Serie ASerie AStadio Ennio Tardini

Sunday, May 24, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 5h 31m

Parma

Parma

vs

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

23%
15%
62%
ParmaDrawSassuolo

AI Pick: Sassuolo Win

Confidence: 58%

1X2: Sassuolo Win (58%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction

This Serie A clash between Parma and Sassuolo is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Sassuolo holds a slight advantage in overall league performance and attacking prowess, while Parma relies on a solid defense. The match is finely balanced, with a narrow Sassuolo win or a draw being the most probable outcomes.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Sassuolo Win

Predicted: 0-1

58%

Sassuolo sits one place above Parma in the Serie A standings with a better goal difference and significantly stronger attacking record (41 goals vs 25 goals). While Parma has a slightly better defensive record, their home form (4W 6D 7L) is not particularly strong. API-Sports prediction leans towards Sassuolo with a 'Win or draw' outcome, and their comparison metrics (Attack, H2H, Poisson, Total) all favor Sassuolo. Given Parma's extremely low scoring ability, a narrow away win for Sassuolo is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a strong possibility.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.8

60%

Parma has an extremely low scoring record, with only 25 goals in 34 matches (0.7 goals per game) and remarkably, 0 games going over 2.5 goals this season. Sassuolo's matches also tend to be low-scoring, with only 5 games over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a high rate of failing to score. API-Sports also advises 'Under 3.5 goals', reinforcing a low-scoring expectation. Therefore, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS: No' are strong predictions.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Parma has an extremely low scoring record, with only 25 goals in 34 matches (0.7 goals per game) and remarkably, 0 games going over 2.5 goals this season. Sassuolo's matches also tend to be low-scoring, with only 5 games over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a high rate of failing to score. API-Sports also advises 'Under 3.5 goals', reinforcing a low-scoring expectation. Therefore, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS: No' are strong predictions.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

47%

Parma has had 0 games over 2.5 goals this season, indicating a high likelihood of very low-scoring matches. Their average total goals per game is around 1.9. This makes 'Under 1.5 Goals' a strong and confident prediction.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

90%

API-Sports explicitly advises 'Under 3.5 goals'. With Parma's matches never exceeding 2.5 goals and Sassuolo's rarely doing so, 'Under 3.5 Goals' is an extremely confident prediction.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

Despite the expectation of a low-scoring match overall, both teams have a history of scoring and conceding in the first half. It's common for at least one goal to be scored before halftime in Serie A.

First Team to Score

Away

46%

Sassuolo has a significantly stronger attack compared to Parma. Given Parma's struggles to score, Sassuolo is more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

47%

With a strong expectation of a low-scoring match (Under 1.5/2.5 goals), it is unlikely that goals will be scored in both halves. A single goal or a goalless half is more probable.

Most Likely Score

0-1

50%

Based on Parma's extremely low scoring record and Sassuolo's slightly superior attack, a narrow 0-1 victory for the away side is a plausible exact score. This aligns with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction.

BTTS 1st Half

No

35%

Given the low-scoring nature of both teams and the expectation of a tight first half, it is highly improbable that both teams will score before the halftime whistle.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

35%

Given the extremely low actual goal output for both teams, particularly Parma, and the strong prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals', it is highly probable that the Expected Goals (xG) for the match will also be 'Under 2.5'.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

35%

API-Sports explicitly suggests 'draw or Sassuolo' with high probabilities for both outcomes (45% draw, 45% away win). Sassuolo is the stronger team on paper, and the 'X2' double chance covers the most likely results.

Draw No Bet

Away

46%

Given Sassuolo is the slight favorite and the predicted winner, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market offers a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

Given the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair, a goalless first half is quite possible. Sassuolo's slightly better quality and attacking threat could see them break the deadlock in the second half to secure a win.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Serie A matches typically average around 9-10 corners. With both teams likely to push for goals, especially Sassuolo, and Parma defending, there should be enough attacking play to generate a decent number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

Parma averages 1.76 yellow cards per game, and Sassuolo averages 2.17. This combined average of nearly 4 cards per game, coupled with the competitive nature of a Serie A match between closely ranked teams, makes 'Over 3.5 cards' a confident pick.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

While a low-scoring game is expected, both teams will aim for shots on target. Sassuolo's stronger attack should contribute, and Parma, even with a weak offense, will try to test the keeper. An average Serie A match typically sees around 8-10 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Even in a low-scoring game, teams will attempt shots. Sassuolo's attacking intent and Parma's efforts to break down the defense should lead to a combined total of over 22.5 shots, though many might be off target.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Serie A matches are often physical, and a competitive game between two closely matched teams can lead to a higher number of fouls as both sides battle for control.

Possession Winner

Away

46%

Sassuolo typically plays a 4-3-3 formation, which often emphasizes ball control, while Parma's 3-5-2 can be more counter-attacking. Sassuolo's slightly superior overall quality might allow them to dominate possession.

Parma Clean Sheet

No

46%

Parma's attack is very weak, failing to score in 14 of 34 matches. Sassuolo, despite a moderate defense, has a good chance of keeping a clean sheet against such a toothless offense. Parma's defense is decent, but Sassuolo's attack is stronger, making a home clean sheet less likely.

Sassuolo Clean Sheet

Yes

46%

Parma's attack is very weak, failing to score in 14 of 34 matches. Sassuolo, despite a moderate defense, has a good chance of keeping a clean sheet against such a toothless offense. Parma's defense is decent, but Sassuolo's attack is stronger, making a home clean sheet less likely.

Parma vs Sassuolo โ€” Key Stats

ParmaStatSassuolo
12th League Positionโœ… 11th
42 Pointsโœ… 46
34 Games Played34
10 Winsโœ… 13
12 Drawsโœ… 7
25 Goals Scoredโœ… 41
40 โœ…Goals Conceded44
0.7 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.2
12 โœ…Clean Sheets7
LDDWW โœ…Recent FormDWLWD
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Home Ground

โฐ

1:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 24

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Parma vs Sassuolo

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without actual odds, it's hard to determine sharp money movement. However, the strong 'Under 3.5 Goals' advice from API-Sports suggests this might be a popular and well-supported market. Line movement: N/A (No odds provided)

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Parma vs Sassuolo

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Sassuolo Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 20%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธHigh probability of a draw (API-Sports 45%) could negate an outright win prediction.
  • โš ๏ธParma's strong defensive record at home could lead to a stalemate.
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific team news (injuries, suspensions) could alter performance.
  • โš ๏ธSerie A can be unpredictable, especially between mid-table teams.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: High, comprehensive team statistics and league standings provided.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
  • โ€ขLack of specific player injury/suspension news.
  • โ€ขNo direct head-to-head match results provided, only aggregated H2H percentages.
  • โ€ขNo xG data for individual teams, only a general xG market prediction.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Parma vs Sassuolo โ€” FAQ

Sassuolo is slightly favored to win, but a draw is also a very strong possibility, making a 'Draw or Sassuolo' double chance a solid pick.