Serie ASerie AArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 41m

Pisa

Pisa

vs

Napoli

Napoli

37%
24%
39%
PisaDrawNapoli

AI Pick: Napoli Win

Confidence: 35%

1X2: Napoli Win (35%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Pisa vs Napoli Prediction

This Serie A clash pits a dominant Napoli side (2nd) against a struggling Pisa team (20th). Napoli's superior form, attacking power, and solid defense make them overwhelming favorites. Pisa's poor scoring record and leaky defense suggest a challenging match for the home side.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Napoli Win

Predicted: 0-2

35%

Napoli, currently 2nd in Serie A, faces a struggling Pisa side, who are rooted at the bottom (20th) of the league. Pisa has a dismal record of only 2 wins, 12 draws, and 20 losses in 34 games, with a 'LLLLL' form in their last five matches. They have scored only 24 goals while conceding 61. In contrast, Napoli boasts a strong record of 21 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 'WLDWW' form in their last five. Napoli averages 1.5 goals per game and concedes 1.0, while Pisa averages a mere 0.7 goals for and 1.8 goals against. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Napoli across all metrics (Form 0% vs 100%, Attack 13% vs 88%, Defense 20% vs 80%, H2H 0% vs 100%, Poisson 21% vs 79%). Given Pisa's severe lack of form, poor offensive output, and weak defense, Napoli is highly likely to secure a comfortable away victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.8

60%

Pisa has an extremely low scoring average of 0.7 goals per game, and has failed to score in 19 of their 34 matches. Napoli, while strong offensively (1.5 goals/game), also has a solid defense (1.0 goals conceded/game) and has kept 12 clean sheets this season. Based on Pisa's home scoring average (0.5 goals) and Napoli's away goals conceded (1.1 goals), and Napoli's away scoring average (1.3 goals) against Pisa's home goals conceded (1.2 goals), a low-scoring affair is expected. The combined average of expected goals for this specific matchup is around 1.8, strongly suggesting Under 2.5 goals and 'No' for Both Teams To Score.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Pisa has an extremely low scoring average of 0.7 goals per game, and has failed to score in 19 of their 34 matches. Napoli, while strong offensively (1.5 goals/game), also has a solid defense (1.0 goals conceded/game) and has kept 12 clean sheets this season. Based on Pisa's home scoring average (0.5 goals) and Napoli's away goals conceded (1.1 goals), and Napoli's away scoring average (1.3 goals) against Pisa's home goals conceded (1.2 goals), a low-scoring affair is expected. The combined average of expected goals for this specific matchup is around 1.8, strongly suggesting Under 2.5 goals and 'No' for Both Teams To Score.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

47%

While Under 2.5 goals is predicted, Napoli's attacking strength against Pisa's weak defense makes it very likely that at least two goals will be scored in the match, most likely by Napoli.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

35%

With Pisa's extremely low scoring output and Napoli's solid defense, it's highly improbable that this match will see four or more goals. Under 3.5 goals is a very safe prediction.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

Napoli has a strong tendency to score in the first half (26 of their 52 goals this season). Pisa's defense is vulnerable, conceding 25 goals in the first half. It's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime, most likely by Napoli.

First Team to Score

Away

35%

Napoli is the superior attacking side and Pisa has failed to score in over half of their matches. It is highly probable that Napoli will open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

Given Napoli's attacking strength and Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities, it's plausible that goals will be scored in both halves, primarily by Napoli, or a combination of Napoli and a late consolation from Pisa if the game opens up.

Most Likely Score

0-2

46%

Based on Pisa's extremely low scoring rate and Napoli's solid defense, a clean sheet for Napoli is anticipated. Napoli's average goals per game (1.5) suggests they can score 2 goals against Pisa's poor defense (1.8 goals conceded per game).

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

Pisa's scoring is very low overall, and even less likely in the first half against a strong Napoli defense. It's highly improbable that both teams will manage to score before halftime.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

46%

Based on the low average goals per game for Pisa (0.7 GF, 1.8 GA) and the overall average goals in matches involving both teams (2.5), the total expected goals (xG) for this match is likely to be under 2.5, especially considering Pisa's offensive struggles.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

35%

Given Napoli's superior quality, form, and league position compared to Pisa, a draw or an away win is the most logical and safest prediction. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Draw or Napoli'.

Draw No Bet

Away

35%

Napoli is the overwhelming favorite in this match. In the event of a draw, the bet would be void, but an outright Napoli win is the most likely outcome, making 'Away' the clear pick for Draw No Bet.

HT/FT

Away/Away

47%

Napoli often starts strong and scores in the first half. Given their overall dominance and Pisa's struggles, it's likely Napoli will lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Napoli is an attacking team and will likely dominate possession, leading to numerous attacking phases and potential corners. Pisa, while defensive, may also contribute some corners on rare counter-attacks or set pieces. Over 9.5 is a standard line for Serie A matches with a dominant favorite.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Pisa is a team prone to fouls and cards, having accumulated 67 yellow cards and 3 red cards this season. Frustration could set in for the home side against a superior opponent. Serie A matches generally see a moderate number of cards, making Over 3.5 a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Napoli's attacking prowess against Pisa's weak defense should result in a high number of shots on target for the away side. Pisa is unlikely to contribute significantly, but Napoli alone could push this total over 8.5.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Napoli will dominate possession and create many chances, leading to a high number of shots. Pisa will likely have fewer shots but combined, the total should exceed 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Serie A matches tend to be competitive and physical. Pisa, as the underdog, will likely resort to more fouls to break up Napoli's play. Over 22.5 fouls is a common occurrence in such matchups.

Possession Winner

Away

35%

Napoli is a top-tier team known for its ball-dominant style of play. Against a struggling side like Pisa, they are expected to control possession for the majority of the match.

Pisa Clean Sheet

No

47%

Pisa has failed to score in 19 of their 34 matches this season and averages only 0.7 goals per game. Napoli has kept 12 clean sheets and possesses a strong defense. It is highly probable that Napoli will keep a clean sheet against Pisa's anemic attack.

Napoli Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Pisa has failed to score in 19 of their 34 matches this season and averages only 0.7 goals per game. Napoli has kept 12 clean sheets and possesses a strong defense. It is highly probable that Napoli will keep a clean sheet against Pisa's anemic attack.

Pisa vs Napoli โ€” Key Stats

PisaStatNapoli
20th League Positionโœ… 2nd
18 Pointsโœ… 69
34 Games Played34
2 Winsโœ… 21
12 Drawsโœ… 6
24 Goals Scoredโœ… 52
61 Goals Concededโœ… 33
0.7 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.5
5 Clean Sheetsโœ… 12
LLLLL โœ…Recent FormWWDLW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Home Ground

โฐ

1:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Pisa vs Napoli

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Napoli to cover a handicap or for a low-scoring game (Under 2.5 goals) given Pisa's inability to score. Line movement: If odds were available, the line for Napoli to win would likely shorten further as kick-off approaches, reflecting confidence in their victory. The Over/Under 2.5 line might see movement towards the Under.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Pisa vs Napoli

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Napoli Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 12%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
2/10
  • โš ๏ธPisa playing with nothing to lose could lead to an unexpected performance.
  • โš ๏ธNapoli potentially underestimating the opponent or resting key players if their league position is secured.
  • โš ๏ธA rare defensive error from Napoli could give Pisa a chance.

Model Confidence

โšก88%

Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings for both teams are available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific head-to-head data.
  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time injury reports.
  • โ€ขNo direct odds provided, limiting value bet identification.
  • โ€ขNo xG data for more precise goal market predictions.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Pisa vs Napoli โ€” FAQ

Napoli is the overwhelming favorite to win this match due to their superior league position, form, and overall team quality compared to Pisa.