Ligue 1Stade Geoffroy-GuichardTuesday, May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC
Kickoff in 5d 22h 53m
Saint Etienne
vs
Nice
AI Pick: Nice Win
Confidence: 37%
1X2: Nice Win (37%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
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Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction
This Ligue 1 match pits Saint Etienne against Nice. Historically, Nice has been the dominant force in this fixture, but their form in the previous season was poor, finishing 16th. Saint Etienne's current season data is very limited, making this a challenging match to predict with high certainty. The prediction leans towards an away win for Nice, likely in a low-scoring game, primarily due to their strong head-to-head record.
Saint Etienne host Nice at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard on Tuesday, part of the 2025 Ligue 1 season. Both sides' recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and current injury status are factored into the prediction below.
How they arrived here
Saint Etienne arrive having taken 1 win from their last five matches.
Nice come in having taken 4 draws and 1 defeat from their last five matches. They are currently 16th and in the relegation play-off spot.
MATCH RESULT
Nice Win
Predicted: 0-1
37%
Nice holds a dominant head-to-head record against Saint Etienne, winning 7 of their last 8 competitive encounters, often by significant margins. While Nice's overall form in the previous 2025 season was inconsistent (finishing 16th with a poor away record of 3 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses), Saint Etienne's current season data is extremely limited (only 1 game played, a win). The API-Sports prediction also leans towards Nice with a 'Win or Draw' outcome and a high percentage for an away win or draw. Despite Nice's struggles, their historical dominance and the lack of substantial current data for Saint Etienne make an away win the most probable outcome, likely in a low-scoring affair.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.2
60%
Nice's previous season statistics show a tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches having under 2.5 goals for them and 25 out of 34 having under 2.5 goals against them. The API-Sports advice also suggests 'Under 3.5 Goals'. While H2H has seen some high-scoring games, Nice's recent form points to fewer goals. For BTTS, Nice conceded 1.9 goals per away game last season, and Saint Etienne scored in their only recorded match. 5 out of 8 recent H2H matches also saw both teams score.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Nice's previous season statistics show a tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches having under 2.5 goals for them and 25 out of 34 having under 2.5 goals against them. The API-Sports advice also suggests 'Under 3.5 Goals'. While H2H has seen some high-scoring games, Nice's recent form points to fewer goals. For BTTS, Nice conceded 1.9 goals per away game last season, and Saint Etienne scored in their only recorded match. 5 out of 8 recent H2H matches also saw both teams score.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While 'Under 2.5 Goals' is predicted, a 0-0 draw is less likely given the H2H history and both teams' ability to score. A 1-1 draw or a 0-1/1-0 result still falls within 'Over 1.5 Goals', making it a moderately confident pick.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
The API-Sports advice explicitly recommends 'Under 3.5 Goals'. Nice's previous season statistics show that 33 out of 34 of their matches had under 3.5 goals, strongly supporting this prediction.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Nice scored in 46% and conceded in 51% of their first halves last season, indicating a high likelihood of a goal before halftime. Saint Etienne also scored in their only recorded game. This suggests a strong chance of at least one goal in the first 45 minutes.
First Team to Score
Away
With Nice predicted to win 0-1, they are expected to be the first team to score. Their historical dominance in H2H further supports this, despite their previous season's away form.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Nice's games last season frequently saw goals in both halves, both for and against them. Many of the recent H2H matches also featured goals in both halves, suggesting a dynamic game flow.
Most Likely Score
0-1
Based on Nice's tendency for low-scoring games and their historical H2H dominance, a narrow 0-1 victory for Nice is a plausible exact score. This aligns with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction.
BTTS 1st Half
Yes
Nice conceded 31 goals in the first half last season, indicating defensive vulnerability early on. 5 out of the last 8 H2H matches also saw both teams score in the first half, making this a plausible outcome.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the prediction of a low-scoring match (0-1) and Nice's tendency for games with fewer goals, it's reasonable to expect the combined Expected Goals (xG) for both teams to be under 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
The API-Sports prediction explicitly suggests 'Win or draw' for Nice (X2), with 45% for a draw and 45% for an away win. This aligns with Nice's historical dominance over Saint Etienne, making X2 a highly confident pick.
Draw No Bet
Away
Given the primary prediction of an away win for Nice, the Draw No Bet market naturally favors the away team. This offers a safer option by returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Considering Nice's previous season form and the expectation of a tight match, a draw at halftime followed by Nice securing a win in the second half is a reasonable outcome. Nice's games often see goals in both halves, but a cautious first half is possible.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Without specific corner statistics, a default pick of Over 9.5 corners is made, assuming a competitive Ligue 1 match with attacking play from both sides.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Nice averaged over 2 yellow cards per game last season (69 in 34 matches), and Saint Etienne received one in their single recorded game. Ligue 1 matches typically see a moderate number of cards, making Over 3.5 a reasonable expectation for a competitive fixture.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
In the absence of specific shots on target data, a general pick of Over 8.5 is made, assuming both teams will create scoring opportunities throughout the match.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Without specific total shots data, a general pick of Over 22.5 shots is made, anticipating both teams to attempt numerous shots throughout the game.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
In the absence of specific foul data, a default pick of Over 22.5 fouls is made, assuming a competitive Ligue 1 match with typical physicality and tactical fouling.
Possession Winner
Away
Nice, as the historically stronger team in this fixture and generally a more established Ligue 1 side, is expected to control more of the possession, even if playing away.
Saint Etienne Clean Sheet
No
Predicting a 0-1 scoreline for Nice implies an away clean sheet. Nice has a strong H2H record against Saint Etienne, and while Saint Etienne kept a clean sheet in their single game, Nice's historical dominance suggests they will find the net. Nice's away clean sheet confidence is moderate due to their previous season's defensive record.
Nice Clean Sheet
Yes
Predicting a 0-1 scoreline for Nice implies an away clean sheet. Nice has a strong H2H record against Saint Etienne, and while Saint Etienne kept a clean sheet in their single game, Nice's historical dominance suggests they will find the net. Nice's away clean sheet confidence is moderate due to their previous season's defensive record.
Saint Etienne vs Nice โ Key Stats
These sides last met on 21 December 2025, when Nice won 2-1 at home in a narrow but lively win. Over the last 10 meetings, Nice hold a 6-2 edge, with 2 draws in between.
Saint Etienne vs Nice โ Recent Meetings
Nice 2-1 Saint Etienne
โ Yes
3 (Over)
Saint Etienne 1-3 Nice
โ Yes
4 (Over)
Nice 8-0 Saint Etienne
โ No
8 (Over)
Nice 4-2 Saint Etienne
โ Yes
6 (Over)
Saint Etienne 0-3 Nice
โ No
3 (Over)
BTTS: 3/5 (60%) ยท Over 2.5: 5/5 (100%)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Home Ground
6:45 PM UTC
Tuesday, May 26
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Saint Etienne vs Nice
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds provided to gauge sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided to observe line movement.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Saint Etienne vs Nice
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 13%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธLack of comprehensive current season data for Saint Etienne, making their true strength difficult to assess.
- โ ๏ธNice's inconsistent form and poor away record in the previous season, despite H2H dominance.
- โ ๏ธAbsence of real-time odds, limiting the ability to identify value bets and market sentiment.
- โ ๏ธPotential for data inconsistencies or errors in the provided API-Sports comparison (e.g., Poisson model).
Data Quality Score
60%
Data quality: The data quality is mixed. Nice has a full season's statistics from 2025, but Saint Etienne's data is limited to a single game, making it difficult to assess their true current strength. The absence of odds is also a significant limitation.
Limitations
- โขIncomplete current season data for Saint Etienne.
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds.
- โขPotential for API-Sports prediction inconsistencies (e.g., Poisson model percentages).
- โขReliance on previous season's performance for Nice, which may not fully reflect their current state.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Saint Etienne vs Nice โ FAQ
Nice has a dominant head-to-head record against Saint Etienne, winning 7 of their last 8 competitive matches, including several high-scoring victories. Saint Etienne's last win against Nice was in 2021.
Our soccer predictions weigh form, head-to-head record, home/away splits, league position, and current injury status across 16 leagues. Confidence is calibrated honestly โ a tight matchup stays 52-48 in our display rather than inflated. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Soccer Predictions hub.