La LigaLa LigaEstadio El Sadar

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 11h 54m

Osasuna

Osasuna

vs

Espanyol

Espanyol

51%
20%
29%
OsasunaDrawEspanyol

AI Pick: Osasuna Win

Confidence: 46%

1X2: Osasuna Win (46%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Osasuna vs Espanyol Prediction

Osasuna, with a solid home record, faces a struggling Espanyol side. Despite Espanyol's poor form, La Liga matches can be unpredictable. Osasuna is favored to win, likely in a low-scoring affair.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Osasuna Win

Predicted: 2-1

46%

Osasuna boasts a strong home record this season, securing 8 wins and 5 draws in 15 matches at Estadio El Sadar. In contrast, Espanyol is in poor form, with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 league games. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Osasuna across all metrics including form (83% vs 17%), attack (63% vs 38%), defense (56% vs 44%), and H2H (62% vs 38%). While API-Sports also suggests a high probability of a draw, Osasuna's dominant home performance and Espanyol's current struggles make a home win the more likely outcome, aligning with the 'pick the slight favourite' rule.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.7

60%

Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Osasuna having 29/32 games and Espanyol having 31/32 games ending with Under 2.5 goals. However, Osasuna has scored in all 15 home games, averaging 1.7 goals, and Espanyol has scored in 13 of their 17 away games, averaging 1.1 goals. Osasuna has conceded in 10 of 15 home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the overall low goal count. The combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) suggest a total around 2.7 goals, leaning towards Under 2.5.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Osasuna having 29/32 games and Espanyol having 31/32 games ending with Under 2.5 goals. However, Osasuna has scored in all 15 home games, averaging 1.7 goals, and Espanyol has scored in 13 of their 17 away games, averaging 1.1 goals. Osasuna has conceded in 10 of 15 home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the overall low goal count. The combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) suggest a total around 2.7 goals, leaning towards Under 2.5.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

47%

Despite both teams' overall low-scoring tendencies, the combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) indicate that at least two goals are likely to be scored in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

35%

Both Osasuna and Espanyol have an extremely high percentage of their games ending with Under 3.5 goals (32/32 for both). This is a very strong statistical indicator for this market.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

Osasuna scores 52.78% of their goals in the first half, with a significant portion (33.33%) coming in the 31-45 minute range. Espanyol also scores 34.21% of their goals in the first half. This indicates a good chance of at least one goal before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

47%

Osasuna has a stronger home attack and is the favorite in this match. They are more likely to open the scoring against a struggling Espanyol side.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

With a predicted score of 2-1, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves. Osasuna scores in both halves, and Espanyol also has a spread of goals across the match.

Most Likely Score

2-1

30%

Based on Osasuna's average home goals (1.7) and Espanyol's average away goals (1.1), a 2-1 scoreline for the home side is a plausible outcome, reflecting Osasuna's offensive edge at home.

BTTS 1st Half

No

46%

Given the overall low-scoring nature of both teams and their tendency for goals to be spread out, it's less likely for both teams to score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

47%

Given the historical low-scoring nature of both teams' matches (especially the high 'Under 2.5 goals' stats), it's highly probable that the combined Expected Goals (xG) for this match will also be under 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

35%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance: Osasuna or draw' (1X), and Osasuna's strong home form combined with Espanyol's struggles makes this a very safe pick.

Draw No Bet

Home

47%

As Osasuna is predicted to win, backing them in a Draw No Bet market provides a safer option where the stake is returned if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Home/Home

46%

Osasuna's strong home form and tendency to score in the latter part of the first half (33.33% of goals in 31-45 min) suggest they could lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Without specific corner statistics, a La Liga match between two competitive teams typically generates a fair number of corners. Over 9.5 is a standard benchmark for an active game.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

La Liga matches are often physical and competitive, leading to a high number of cards. Both Osasuna (78 yellow cards) and Espanyol (77 yellow cards) have accumulated a significant amount of bookings this season, making Over 3.5 cards a confident pick.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Given both teams' attacking averages (Osasuna 1.7 home goals, Espanyol 1.1 away goals) and the competitive nature of the league, a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Assuming a competitive match with both teams creating chances, a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is a reasonable expectation.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

La Liga matches are typically competitive and can be quite physical. A total of over 22.5 fouls is a common occurrence in such encounters.

Possession Winner

Home

46%

As the home team and the slight favorite, Osasuna is expected to control more of the ball possession, especially against an away team in poor form.

Osasuna Clean Sheet

No

46%

Osasuna has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 15 home games, while Espanyol has kept 5 clean sheets in 17 away games. Given Osasuna's strong home scoring record and Espanyol's ability to find the net away, neither team is highly likely to keep a clean sheet.

Espanyol Clean Sheet

No

46%

Osasuna has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 15 home games, while Espanyol has kept 5 clean sheets in 17 away games. Given Osasuna's strong home scoring record and Espanyol's ability to find the net away, neither team is highly likely to keep a clean sheet.

Osasuna vs Espanyol โ€” Key Stats

OsasunaStatEspanyol
10th โœ…League Position13th
39 โœ…Points38
32 Games Played32
10 Wins10
9 Drawsโœ… 8
37 Goals Scored37
39 โœ…Goals Conceded49
1.2 Goals Per Game1.2
7 Clean Sheetsโœ… 8
LWDDL โœ…Recent FormLLDLL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadio El Sadar

Home Ground

โฐ

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Osasuna vs Espanyol

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's hard to determine sharp money movement. However, given the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and '1X' double chance are statistically strong, these markets might attract sharp money. Line movement: Assuming initial lines would favor Osasuna, any significant movement towards a draw or Espanyol would indicate market uncertainty or specific news (e.g., injuries) not available in the data.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Osasuna vs Espanyol

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Osasuna Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธLa Liga's inherent unpredictability, where upsets are common.
  • โš ๏ธEspanyol's potential desperation to avoid relegation could lead to an unexpected performance.
  • โš ๏ธOsasuna's recent form is not outstanding, despite their strong home record.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific H2H match results to analyze recent trends between these two teams.
  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time odds data to identify potential value bets and market sentiment.
  • โ€ขNo injury or suspension reports, which can significantly impact match outcomes.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Osasuna vs Espanyol โ€” FAQ

Osasuna has a strong home record, with 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 losses in 15 home matches, scoring 26 goals and conceding 17.