consistently allow high-quality chances. With both teams having poor defenses and a tendency for high-scoring games, the combined xG for this match is expected to be high.

Double Chance

X2

Sporting Kansas City's form is abysmal, making a home win highly unlikely. New York Red Bulls are the stronger side, and the API-Sports prediction also strongly recommends a 'Draw or New York Red Bulls' outcome, with 45% probability for both a draw and an away win.

Draw No Bet

Away

Considering Sporting Kansas City's poor form and New York Red Bulls' slightly better performance, NYRB is favored to win. The Draw No Bet market removes the draw outcome, making an away pick a safer option if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

While New York Red Bulls are favored, Sporting Kansas City might hold their own in the first half at home before NYRB's superior quality eventually tells in the second half. However, an Away/Away is also plausible given SKC's struggles.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

With both teams likely to attack and a high potential for goals, an open game is expected, which often leads to a higher number of corner kicks.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

MLS matches can be physical, and with both teams struggling defensively, there's a good chance for tactical fouls and frustration, leading to multiple yellow cards. Both teams have accumulated yellow cards in previous matches.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Given the high goal-scoring potential and poor defenses, both teams are expected to create numerous chances, resulting in a higher volume of shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

An open game with many attacking opportunities and defensive lapses should lead to a higher total number of shots from both sides.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

MLS matches often feature a decent number of fouls, and with both teams likely to be battling for control and making defensive errors, the foul count could be elevated.

Possession Winner

Away

New York Red Bulls, as the stronger team, are more likely to control possession against a struggling Sporting Kansas City side, especially if they take an early lead.

Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet

No

Sporting Kansas City has a total of 0 clean sheets this season and concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game. New York Red Bulls have only 1 clean sheet in 10 games and concede an average of 2.5 goals per game. It is highly improbable that either team will keep a clean sheet.

New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet

No

Sporting Kansas City has a total of 0 clean sheets this season and concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game. New York Red Bulls have only 1 clean sheet in 10 games and concede an average of 2.5 goals per game. It is highly improbable that either team will keep a clean sheet.