EredivisieEredivisieIJsseldelta Stadion

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 17m

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

vs

Heracles

Heracles

78%
8%
14%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles

AI Pick: PEC Zwolle Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: PEC Zwolle Win (โšก75%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Prediction

PEC Zwolle hosts Heracles in a crucial Eredivisie clash. PEC Zwolle holds a significant home advantage against a Heracles side that is rooted to the bottom of the league, particularly struggling on the road with a dismal away record. Expect PEC Zwolle to dominate, but Heracles' desperation could lead to a spirited, albeit likely losing, effort.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

PEC Zwolle Win

Predicted: 2-1

โšก75%

PEC Zwolle, despite inconsistent overall form, boasts a significantly stronger home record (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses) compared to Heracles' abysmal away performance (1 win, 1 draw, 13 losses). Heracles sits at the bottom of the league and has a league-worst away defense, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per away game. While PEC Zwolle's recent form includes several draws, their home advantage against the weakest away team in the league makes them strong favorites. The API-Sports prediction of a high draw chance is noted, but Heracles' away record is too poor to justify such a high probability for a draw.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.2

60%

Heracles' away matches are consistently high-scoring, averaging 3.8 goals per game due to their poor defense (3.0 goals conceded per away game). PEC Zwolle's home games average 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, making Over 2.5 goals and BTTS 'Yes' highly probable. The average expected goals for the match is around 3.2.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Heracles' away matches are consistently high-scoring, averaging 3.8 goals per game due to their poor defense (3.0 goals conceded per away game). PEC Zwolle's home games average 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, making Over 2.5 goals and BTTS 'Yes' highly probable. The average expected goals for the match is around 3.2.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

90%

With Heracles' away games averaging 3.8 goals and PEC Zwolle's home games averaging 2.5 goals, it is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in this match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

Heracles' away matches average 3.8 goals, indicating a high likelihood of 4 or more goals. While PEC Zwolle's home average is lower, Heracles' defensive frailty could lead to a higher scoreline.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both teams have a history of scoring and conceding in the first half. Heracles concedes heavily throughout the game, and PEC Zwolle scores early (23.68% in 0-15 min).

First Team to Score

Home

70%

PEC Zwolle has the home advantage and a better attacking record at home. Heracles' away defense is very poor, making them likely to concede first.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

Given the expectation of multiple goals and both teams' tendencies to score and concede across both halves, it's likely we'll see goals before and after the break.

Most Likely Score

2-1

40%

Based on PEC Zwolle's average home goals (1.28) and Heracles' average away goals (0.8), combined with Heracles' high away goals conceded (3.0), a 2-1 scoreline for the home side seems plausible, reflecting both teams' scoring and defensive vulnerabilities.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While BTTS 'Yes' is predicted for the full match, both teams scoring in the first half is less common. One team is more likely to establish dominance or concede early without immediate reply.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

70%

Given the high expected goal count based on historical averages and defensive vulnerabilities, the cumulative Expected Goals (xG) for both teams combined is likely to exceed 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

PEC Zwolle's strong home record combined with Heracles' extremely poor away form makes a home win or draw a very safe bet. Heracles has only managed 1 away win and 1 away draw in 15 games.

Draw No Bet

Home

80%

PEC Zwolle is the clear favorite at home. The Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making a home selection a confident choice given Heracles' struggles.

HT/FT

Home/Home

55%

PEC Zwolle has a strong home advantage and scores early. Heracles' defense is weak from the start. While a draw at half-time is possible, PEC Zwolle leading at both intervals is a reasonable outcome given the overall match prediction.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

Both teams will likely push for goals, especially Heracles in a desperate attempt to avoid relegation. This should lead to a decent number of attacking phases and subsequent corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

65%

A relegation battle match often leads to increased intensity and fouls. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards this season, and the stakes are high.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Given the expectation of multiple goals and both teams needing points, there should be a good volume of shots, with a reasonable percentage finding the target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

With both teams likely to attack and Heracles' defense being weak, there should be numerous attempts on goal from both sides throughout the match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

A competitive Eredivisie match, especially with relegation implications for Heracles, typically sees a decent number of fouls as both teams battle for control.

Possession Winner

Home

65%

Home teams generally tend to dominate possession, especially when playing against a lower-ranked team struggling for form.

PEC Zwolle Clean Sheet

No

70%

Heracles has failed to keep a single away clean sheet this season (0/15), and PEC Zwolle has only managed 4 home clean sheets. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Heracles Clean Sheet

No

70%

Heracles has failed to keep a single away clean sheet this season (0/15), and PEC Zwolle has only managed 4 home clean sheets. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles โ€” Key Stats

PEC ZwolleStatHeracles
13th โœ…League Position18th
33 โœ…Points19
29 Games Played29
8 โœ…Wins5
9 Drawsโœ… 4
38 โœ…Goals Scored34
58 โœ…Goals Conceded74
1.3 โœ…Goals Per Game1.2
5 โœ…Clean Sheets2
DDDWL โœ…Recent FormLDLDL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

IJsseldelta Stadion

Home Ground

โฐ

12:30 PM UTC

Sunday, May 3

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Eredivisie

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

โœ… Match Result: PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle's strong home record against Heracles' dreadful away form presents a clear value opportunity. Heracles has lost 13 of 15 away games, making a home win highly probable. Odds are estimated due to N/A provided.

โœ… Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

Heracles' away games average 3.8 goals, largely due to their porous defense conceding 3.0 goals per game. PEC Zwolle's home games average 2.5 goals. The combination suggests a high-scoring affair. Odds are estimated due to N/A provided.

โœ… Both Teams to Score: Yes

PEC Zwolle has conceded in 10 of 14 home games (71%), while Heracles has scored in 8 of 15 away games (53%). Given Heracles' desperation and PEC Zwolle's tendency to concede at home, BTTS 'Yes' is a strong possibility. Odds are estimated due to N/A provided.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movement. However, based on the statistical disparity, smart money would likely be on PEC Zwolle or Over 2.5 goals. Line movement: Assuming initial lines would favor PEC Zwolle, any significant movement towards a draw or Heracles would indicate sharp money or new information. Without live odds, this remains speculative.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
PEC Zwolle Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธPEC Zwolle's recent form includes several draws, suggesting they might struggle to convert dominance into a win.
  • โš ๏ธThe API-Sports prediction indicates a high probability of a draw (45%), which contrasts with Heracles' poor away record and introduces uncertainty.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are in the lower half of the table, and matches between struggling teams can often be unpredictable and cagey.

Model Confidence

โšก80%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided for both teams, allowing for a detailed analysis of their current form and performance metrics.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury reports for either squad.
  • โ€ขNo live odds provided, requiring estimation for value bet calculations.
  • โ€ขDiscrepancy with API-Sports prediction for draw probability, which could indicate unprovided factors or different model assumptions.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles โ€” FAQ

PEC Zwolle has a decent home record with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in 14 home matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 17.