Serie AStadio Ennio TardiniSunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 10h 9m

Parma
vs

AS Roma
AI Pick: AS Roma Win
Confidence: 60%
1X2: AS Roma Win (60%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Parma vs AS Roma Prediction
AS Roma, sitting 6th in Serie A, travels to face 13th-placed Parma. Roma enters this match as the clear favorite due to their superior league standing, better recent form, and stronger offensive and defensive statistics. Parma, despite playing at home, has a poor home record and struggles significantly in front of goal. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair.
MATCH RESULT
AS Roma Win
Predicted: 0-1
60%
AS Roma, currently 6th in Serie A, faces 13th-placed Parma. Roma has a significantly better league position, overall form (WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLLWLWD vs LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDLWDDLLWWWDDLLDDW), and attacking prowess (1.4 avg goals vs 0.7 avg goals). While Parma has home advantage, their home record is poor (3 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses in 16 games), and they struggle to score at home (0.8 avg goals). API-Sports comparison heavily favors AS Roma in form, attack, and H2H, suggesting a 'Win or draw' for Roma. Given Parma's weak offense and Roma's solid defense (0.9 avg goals conceded), a narrow away victory for AS Roma is the most probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.8
60%
Parma's matches are extremely low-scoring, with 0 out of 33 games seeing over 2.5 goals. AS Roma's matches also lean towards low scoring, with only 5 out of 33 games exceeding 2.5 goals. Parma averages a mere 0.7 goals per game, and AS Roma's defense concedes only 0.9 goals per game. This strongly indicates an 'Under 2.5 Goals' outcome. Furthermore, Parma has failed to score in 14 of their 33 matches, and AS Roma has kept 14 clean sheets, making 'BTTS: No' a highly likely scenario.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Parma's matches are extremely low-scoring, with 0 out of 33 games seeing over 2.5 goals. AS Roma's matches also lean towards low scoring, with only 5 out of 33 games exceeding 2.5 goals. Parma averages a mere 0.7 goals per game, and AS Roma's defense concedes only 0.9 goals per game. This strongly indicates an 'Under 2.5 Goals' outcome. Furthermore, Parma has failed to score in 14 of their 33 matches, and AS Roma has kept 14 clean sheets, making 'BTTS: No' a highly likely scenario.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Under 1.5
Parma's games have seen 'Under 1.5 Goals' in 28 out of 33 matches, an exceptionally high rate. AS Roma's games have also seen 'Under 1.5 Goals' in 18 out of 33 matches. This combined data strongly supports a prediction of 'Under 1.5 Goals' for this fixture.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
With Parma's abysmal scoring record and both teams' strong tendency for low-scoring games (0/33 over 2.5 for Parma, 5/33 over 2.5 for Roma), 'Under 3.5 Goals' is an extremely confident prediction.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Despite the expectation of a low-scoring game overall, a single goal in the first half is quite common in football. Both teams have scored and conceded in the first half throughout the season, making 'Over 0.5 First Half Goals' a reasonable prediction.
First Team to Score
Away
AS Roma possesses a stronger attack and is more likely to create and convert chances. Parma's struggle to score makes it improbable for them to open the scoring against a robust Roma defense.
Goal in Both Halves
No
Given the expectation of a low-scoring match, particularly with Parma's offensive struggles, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves. A single goal or goals concentrated in one half is more probable.
Most Likely Score
0-1
Considering Parma's extremely low scoring rate and AS Roma's solid defense, a tight, low-scoring affair is expected. A 0-1 victory for the stronger AS Roma side aligns with the statistical trends and overall match prediction.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Parma's attack is weak, and AS Roma's defense is solid. It's highly unlikely that both teams will manage to score in the first half of what is expected to be a tight, low-scoring encounter.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Consistent with the low goal expectation, the quality and quantity of chances (Expected Goals) are also anticipated to be low. Parma's attack is weak, and Roma's defense is strong, limiting high-value opportunities.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
AS Roma is the stronger team, positioned much higher in the league. The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Draw or AS Roma' with 45% draw and 45% away win probability, making 'X2' (Draw or Away) a very confident pick.
Draw No Bet
Away
Given AS Roma's superior form, league position, and head-to-head advantage, they are the favorites to win. The Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making 'Away' a strong selection.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Parma's matches tend to be low-scoring, and AS Roma often takes time to break down opponents. A goalless or tied first half is plausible, with AS Roma's quality eventually prevailing in the second half to secure the win.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Without specific corner statistics, a general Serie A average suggests a moderate number of corners. Both teams will likely contribute to reaching this total through attacking play, even in a low-scoring game.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both Parma and AS Roma average around 1.8 yellow cards per game. In a competitive Serie A fixture, especially with Parma likely to defend deep and Roma pushing for a win, the combined card count is expected to exceed 3.5.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While Parma's attack is weak, AS Roma is expected to dominate possession and create multiple chances. Parma might also get a few counter-attacking opportunities. This should lead to a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
AS Roma is expected to have a high number of shots as they push for a goal. Parma, even with a defensive approach, will likely register some shots, contributing to a total over 22.5.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
In a Serie A match where one team is trying to break down a defensive opponent, fouls are common. Parma will likely commit fouls to disrupt Roma's play, and Roma will also engage in midfield battles.
Possession Winner
Away
AS Roma is the technically superior team and is expected to dominate possession against a Parma side that is likely to sit deep and play on the counter-attack.
Parma Clean Sheet
No
Parma's attack is very poor, averaging only 0.7 goals per game and failing to score in 14 matches. AS Roma's defense is strong, conceding only 0.9 goals per game and keeping 14 clean sheets. Therefore, an 'Away Clean Sheet' for AS Roma is highly probable, and Parma is unlikely to keep a 'Home Clean Sheet' against a superior attacking side.
AS Roma Clean Sheet
Yes
Parma's attack is very poor, averaging only 0.7 goals per game and failing to score in 14 matches. AS Roma's defense is strong, conceding only 0.9 goals per game and keeping 14 clean sheets. Therefore, an 'Away Clean Sheet' for AS Roma is highly probable, and Parma is unlikely to keep a 'Home Clean Sheet' against a superior attacking side.
Parma vs AS Roma โ Key Stats
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Serie A
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Parma vs AS Roma
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movements. However, smart bettors would likely target 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS: No' due to the strong statistical evidence. Line movement: Without opening odds, line movement cannot be analyzed. However, if initial lines were to underestimate Parma's defensive resilience or Roma's away struggles, we might see adjustments.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Parma vs AS Roma
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 21%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธParma's strong tendency for draws (12 in 33 games, 6 at home) could lead to an unexpected shared point.
- โ ๏ธAS Roma's away form is not as dominant as their home form (7 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses in 16 away games).
- โ ๏ธThe absence of specific odds makes it harder to gauge market sentiment and potential value.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time bookmaker odds prevented value bet generation and detailed market sentiment analysis.
- โขLack of specific head-to-head match results limited deeper H2H trend analysis beyond API-Sports summary.
- โขNo detailed injury reports beyond player name, limiting assessment of impact on specific positions/tactics.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Parma vs AS Roma โ FAQ
AS Roma is the most likely winner, with a predicted score of 0-1, reflecting their superior form and league position against Parma's struggles.