La LigaEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereSunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 11h 51m

Oviedo
vs

Alaves
AI Pick: Alaves Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Alaves Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No

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Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction
This La Liga clash between Oviedo and Alaves is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. While Oviedo holds home advantage, their extremely poor home scoring record (0.5 goals/game) is a significant concern. Alaves, despite a weak away record, has shown slightly better recent form and overall league performance. The API-Sports prediction leans towards an Alaves win or draw, suggesting a narrow away victory is the most probable outcome.
MATCH RESULT
Alaves Win
Predicted: 0-1
58%
Alaves, despite a poor away record, holds a better league position (15th) and slightly stronger recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5) compared to Oviedo (20th, 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5). Oviedo's home scoring is exceptionally low, averaging just 0.5 goals per game, and they have failed to score in 50% of their home matches. While Oviedo boasts a strong home defense (0.9 goals conceded per game), Alaves' attack is rated higher by API-Sports (60% vs 40%). The API-Sports prediction also leans towards 'Win or draw' for Alaves, and given the close overall comparison, a narrow Alaves victory is the most probable outcome, likely a low-scoring affair.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.5
60%
Both Oviedo and Alaves exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches. Oviedo has seen Under 2.5 goals in 29 out of 32 matches, and Under 1.5 goals in 26 out of 32. Alaves also heavily favors Under 2.5 (30/33) and Under 1.5 (22/33). Oviedo's home goal average is a mere 0.5, making a BTTS 'No' prediction highly likely. The combined statistics strongly point to a game with very few goals.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both Oviedo and Alaves exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches. Oviedo has seen Under 2.5 goals in 29 out of 32 matches, and Under 1.5 goals in 26 out of 32. Alaves also heavily favors Under 2.5 (30/33) and Under 1.5 (22/33). Oviedo's home goal average is a mere 0.5, making a BTTS 'No' prediction highly likely. The combined statistics strongly point to a game with very few goals.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Under 1.5
Both teams show a strong statistical trend for Under 1.5 goals, with Oviedo having 26/32 games under 1.5 and Alaves 22/33 games under 1.5.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Both teams have an extremely high percentage of games with Under 3.5 goals (Oviedo 32/32, Alaves 32/33), making this a very confident pick.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
While a low-scoring game is expected, a single goal in the first half is still a common occurrence in football. Oviedo scores 32% of its goals in 31-45 min, Alaves 16.67% in 0-15 min.
First Team to Score
Away
Alaves possesses a stronger attack (API-Sports 60%) compared to Oviedo (40%), and Oviedo's home scoring is particularly poor, making Alaves more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
No
Given the expectation of a very low-scoring match, it's unlikely that goals will be scored in both halves.
Most Likely Score
0-1
Given the expectation of a low-scoring Alaves win and Oviedo's very poor home attack, a 0-1 scoreline is the most plausible exact score.
BTTS 1st Half
No
With a strong prediction for Under 1.5 total goals and a low-scoring overall game, both teams scoring in the first half is highly improbable.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Consistent with the low-scoring nature of this predicted match, the Expected Goals (xG) is also anticipated to be low, falling Under 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance : draw or Alaves', aligning with Alaves' slightly better form and league position, and Oviedo's struggles.
Draw No Bet
Away
Based on the primary prediction of an Alaves win, Alaves is the pick for Draw No Bet, offering a refund in case of a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
With a low-scoring game anticipated, a goalless first half is likely, followed by Alaves securing a narrow victory in the second half.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Without specific corner statistics, a default pick of Over 9.5 is made, aligning with general La Liga averages for competitive matches.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
La Liga matches are typically physical. Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Oviedo 2.28, Alaves 2.45), making Over 3.5 cards a highly probable outcome.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
In the absence of specific shots on target data, a conservative 'Over 8.5' is chosen, reflecting a typical La Liga match where both teams aim for goal.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Assuming a competitive match, both teams will attempt a reasonable number of shots, leading to an 'Over 22.5' total.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
La Liga matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls, especially in relegation battles. Over 22.5 is a standard expectation.
Possession Winner
Away
Without specific possession data, Alaves, being the slightly stronger team, is marginally more likely to control possession, though with low confidence.
Oviedo Clean Sheet
No
Oviedo's home attack is extremely weak, failing to score in 50% of their home games and averaging only 0.5 goals. This makes an Alaves clean sheet more probable than Oviedo's, despite Alaves' poor away clean sheet record (1 in 17).
Alaves Clean Sheet
Yes
Oviedo's home attack is extremely weak, failing to score in 50% of their home games and averaging only 0.5 goals. This makes an Alaves clean sheet more probable than Oviedo's, despite Alaves' poor away clean sheet record (1 in 17).
Oviedo vs Alaves โ Key Stats
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Home Ground
4:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 17
Matchday kickoff
La Liga
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Oviedo vs Alaves
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A (no odds data) Line movement: N/A (no odds data)
AI Same Game Parlay โ Oviedo vs Alaves
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธOviedo's strong home defense could lead to a draw or an upset.
- โ ๏ธAlaves' poor away record (3 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses) makes an away win far from guaranteed.
- โ ๏ธThe match is a relegation battle for Oviedo, adding an element of unpredictability and high motivation.
- โ ๏ธLa Liga's tendency for upsets, especially between mid-to-lower table teams.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: High - comprehensive team and league statistics provided.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time odds data for value bets.
- โขLack of specific H2H match results.
- โขNo injury reports or tactical insights available.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Oviedo vs Alaves โ FAQ
A narrow away win for Alaves (0-1) is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a strong possibility given the tight statistics and Alaves' poor away form.