Ligue 1Roazhon ParkSaturday, May 9, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 7h 9m

Rennes
vs

Paris FC
AI Pick: Rennes Win
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Rennes Win (โก65%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Rennes vs Paris FC Prediction
Rennes, positioned 6th in Ligue 1, is set to host 12th-placed Paris FC. Rennes holds a clear advantage in league standing, home performance, and historical head-to-head records. While Paris FC has shown resilience with an undefeated streak in their last five games, their away form is less convincing. Rennes is favored to win, likely in a match with under 2.5 goals but with both teams finding the net.
MATCH RESULT
Rennes Win
Predicted: 2-1
โก65%
Rennes, currently 6th in Ligue 1, holds a significant advantage over 12th-placed Paris FC. Playing at home, Rennes boasts a strong record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game. While Paris FC has shown resilience with an undefeated run in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws), their away form is less convincing (3 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses). The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Rennes (54% total advantage, 63% Poisson win probability) and indicates a 100% H2H win rate for Rennes. Despite Paris FC's tendency for draws, Rennes' home strength and superior league position make them the favorite to secure a win.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.4
60%
Rennes' home matches average 2.73 total goals, while Paris FC's away matches average 2.33 total goals. The combined average for this fixture is approximately 2.5 goals. API-Sports prediction for individual team goals (-2.5 for both home and away) suggests a lower-scoring affair. Therefore, Under 2.5 Goals is the primary pick. Both teams have shown a capability to score and concede, with Rennes scoring 1.7 at home and Paris FC scoring 1.0 away, making Both Teams To Score 'Yes' a likely outcome.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Rennes' home matches average 2.73 total goals, while Paris FC's away matches average 2.33 total goals. The combined average for this fixture is approximately 2.5 goals. API-Sports prediction for individual team goals (-2.5 for both home and away) suggests a lower-scoring affair. Therefore, Under 2.5 Goals is the primary pick. Both teams have shown a capability to score and concede, with Rennes scoring 1.7 at home and Paris FC scoring 1.0 away, making Both Teams To Score 'Yes' a likely outcome.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Even with a prediction of Under 2.5 Goals, the combined average goals for both teams suggests that at least two goals are very likely to be scored in the match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Given the expectation of Under 2.5 Goals and the overall average goals per game for both teams, it is highly probable that the total goals will not exceed 3.5.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have a history of scoring in the first half, with Rennes scoring 48.94% of their goals before the 45th minute and Paris FC scoring 47.22%. A goal in the first half is highly probable.
First Team to Score
Home
Rennes has a stronger attacking record at home (1.7 goals/game) compared to Paris FC's away scoring (1.0 goals/game), making them more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
No
With a prediction leaning towards Under 2.5 Goals, a scenario where all goals occur in one half (e.g., 2-0, 1-0) or a single goal is scored (e.g., 1-0, 1-1) is plausible, making 'No' for goals in both halves a slight preference.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Based on Rennes' home scoring average (1.7) and conceding average (1.0), coupled with Paris FC's away scoring (1.0) and conceding (1.3), a 2-1 victory for Rennes aligns with the statistical averages and predicted outcome.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams can score, it's less common for both to find the net in the first 45 minutes, especially in a match predicted to be relatively low-scoring.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction, the expected goals (xG) for the match are also anticipated to be below 2.5, indicating fewer high-quality scoring opportunities.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
API-Sports explicitly recommends 'Rennes or draw' (1X) with high confidence, supported by Rennes' strong home form and superior league position.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given Rennes is the clear favorite to win, selecting them in a Draw No Bet market provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Rennes is expected to dominate at home. If they take an early lead, they are likely to maintain it through to full-time.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Ligue 1 matches generally see a good number of corners, and with both teams looking to attack, especially Rennes at home, exceeding 9.5 corners is a reasonable expectation.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both Rennes (50 yellow, 4 red) and Paris FC (58 yellow, 4 red) accumulate a fair number of cards. A competitive Ligue 1 match is likely to result in at least 4 cards.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Rennes' strong home attack and Paris FC's ability to create chances suggest a match with a decent number of shots on target from both sides.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Rennes' attacking prowess at home and Paris FC's attempts to counter or create chances should lead to a combined total of over 22.5 shots in the match.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Ligue 1 matches are often physical, and a competitive encounter between these two teams is expected to generate a moderate to high number of fouls.
Possession Winner
Home
As the higher-ranked home team, Rennes is expected to control the tempo and maintain more possession throughout the match.
Rennes Clean Sheet
No
Rennes concedes 1.0 goals at home, and Paris FC scores 1.0 goals away, making a home clean sheet unlikely. Similarly, Rennes scores 1.7 goals at home, making an away clean sheet for Paris FC improbable.
Paris FC Clean Sheet
No
Rennes concedes 1.0 goals at home, and Paris FC scores 1.0 goals away, making a home clean sheet unlikely. Similarly, Rennes scores 1.7 goals at home, making an away clean sheet for Paris FC improbable.
Rennes vs Paris FC โ Key Stats
Roazhon Park
Home Ground
7:00 PM UTC
Saturday, May 9
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Rennes vs Paris FC
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data available to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to track line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Rennes vs Paris FC
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธParis FC's recent strong form, particularly their tendency for draws, could lead to an unexpected result.
- โ ๏ธLack of detailed H2H match data beyond the win percentage makes a deeper historical analysis difficult.
- โ ๏ธAbsence of live odds prevents a precise value bet calculation and market sentiment assessment.
- โ ๏ธLigue 1 can be unpredictable, especially in mid-table clashes.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports comparison data were available. However, specific H2H match details, injury reports, and live odds were absent.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of detailed historical head-to-head match results (only aggregate win percentage provided).
- โขNo injury reports for either team, which could impact squad strength.
- โขLack of real-time odds data, preventing calculation of value bets and analysis of market sentiment/line movement.
- โขPlayer-specific form and tactical setups are not included in the provided data.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Rennes vs Paris FC โ FAQ
Rennes is in strong form, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 league matches (WWDLW).