La LigaEstadio El SadarSunday, Apr 26, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC
Kickoff in 16d 0h 3m

Osasuna
vs

Sevilla
AI Pick: Osasuna Win
Confidence: 75%
1X2: Osasuna Win (⚡75%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction
This La Liga clash sees a confident Osasuna at home against a struggling Sevilla side. Osasuna's strong home record and better league position make them clear favorites. Sevilla's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be exploited.
MATCH RESULT
Osasuna Win
Predicted: 2-1
⚡75%
Osasuna boasts a strong home record with 8 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses in 14 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Sevilla, on the other hand, has struggled significantly away from home, with 8 losses in 15 matches and conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game. Their overall form is poor, sitting 17th in the league compared to Osasuna's 9th position. The home advantage at Estadio El Sadar will be a crucial factor.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 3.0
60%
Osasuna's home matches average 2.93 total goals, while Sevilla's away matches average 3.07 total goals. This combined average of approximately 3.0 goals per game strongly suggests an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Both teams also show a high propensity for BTTS: Osasuna has seen BTTS in 64% of their home games, and Sevilla in 80% of their away games, making 'Yes' a confident pick for Both Teams To Score.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Osasuna's home matches average 2.93 total goals, while Sevilla's away matches average 3.07 total goals. This combined average of approximately 3.0 goals per game strongly suggests an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Both teams also show a high propensity for BTTS: Osasuna has seen BTTS in 64% of their home games, and Sevilla in 80% of their away games, making 'Yes' a confident pick for Both Teams To Score.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With an average of 3.0 total goals expected in the match, scoring at least two goals (Over 1.5) is a highly probable outcome.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While Over 2.5 is predicted, the average of 3.0 goals suggests that exceeding 3.5 goals is less likely, making 'Under 3.5 Goals' a reasonable pick.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half, particularly in the later stages (31-45 minutes). With an average of 3.0 total goals predicted, at least one goal in the first half is highly likely.
First Team to Score
Home
Osasuna's strong home attacking record and Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities, especially early in games, make Osasuna the more likely team to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
With a predicted total of 3.0 goals and both teams expected to score, it's highly probable that goals will be distributed across both halves of the match.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Osasuna averages 1.8 goals at home, and Sevilla averages 1.2 goals away. Sevilla also concedes 1.9 goals away. A 2-1 scoreline for Osasuna reflects their home attacking prowess and Sevilla's ability to find the net despite their defensive woes.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While BTTS 'Yes' is likely for the full match, both teams scoring in the first half is a less common occurrence, especially in La Liga where games often open up after the break.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the predicted total goals of 3.0 and the attacking and defensive statistics of both teams, the expected goals (xG) for the match are likely to exceed 2.5, indicating a game with several clear-cut chances.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
Osasuna's strong home form combined with Sevilla's struggles on the road makes a home win or a draw (1X) a very safe bet. This aligns with the API-Sports prediction of 'Osasuna or draw'.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given our primary prediction of an Osasuna win, selecting 'Home' for Draw No Bet provides a solid option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Osasuna's strong home advantage and Sevilla's tendency to concede early (11 goals in 31-45 min for Osasuna) suggest Osasuna could take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
La Liga matches typically feature a moderate to high number of corners. Given both teams' attacking styles and potential for end-to-end play, exceeding 9.5 corners combined is a reasonable expectation.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both Osasuna (73 yellow, 6 red) and Sevilla (84 yellow, 5 red) have accumulated a significant number of cards this season. La Liga is known for its competitive and often feisty encounters, making 'Over 3.5 Cards' a highly probable outcome.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While specific shots on target data isn't provided, an average La Liga match between two teams with decent attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities often sees a combined total of 9 or more shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Given the attacking averages and defensive weaknesses, both teams will likely create opportunities, leading to a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target).
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
La Liga matches are typically physical, with a high number of fouls. Both teams are competitive, and the stakes of the match will likely lead to a robust contest with many stoppages.
Possession Winner
Home
Playing at home, Osasuna will likely aim to control the tempo and possession against a Sevilla side that might be more inclined to play on the counter, especially given their away form.
Osasuna Clean Sheet
No
While Osasuna has a decent home defensive record, Sevilla has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Conversely, Sevilla's defense is leaky, conceding in all 15 away games, making an away clean sheet highly improbable. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Sevilla Clean Sheet
No
While Osasuna has a decent home defensive record, Sevilla has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Conversely, Sevilla's defense is leaky, conceding in all 15 away games, making an away clean sheet highly improbable. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Osasuna vs Sevilla — Key Stats
Estadio El Sadar
Home Ground
4:30 PM UTC
Sunday, Apr 26
Matchday kickoff
La Liga
Soccer
Betting Angles — Osasuna vs Sevilla
⚠️ Match Winner: Osasuna
Based on Osasuna's formidable home form (8 wins in 14 games) and Sevilla's dismal away performance (8 losses in 15 games), our model assigns a higher probability (55%) to an Osasuna win than the market implied probability (45% from N/A odds, derived from API-Sports 45% win chance). This suggests a significant edge for betting on the home side.
💰 Sharp Money
Without live odds, it's hard to pinpoint sharp money movement. However, based on the statistical disparity, any significant movement towards Sevilla would indicate sharp action, while movement further favoring Osasuna would align with public sentiment. Line movement: Assuming initial odds reflect the API-Sports probabilities (Osasuna ~2.22, Draw ~2.22, Sevilla ~10.00), we would expect the Osasuna odds to shorten if there's strong backing, or the draw odds to slightly lengthen if confidence in an Osasuna win grows.
AI Same Game Parlay — Osasuna vs Sevilla
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 26%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- ⚠️Sevilla's potential for an 'upset' performance despite poor form, as they possess individual quality.
- ⚠️The unpredictable nature of La Liga matches, where even struggling teams can pull off surprises.
- ⚠️Potential for a draw, as indicated by API-Sports' high draw probability (45%).
Model Confidence
⚡78%
Data quality: The provided team statistics and league standings are comprehensive and up-to-date for the 2025 season, allowing for a robust analysis of current form and performance metrics.
Limitations
- •Absence of specific head-to-head records between the two teams.
- •Lack of detailed injury reports or squad news for real-time impact assessment.
- •No live odds provided, requiring assumptions for value bet calculations.
- •Absence of advanced metrics like xG, xA, or player-specific data.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Osasuna vs Sevilla — FAQ
Osasuna has a very strong home record, with 8 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses in 14 home matches, scoring 25 goals and conceding 16.