La LigaEstadio El SadarSunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 11h 54m

Osasuna
vs

Espanyol
AI Pick: Osasuna Win
Confidence: 46%
1X2: Osasuna Win (46%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes

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Osasuna vs Espanyol Prediction
Osasuna, with a solid home record, faces a struggling Espanyol side. Despite Espanyol's poor form, La Liga matches can be unpredictable. Osasuna is favored to win, likely in a low-scoring affair.
MATCH RESULT
Osasuna Win
Predicted: 2-1
46%
Osasuna boasts a strong home record this season, securing 8 wins and 5 draws in 15 matches at Estadio El Sadar. In contrast, Espanyol is in poor form, with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 league games. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Osasuna across all metrics including form (83% vs 17%), attack (63% vs 38%), defense (56% vs 44%), and H2H (62% vs 38%). While API-Sports also suggests a high probability of a draw, Osasuna's dominant home performance and Espanyol's current struggles make a home win the more likely outcome, aligning with the 'pick the slight favourite' rule.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.7
60%
Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Osasuna having 29/32 games and Espanyol having 31/32 games ending with Under 2.5 goals. However, Osasuna has scored in all 15 home games, averaging 1.7 goals, and Espanyol has scored in 13 of their 17 away games, averaging 1.1 goals. Osasuna has conceded in 10 of 15 home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the overall low goal count. The combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) suggest a total around 2.7 goals, leaning towards Under 2.5.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Osasuna having 29/32 games and Espanyol having 31/32 games ending with Under 2.5 goals. However, Osasuna has scored in all 15 home games, averaging 1.7 goals, and Espanyol has scored in 13 of their 17 away games, averaging 1.1 goals. Osasuna has conceded in 10 of 15 home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the overall low goal count. The combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) suggest a total around 2.7 goals, leaning towards Under 2.5.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Despite both teams' overall low-scoring tendencies, the combined average goals for Osasuna's home matches (2.8) and Espanyol's away matches (2.7) indicate that at least two goals are likely to be scored in the match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Both Osasuna and Espanyol have an extremely high percentage of their games ending with Under 3.5 goals (32/32 for both). This is a very strong statistical indicator for this market.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Osasuna scores 52.78% of their goals in the first half, with a significant portion (33.33%) coming in the 31-45 minute range. Espanyol also scores 34.21% of their goals in the first half. This indicates a good chance of at least one goal before halftime.
First Team to Score
Home
Osasuna has a stronger home attack and is the favorite in this match. They are more likely to open the scoring against a struggling Espanyol side.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
With a predicted score of 2-1, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves. Osasuna scores in both halves, and Espanyol also has a spread of goals across the match.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Based on Osasuna's average home goals (1.7) and Espanyol's average away goals (1.1), a 2-1 scoreline for the home side is a plausible outcome, reflecting Osasuna's offensive edge at home.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Given the overall low-scoring nature of both teams and their tendency for goals to be spread out, it's less likely for both teams to score in the first half.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the historical low-scoring nature of both teams' matches (especially the high 'Under 2.5 goals' stats), it's highly probable that the combined Expected Goals (xG) for this match will also be under 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance: Osasuna or draw' (1X), and Osasuna's strong home form combined with Espanyol's struggles makes this a very safe pick.
Draw No Bet
Home
As Osasuna is predicted to win, backing them in a Draw No Bet market provides a safer option where the stake is returned if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Osasuna's strong home form and tendency to score in the latter part of the first half (33.33% of goals in 31-45 min) suggest they could lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Without specific corner statistics, a La Liga match between two competitive teams typically generates a fair number of corners. Over 9.5 is a standard benchmark for an active game.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
La Liga matches are often physical and competitive, leading to a high number of cards. Both Osasuna (78 yellow cards) and Espanyol (77 yellow cards) have accumulated a significant amount of bookings this season, making Over 3.5 cards a confident pick.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Given both teams' attacking averages (Osasuna 1.7 home goals, Espanyol 1.1 away goals) and the competitive nature of the league, a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Assuming a competitive match with both teams creating chances, a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is a reasonable expectation.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
La Liga matches are typically competitive and can be quite physical. A total of over 22.5 fouls is a common occurrence in such encounters.
Possession Winner
Home
As the home team and the slight favorite, Osasuna is expected to control more of the ball possession, especially against an away team in poor form.
Osasuna Clean Sheet
No
Osasuna has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 15 home games, while Espanyol has kept 5 clean sheets in 17 away games. Given Osasuna's strong home scoring record and Espanyol's ability to find the net away, neither team is highly likely to keep a clean sheet.
Espanyol Clean Sheet
No
Osasuna has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 15 home games, while Espanyol has kept 5 clean sheets in 17 away games. Given Osasuna's strong home scoring record and Espanyol's ability to find the net away, neither team is highly likely to keep a clean sheet.
Osasuna vs Espanyol โ Key Stats
Estadio El Sadar
Home Ground
4:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 17
Matchday kickoff
La Liga
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Osasuna vs Espanyol
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without live odds, it's hard to determine sharp money movement. However, given the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and '1X' double chance are statistically strong, these markets might attract sharp money. Line movement: Assuming initial lines would favor Osasuna, any significant movement towards a draw or Espanyol would indicate market uncertainty or specific news (e.g., injuries) not available in the data.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Osasuna vs Espanyol
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 16%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธLa Liga's inherent unpredictability, where upsets are common.
- โ ๏ธEspanyol's potential desperation to avoid relegation could lead to an unexpected performance.
- โ ๏ธOsasuna's recent form is not outstanding, despite their strong home record.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided.
Limitations
- โขLack of specific H2H match results to analyze recent trends between these two teams.
- โขAbsence of real-time odds data to identify potential value bets and market sentiment.
- โขNo injury or suspension reports, which can significantly impact match outcomes.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Osasuna vs Espanyol โ FAQ
Osasuna has a strong home record, with 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 losses in 15 home matches, scoring 26 goals and conceding 17.