Liga MXLiga MX

Saturday, Apr 25, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 13d 11h 29m

Puebla

Puebla

vs

Club Queretaro

Club Queretaro

18%
64%
18%
PueblaDrawClub Queretaro

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Draw (โšก65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Puebla vs Club Queretaro Prediction

This Liga MX Clausura match pits two bottom-table teams, Puebla and Club Queretaro, against each other. Both sides have struggled significantly this season, particularly in goal scoring and defensive consistency. The match is expected to be a low-scoring, cagey affair, with a draw being the most probable outcome given their respective forms.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

โšก65%

Both Puebla and Club Queretaro are struggling at the bottom of the Liga MX Clausura table, exhibiting poor form and low goal output. Puebla has a slight home advantage but concedes frequently, while Queretaro's away scoring record is particularly weak (0 wins in 6 away Clausura games). This sets the stage for a tight, low-scoring affair where neither team is likely to dominate, making a draw the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.8

60%

Puebla averages 1.0 GF and 1.9 GA per game, while Queretaro averages 1.0 GF and 1.5 GA. Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with under 2.5 goals. Queretaro's away scoring is particularly poor (0.33 GF/game in Clausura), making it likely that at least one team fails to score, leading to a 'No' for BTTS. The expected total goals are around 1.8, reflecting a tight, low-scoring match.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Puebla averages 1.0 GF and 1.9 GA per game, while Queretaro averages 1.0 GF and 1.5 GA. Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with under 2.5 goals. Queretaro's away scoring is particularly poor (0.33 GF/game in Clausura), making it likely that at least one team fails to score, leading to a 'No' for BTTS. The expected total goals are around 1.8, reflecting a tight, low-scoring match.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

70%

While Under 2.5 is a strong prediction, a 1-1 draw or a 2-0/0-2 scoreline would still hit Over 1.5, which is more likely than a 0-0 or 1-0.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

90%

Both teams have very low goal averages and rarely see high-scoring games (Puebla 2/31 over 3.5, Queretaro 0/30 over 3.5).

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

While a low-scoring game is expected, a single goal in the first half is still quite common in Liga MX, even between defensive teams.

First Team to Score

Home

60%

Puebla generally scores more at home (1.2 avg) than Queretaro does away (0.7 avg), giving them a slight edge to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

Given the expectation of a low-scoring game, goals in both halves are less probable.

Most Likely Score

1-1

50%

This scoreline reflects the expected tight, low-scoring nature of the match and the high probability of a draw.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

Both teams struggle to score, making it highly unlikely for both to find the net in the first 45 minutes.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Based on the low actual goal output and expected cautious play from both teams, the combined Expected Goals (xG) for the match is likely to be low.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

70%

Puebla, despite their struggles, has a home advantage. Queretaro's away form (0 wins in 6 Clausura away games) makes a straight away win unlikely, but a draw is possible. 1X covers a home win or a draw.

Draw No Bet

Home

65%

If a winner emerges, Puebla has a slightly better chance at home, offering a safer bet with the draw voided.

HT/FT

Draw/Draw

55%

A cautious start and a continued stalemate throughout the game are plausible given the teams' current form and struggles.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Under 9.5

60%

A cautious, low-scoring game between two struggling sides typically results in fewer attacking phases and thus fewer corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Liga MX matches are often competitive and physical. Both teams accumulate a fair number of cards per game (Puebla 2.35 yellow/game, Queretaro 2.7 yellow/game), and a tense match at the bottom of the table could lead to more fouls and bookings.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

60%

With both teams struggling to create clear-cut chances and score, the number of shots on target is likely to be below average.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

60%

Low-scoring teams that struggle to create chances tend to generate fewer total shots in a match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Liga MX matches often feature a high number of fouls, especially in competitive games between teams fighting at the bottom of the table.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

The home team often enjoys a slight advantage in possession, especially against a struggling away side.

Puebla Clean Sheet

No

65%

Both teams concede regularly. Puebla has only 3 home clean sheets in 16 games, and Queretaro has 3 away clean sheets in 15 games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for both sides.

Club Queretaro Clean Sheet

No

65%

Both teams concede regularly. Puebla has only 3 home clean sheets in 16 games, and Queretaro has 3 away clean sheets in 15 games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for both sides.

Puebla vs Club Queretaro โ€” Key Stats

PueblaStatClub Queretaro
15th โœ…League Position16th
13 โœ…Points12
31 โœ…Games Played30
6 Winsโœ… 8
7 โœ…Draws8
32 โœ…Goals Scored29
59 Goals Concededโœ… 46
1.0 Goals Per Game1.0
6 Clean Sheetsโœ… 8
LDLDL โœ…Recent FormLDDWD

Betting Angles โ€” Puebla vs Club Queretaro

โš ๏ธ Match Result: Draw

Given both teams' struggles for wins and goals, a stalemate is a highly probable outcome. The model's probability for a draw is slightly higher than typical market odds for such a result, indicating potential value.

โœ… Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have low goal-scoring averages (Puebla 1.0 GF/game, Queretaro 1.0 GF/game) and a high percentage of their games (Puebla 28/31, Queretaro 27/30) ending with under 2.5 goals. This market offers strong value given the statistical trends.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds or market data, it's impossible to track sharp money. However, given the nature of the teams, sharp bettors might look for value in the draw or specific under/over goal markets. Line movement: N/A - No opening or current odds provided to analyze line movement.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Puebla vs Club Queretaro

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Draw2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
7/10
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are in poor form, making the outcome highly unpredictable.
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific odds means value bets are based on assumed market prices.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of H2H, injury, and detailed tactical data increases uncertainty.
  • โš ๏ธLow-scoring games can be volatile, with a single goal potentially changing the entire dynamic.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: Good, comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided for both teams and the league. However, the absence of H2H, injury, and live odds limits deeper analysis.

Limitations

  • โ€ขNo head-to-head statistics available.
  • โ€ขNo injury reports or squad news provided.
  • โ€ขNo live odds or market data for real-time value assessment.
  • โ€ขTactical nuances and recent team news are not included in the provided data.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Puebla vs Club Queretaro โ€” FAQ

Based on current form and statistics, a draw (1-1) is the most likely outcome, reflecting the struggles of both teams.