Will both teams score in this match?

Yes, our analysis indicates a high probability of both teams scoring, given their respective goal-scoring and conceding records.

Is it likely to be a high-scoring game?

We predict 'Under 2.5 Goals'. While both teams are expected to score, a total of 3 or more goals is less likely based on their season averages and individual match statistics.

What is Fluminense's form like coming into this match?

Fluminense is in strong form (WDWLWWLWWD), currently sitting 3rd in the league, demonstrating consistent performance.

How does Santos' home advantage factor into the prediction?

Santos has a better record at home (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) compared to their overall form. This home advantage is considered, but Fluminense's superior quality is still expected to prevail.

Are there any value bets recommended for this match?

Yes, 'Fluminense Win' at estimated odds of 2.10 offers a positive edge, making it a potential value bet.

BrasileirãoEstadio Urbano Caldeira

Sunday, Apr 19, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 8d 4h 31m

Santos

Fluminense

19%

13%

68%

SantosDrawFluminense

AI Pick: Fluminense Win

Confidence: 65%

Santos

19%

13%

68%

SantosDrawFluminense

AI Pick: Fluminense Win

Confidence: 65%

Fluminense

1X2: Fluminense Win (⚡65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Santos vs Fluminense Prediction

This Brasileirão clash pits a struggling Santos side against a high-flying Fluminense. Fluminense's superior form, league standing, and attacking prowess make them clear favorites, even on the road. Santos will rely on their home advantage to try and upset the visitors or at least secure a point.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Fluminense Win

Predicted: 1-2

⚡65%

Fluminense enters this match in significantly better form and a much stronger league position (3rd) compared to Santos (15th). While Santos has a home advantage, their overall form (LDLWDDLDWL) and home record (2W, 2D, 1L) are mediocre. Fluminense, despite a less dominant away record (1W, 2D, 2L), has a potent attack (1.4 avg goals away) and a solid defense. Their overall superior quality and current momentum suggest they are more likely to secure an away victory, though Santos will likely put up a fight at home.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.8

60%

Santos' home games average 2.4 total goals, while Fluminense's away games average 2.8. Both teams' 'under_over' stats show a tendency for fewer goals, with Santos having 0/10 games over 2.5 goals scored and Fluminense 2/10. The combined average suggests a game hovering around 2.5 goals, but the individual team data on over/under 2.5 leans towards the under. Both teams are consistent scorers (Santos failed to score in 1/10, Fluminense in 0/10) and concede regularly (Santos conceded in 8/10, Fluminense in 7/10), making BTTS 'Yes' highly probable. The predicted total goals based on team averages is approximately 2.8.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

📊 More Markets

⚽ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

80%

With both teams likely to score (BTTS Yes) and a predicted total of 2.8 goals, it is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

75%

While goals are expected, the overall average for both teams' matches (2.6-2.8) and their individual 'under_over' stats suggest that a high-scoring game with 4 or more goals is less likely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

70%

Santos scored 6 goals and conceded 5 in the first half over 10 games. Fluminense scored 9 and conceded 3 in the first half. The statistics strongly suggest at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Away

65%

Fluminense has a more potent attack and has failed to score in 0/10 games, indicating their ability to start strong and find the net first.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

60%

Given the expectation of goals from both sides and the likelihood of at least 2-3 goals in total, it is reasonable to expect goals to be distributed across both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

25%

Based on Fluminense's attacking prowess (1.4 avg goals away) and Santos' ability to score at home (1.4 avg goals home), a 1-2 scoreline in favor of the visitors aligns with the overall prediction and team statistics.

BTTS 1st Half

60%

While both teams are likely to score overall, BTTS in the first half is a higher bar. Santos conceded 5 and Fluminense conceded 3 in the first half over 10 games, making it less probable for both to score in the opening 45 minutes.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

50%

Based on the predicted total goals of 2.8 and the attacking nature of Fluminense, it's plausible that the quality of chances created by both teams combined will result in an Expected Goals (xG) tally exceeding 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

80%

Given Fluminense's superior form and league position, a draw or an away win is the most probable outcome. This pick offers a safer option covering two of the three possible results.

Draw No Bet

Away

70%

Fluminense is the stronger team and is favored to win. The Draw No Bet market eliminates the risk of a draw, making an 'Away' pick a confident choice given their form.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

40%

Santos' home advantage might allow them to hold Fluminense to a draw at halftime. However, Fluminense's superior quality and depth are expected to tell in the second half, leading to an away win.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

55%

While specific corner data is unavailable, Brasileirão matches typically see a decent number of corners. Both teams will be looking to attack, which should lead to deflections and clearances resulting in corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Santos averages 3.3 yellow cards per game, and Fluminense averages 2.2. A combined average of 5.5 yellow cards suggests a high likelihood of exceeding 3.5 cards in what is expected to be a competitive match.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

Both teams have capable attacks. Fluminense averages 1.7 goals per game, and Santos 1.3. This indicates they create chances, leading to a reasonable number of shots on target, likely exceeding 8.5 in total.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Both teams will be looking to create chances. Fluminense's attack will test Santos' defense, and Santos will try to leverage home advantage, leading to a decent volume of shots, including blocked attempts and off-target efforts.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Brasileirão matches are often physical and competitive, leading to a higher number of fouls. A tight contest between a struggling home side and a strong away team is likely to see frequent stoppages.

Possession Winner

Away

65%

Fluminense, as a top-tier team, typically dominates possession against mid-to-lower table opponents. Their structured play and technical quality should allow them to control the ball for larger periods.

Santos Clean Sheet

70%

Santos has only 1 clean sheet at home this season, and Fluminense has a strong scoring record, especially away. Fluminense has 1 clean sheet away, but Santos scores consistently at home (failed to score in 0/5 home games). It's unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.

Fluminense Clean Sheet

70%

Santos vs Fluminense — Key Stats

SantosStatFluminense

15th League Position✅ 3rd

10 Points✅ 20

10 Games Played10

2 Wins✅ 6

4 Draws✅ 2

13 Goals Scored✅ 17

16 Goals Conceded✅ 11

1.3 Goals Per Game✅ 1.7

2 Clean Sheets✅ 3

DLDWL ✅Recent FormWLWWD

🏟️

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Home Ground

⏰

7:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr 19

Matchday kickoff

⚽

Brasileirão

Soccer

Betting Angles — Santos vs Fluminense

⚠️ Match Result: Fluminense Win

Fluminense's strong league position and superior form make them the favorites. With an estimated model probability of 50% for an away win, odds of 2.10 (implying 47.62%) present a positive edge, indicating good value.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money is expected to be on Fluminense to win or on the 'Draw No Bet: Away' market, reflecting confidence in their overall quality. There might also be interest in 'BTTS Yes' due to both teams' scoring records. Line movement: Without initial odds, it's hard to predict specific line movement. However, if Fluminense's odds are initially high, they might shorten as more money comes in, while a potential draw or Santos win might see their odds drift slightly.

AI Same Game Parlay — Santos vs Fluminense

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg

Fluminense Win2.00

Under 2.5 Goals1.85

BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Build custom SGP →

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk

6/10

⚠️Santos' home advantage could make them more resilient than their overall form suggests.
⚠️Fluminense's away form, while decent, is not as dominant as their home form, introducing an element of unpredictability.
⚠️Potential for a draw, as both teams have shown tendencies for draws in their recent form (Santos 4/10, Fluminense 2/10).

Model Confidence

⚡75%

Data quality: The provided team statistics and league standings are comprehensive and up-to-date for the 2026 season, allowing for a robust data-driven analysis.

Limitations

•Absence of head-to-head statistics for direct comparison.
•Lack of specific player injury reports, which could significantly impact team performance.
•No xG data provided, limiting deeper offensive/defensive efficiency analysis.
•No historical odds data to benchmark against market expectations.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Santos vs Fluminense — FAQ

Our model predicts an away win for Fluminense with a score of 1-2.