La LigaLa LigaEstadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 11h 51m

Oviedo

Oviedo

vs

Alaves

Alaves

23%
15%
62%
OviedoDrawAlaves

AI Pick: Alaves Win

Confidence: 58%

1X2: Alaves Win (58%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction

This La Liga clash between Oviedo and Alaves is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. While Oviedo holds home advantage, their extremely poor home scoring record (0.5 goals/game) is a significant concern. Alaves, despite a weak away record, has shown slightly better recent form and overall league performance. The API-Sports prediction leans towards an Alaves win or draw, suggesting a narrow away victory is the most probable outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Alaves Win

Predicted: 0-1

58%

Alaves, despite a poor away record, holds a better league position (15th) and slightly stronger recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5) compared to Oviedo (20th, 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5). Oviedo's home scoring is exceptionally low, averaging just 0.5 goals per game, and they have failed to score in 50% of their home matches. While Oviedo boasts a strong home defense (0.9 goals conceded per game), Alaves' attack is rated higher by API-Sports (60% vs 40%). The API-Sports prediction also leans towards 'Win or draw' for Alaves, and given the close overall comparison, a narrow Alaves victory is the most probable outcome, likely a low-scoring affair.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.5

60%

Both Oviedo and Alaves exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches. Oviedo has seen Under 2.5 goals in 29 out of 32 matches, and Under 1.5 goals in 26 out of 32. Alaves also heavily favors Under 2.5 (30/33) and Under 1.5 (22/33). Oviedo's home goal average is a mere 0.5, making a BTTS 'No' prediction highly likely. The combined statistics strongly point to a game with very few goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Both Oviedo and Alaves exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches. Oviedo has seen Under 2.5 goals in 29 out of 32 matches, and Under 1.5 goals in 26 out of 32. Alaves also heavily favors Under 2.5 (30/33) and Under 1.5 (22/33). Oviedo's home goal average is a mere 0.5, making a BTTS 'No' prediction highly likely. The combined statistics strongly point to a game with very few goals.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

46%

Both teams show a strong statistical trend for Under 1.5 goals, with Oviedo having 26/32 games under 1.5 and Alaves 22/33 games under 1.5.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

90%

Both teams have an extremely high percentage of games with Under 3.5 goals (Oviedo 32/32, Alaves 32/33), making this a very confident pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

55%

While a low-scoring game is expected, a single goal in the first half is still a common occurrence in football. Oviedo scores 32% of its goals in 31-45 min, Alaves 16.67% in 0-15 min.

First Team to Score

Away

46%

Alaves possesses a stronger attack (API-Sports 60%) compared to Oviedo (40%), and Oviedo's home scoring is particularly poor, making Alaves more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

46%

Given the expectation of a very low-scoring match, it's unlikely that goals will be scored in both halves.

Most Likely Score

0-1

15%

Given the expectation of a low-scoring Alaves win and Oviedo's very poor home attack, a 0-1 scoreline is the most plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

With a strong prediction for Under 1.5 total goals and a low-scoring overall game, both teams scoring in the first half is highly improbable.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

47%

Consistent with the low-scoring nature of this predicted match, the Expected Goals (xG) is also anticipated to be low, falling Under 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

47%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance : draw or Alaves', aligning with Alaves' slightly better form and league position, and Oviedo's struggles.

Draw No Bet

Away

58%

Based on the primary prediction of an Alaves win, Alaves is the pick for Draw No Bet, offering a refund in case of a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

50%

With a low-scoring game anticipated, a goalless first half is likely, followed by Alaves securing a narrow victory in the second half.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

50%

Without specific corner statistics, a default pick of Over 9.5 is made, aligning with general La Liga averages for competitive matches.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

La Liga matches are typically physical. Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Oviedo 2.28, Alaves 2.45), making Over 3.5 cards a highly probable outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

50%

In the absence of specific shots on target data, a conservative 'Over 8.5' is chosen, reflecting a typical La Liga match where both teams aim for goal.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

50%

Assuming a competitive match, both teams will attempt a reasonable number of shots, leading to an 'Over 22.5' total.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

50%

La Liga matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls, especially in relegation battles. Over 22.5 is a standard expectation.

Possession Winner

Away

50%

Without specific possession data, Alaves, being the slightly stronger team, is marginally more likely to control possession, though with low confidence.

Oviedo Clean Sheet

No

46%

Oviedo's home attack is extremely weak, failing to score in 50% of their home games and averaging only 0.5 goals. This makes an Alaves clean sheet more probable than Oviedo's, despite Alaves' poor away clean sheet record (1 in 17).

Alaves Clean Sheet

Yes

46%

Oviedo's home attack is extremely weak, failing to score in 50% of their home games and averaging only 0.5 goals. This makes an Alaves clean sheet more probable than Oviedo's, despite Alaves' poor away clean sheet record (1 in 17).

Oviedo vs Alaves โ€” Key Stats

OviedoStatAlaves
20th League Positionโœ… 15th
28 Pointsโœ… 36
32 Games Playedโœ… 33
6 Winsโœ… 9
10 Drawsโœ… 9
25 Goals Scoredโœ… 38
49 Goals Conceded49
0.8 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.2
9 โœ…Clean Sheets3
WLWWD โœ…Recent FormWDDLW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Home Ground

โฐ

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Oviedo vs Alaves

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (no odds data) Line movement: N/A (no odds data)

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Oviedo vs Alaves

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Alaves Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 20%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
7/10
  • โš ๏ธOviedo's strong home defense could lead to a draw or an upset.
  • โš ๏ธAlaves' poor away record (3 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses) makes an away win far from guaranteed.
  • โš ๏ธThe match is a relegation battle for Oviedo, adding an element of unpredictability and high motivation.
  • โš ๏ธLa Liga's tendency for upsets, especially between mid-to-lower table teams.

Model Confidence

โšก65%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team and league statistics provided.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time odds data for value bets.
  • โ€ขLack of specific H2H match results.
  • โ€ขNo injury reports or tactical insights available.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Oviedo vs Alaves โ€” FAQ

A narrow away win for Alaves (0-1) is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a strong possibility given the tight statistics and Alaves' poor away form.