BrasileirãoBrasileirãoEstadio Urbano Caldeira

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 9h 52m

Santos

Santos

vs

Coritiba

Coritiba

30%
40%
30%
SantosDrawCoritiba

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 40%

1X2: Draw (40%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Santos vs Coritiba Prediction

This Brasileirão fixture pits Santos' historical home advantage and head-to-head dominance against Coritiba's superior current form and strong away performance. A tight, low-scoring affair is anticipated, with a draw being a highly probable outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

40%

This match presents a clash of historical dominance versus current form. Santos, playing at home, boasts a strong head-to-head record against Coritiba, having won 12 out of 21 previous encounters and 4 of the last 5. However, Santos' current league form is inconsistent (15th in the standings with 'LWLWD' form), and they have been plagued by numerous injuries throughout early 2026, including key players like Gabriel Menino and Vinicius Lira. Coritiba, on the other hand, is in significantly better form this season, sitting 7th in the league with a 'WDDDL' form, and possesses a surprisingly strong away record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 6 away games). While Coritiba will be without Pedro Morisco due to injury, their overall team performance has been more stable. The API-Sports prediction also heavily leans towards a 'Santos or draw' outcome, with a 45% chance for a home win and a 45% chance for a draw. Given Coritiba's solid current form and away performance, they are capable of holding Santos to a draw, despite Santos' historical advantage at home.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2

60%

Both teams have shown a tendency for lower-scoring matches this season. Santos has a very low percentage of games going over 2.5 goals (0 out of 12 in the provided data), and Coritiba has only had 1 game over 2.5 goals in 12 matches. The recent head-to-head fixture on April 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. This strongly suggests an 'Under 2.5 Goals' outcome. For 'Both Teams To Score', Santos has failed to score only once in 12 games, while Coritiba has scored 10 goals in 6 away games. Santos has also conceded 8 goals in 7 home games. Therefore, despite the low total goal expectation, both teams are likely to find the net.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams have shown a tendency for lower-scoring matches this season. Santos has a very low percentage of games going over 2.5 goals (0 out of 12 in the provided data), and Coritiba has only had 1 game over 2.5 goals in 12 matches. The recent head-to-head fixture on April 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. This strongly suggests an 'Under 2.5 Goals' outcome. For 'Both Teams To Score', Santos has failed to score only once in 12 games, while Coritiba has scored 10 goals in 6 away games. Santos has also conceded 8 goals in 7 home games. Therefore, despite the low total goal expectation, both teams are likely to find the net.

Santos vs Coritiba Key Stats

SantosStatCoritiba
15th League Position7th
13 Points19
12 Games Played12
3 Wins5
4 Draws4
16 Goals Scored15
19 Goals Conceded12
1.3 Goals Per Game1.3
3 Clean Sheets4
DWLWL Recent FormLDDDW
🏟️

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Home Ground

2:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

Brasileirão

Soccer

AI Same Game Parlay Santos vs Coritiba

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Draw2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 14%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Model Confidence

60%

Data quality: High

Limitations

  • Exact current injury status for all players on the match day (May 17, 2026) is not fully confirmed for all players listed as injured in early 2026.
  • Lineup announcements are based on a match from April 19, 2026, and may change.

For entertainment only.