MLSMLS

Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 19h 33m

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC

vs

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

23%
15%
62%
City SCDrawPhiladelphia Union

AI Pick: Philadelphia Union Win

Confidence: 58%

1X2: Philadelphia Union Win (58%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

This MLS Eastern Conference clash pits two struggling teams against each other. Orlando City SC, playing at home, is plagued by a leaky defense and numerous injuries. Philadelphia Union, while also in poor form, has a slightly better defensive record and is less impacted by key absences. The API-Sports prediction and overall comparison lean towards an away win or a draw. Given Orlando's defensive vulnerabilities, Philadelphia is tipped to secure a narrow victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Philadelphia Union Win

Predicted: 1-2

58%

Both Orlando City SC and Philadelphia Union are in very poor form, sitting at the bottom of the Eastern Conference. Orlando City has a particularly alarming defensive record, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per game this season (25 goals in 8 matches). While Philadelphia Union's attack is not prolific (0.8 goals per game), Orlando's porous defense presents an opportunity. The API-Sports prediction also suggests a 'Win or draw' for Philadelphia Union, with both a draw and an away win having a 45% chance. The overall API-Sports comparison slightly favors Philadelphia (54.0% vs 46.2%). Head-to-head records are evenly split over 30 games, but recent H2H matches have seen goals. Given Orlando's significant injury list, particularly in defense, and their overall poor defensive performance, Philadelphia Union is the slight favorite. The confidence is kept low due to Philadelphia's own struggles and the high probability of a draw.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.7

60%

Despite both teams having a low individual 'Over 2.5 Goals' rate this season (0 in 8 games for both), the head-to-head record shows 66.7% of matches between these two teams have gone Over 2.5 Goals. More importantly, Orlando City's defense has conceded an average of 3.1 goals per game this season, making high-scoring games more likely for them. Philadelphia Union also concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game. Given Orlando's defensive vulnerabilities, even a modest attacking performance from Philadelphia, combined with a potential goal from Orlando at home, should push the total over 2.5. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is also highly probable, with 75% of their H2H matches seeing both teams score.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Despite both teams having a low individual 'Over 2.5 Goals' rate this season (0 in 8 games for both), the head-to-head record shows 66.7% of matches between these two teams have gone Over 2.5 Goals. More importantly, Orlando City's defense has conceded an average of 3.1 goals per game this season, making high-scoring games more likely for them. Philadelphia Union also concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game. Given Orlando's defensive vulnerabilities, even a modest attacking performance from Philadelphia, combined with a potential goal from Orlando at home, should push the total over 2.5. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is also highly probable, with 75% of their H2H matches seeing both teams score.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

With Orlando City conceding an average of 3.1 goals per game and the H2H showing 83% of matches with Over 1.5 goals, it is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in this match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

60%

While Orlando's defense is poor, Philadelphia's attack is not particularly strong. The 'Over 2.5 Goals' is favored, but going beyond 3.5 goals might be a stretch given both teams' overall low scoring averages this season, despite the H2H trend for higher goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Orlando City has scored 6 goals and conceded 12 goals in the first half this season. Philadelphia Union has scored 1 goal and conceded 6 goals in the first half. The high number of goals conceded by Orlando in the first half makes it likely that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Away

60%

Orlando City's defensive frailties make them susceptible to conceding first. Philadelphia Union, despite their own form, is more likely to break the deadlock.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Given the expectation of at least 2-3 goals in the match and Orlando's tendency to concede throughout the game, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-2

15%

This score aligns with the prediction of an away win and the 'Over 2.5 Goals' market, while also acknowledging Orlando's ability to score at home and Philadelphia's generally lower scoring output.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While BTTS for the full match is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is less common, especially with both teams having struggled offensively this season.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

60%

Given Orlando's extremely high goals conceded average (3.1 per game), it suggests they allow many high-quality chances. Even if Philadelphia's attack isn't top-tier, the opportunities created against Orlando's defense should lead to a higher xG total for the match.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

75%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union', with both outcomes having a 45% chance. Given Orlando's poor form and defensive issues, avoiding a home loss (X2) is a strong pick.

Draw No Bet

Away

58%

With Philadelphia Union being the slight favorite according to API-Sports and overall comparison, and Orlando's significant defensive vulnerabilities, backing Philadelphia on a Draw No Bet market reduces risk while still favoring the away side.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

Given the even H2H record and both teams' struggles, a cautious first half leading to a draw at halftime is plausible. Philadelphia's slight edge and Orlando's defensive issues could then see the away team secure the win in the second half.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

MLS matches generally feature a decent number of corners. With both teams likely to push for goals despite their poor form, and Orlando's defense being vulnerable, attacking plays leading to corners are expected.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both teams have accumulated yellow cards this season. Orlando City has 19 yellow cards and 2 red cards in 8 games, while Philadelphia Union has 19 yellow cards and 2 red cards in 8 games. MLS matches can be competitive and physical, making Over 3.5 cards a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Given Orlando's defensive struggles, Philadelphia Union should be able to register a fair number of shots on target. Orlando, playing at home, will also aim to test the away goalkeeper. This is a standard average for an MLS match.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

With both teams looking to break their poor runs of form, and Orlando's defense being leaky, there should be ample opportunities for shots from both sides.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

MLS matches are often physical and competitive, leading to a higher number of fouls. This is a standard pick for many MLS games.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Home teams often tend to have a slight edge in possession, even when struggling. However, this is a low-confidence pick as there's no strong statistical indicator for this specific match.

Orlando City SC Clean Sheet

No

70%

Orlando City has failed to keep a single clean sheet in 8 matches this season, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per game. Therefore, a home clean sheet is highly unlikely. Philadelphia Union has only kept 1 clean sheet in 8 matches, and with Orlando playing at home, it's probable they will find the net, making an away clean sheet unlikely as well.

Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet

No

70%

Orlando City has failed to keep a single clean sheet in 8 matches this season, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per game. Therefore, a home clean sheet is highly unlikely. Philadelphia Union has only kept 1 clean sheet in 8 matches, and with Orlando playing at home, it's probable they will find the net, making an away clean sheet unlikely as well.

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union โ€” Key Stats

City SCStatPhiladelphia Union
8 Games Played8
1 Wins1
1 Draws1
6 Goals Scored6
25 Goals Concededโœ… 12
0.8 Goals Per Game0.8
0 Clean Sheetsโœ… 1
WLLDL โœ…Recent FormLLLWD

Betting Angles โ€” Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (odds not provided) Line movement: N/A (odds not provided)

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Philadelphia Union Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 20%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
7/10
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are in extremely poor form, making the outcome highly unpredictable.
  • โš ๏ธOrlando City's severe defensive weaknesses could lead to a high-scoring game, but Philadelphia's attack is not strong.
  • โš ๏ธThe high number of injuries for Orlando City could further destabilize their performance.
  • โš ๏ธThe historical H2H is balanced, and a draw is a very plausible outcome as indicated by API-Sports.

Model Confidence

60%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics, standings, H2H, and recent injury reports were available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time odds prevents value bet identification.
  • โ€ขPredicted lineups are based on recent information and may change before kickoff.
  • โ€ขThe conflicting 'Over 2.5 Goals' data between current season team stats and H2H statistics required careful interpretation.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union โ€” FAQ

Orlando City SC is in very poor form, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 8 MLS matches.