Premier LeagueCity GroundSunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 10h 8m

Nottingham Forest
vs

Newcastle
AI Pick: Newcastle Win
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Newcastle Win (โก65%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle is favored to win against Nottingham Forest, primarily due to their superior league standing and a historically dominant head-to-head record. Forest's home form, characterized by many draws and few wins, suggests they will be tough to break down but lack the firepower to secure a victory against a stronger opponent. A low-scoring affair is anticipated.
MATCH RESULT
Newcastle Win
Predicted: 1-2
โก65%
Newcastle, despite some recent inconsistencies, holds a superior league position and a dominant head-to-head record against Nottingham Forest. While Forest can be resilient at home, their overall home win rate is poor (3 wins in 16 games), and they struggle to score consistently. API-Sports prediction also leans towards a Newcastle win or draw, with Newcastle being the slight favorite in the overall comparison.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.2
60%
Both teams exhibit a tendency for lower-scoring games, with Nottingham Forest averaging 2.4 total goals per game and Newcastle 2.9. The 'under_over' statistics for both teams strongly suggest an Under 2.5 outcome. Forest has failed to score in over half of their home games, making BTTS 'No' a reasonable prediction.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both teams exhibit a tendency for lower-scoring games, with Nottingham Forest averaging 2.4 total goals per game and Newcastle 2.9. The 'under_over' statistics for both teams strongly suggest an Under 2.5 outcome. Forest has failed to score in over half of their home games, making BTTS 'No' a reasonable prediction.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While Under 2.5 goals is predicted, Over 1.5 goals is still highly probable, as a 1-2 scoreline would satisfy this market. Both teams' combined average goals per game are above 2.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Given the prediction of Under 2.5 goals and the historical scoring patterns of both teams, it is highly unlikely for the match to exceed 3.5 goals.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have a history of scoring and conceding in the first half, making at least one goal before halftime a common occurrence in the Premier League.
First Team to Score
Away
Newcastle is the favored team with a better overall attack, and Forest has a high rate of failing to score at home, making Newcastle more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
While a low-scoring game is expected, a 1-2 scoreline would mean goals in both halves. Both teams have shown capability to score in either half.
Most Likely Score
1-2
Based on Newcastle's attacking averages and Forest's defensive record, a 1-2 scoreline for Newcastle is a plausible outcome, aligning with the overall prediction of an away win and under 2.5 goals.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Given the overall prediction of BTTS 'No' and the tendency for fewer goals in the first half, it's less likely for both teams to score before the break.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Consistent with the prediction of Under 2.5 actual goals, the expected goals (xG) for the match are also anticipated to be below 2.5, reflecting a game with fewer high-quality chances.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
API-Sports explicitly advises a 'draw or Newcastle' outcome, with both results having a 45% chance according to their model. This aligns with Newcastle being the favored side.
Draw No Bet
Away
Given Newcastle is predicted to win, a Draw No Bet on the away side provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Many Premier League games are tight at halftime before a stronger team pulls ahead. Given Forest's resilience at home and Newcastle's ability to score later in games, a draw at halftime followed by a Newcastle win is a reasonable scenario.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Premier League matches generally feature a decent number of corners, and both teams will likely push for attacking opportunities, leading to deflections and clearances.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both teams average over 1.5 yellow cards per game, suggesting a combined total likely to exceed 3.5 in a competitive Premier League fixture.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While no specific data is provided, Premier League matches typically see a combined total of 8-10 shots on target. Both teams will aim for goal, making over 8.5 a plausible pick.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will be looking to create chances, and a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is typical for a Premier League fixture.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Premier League matches are often physical, and a competitive game between these two sides is likely to result in a higher number of fouls.
Possession Winner
Away
Newcastle, as the slightly stronger team, is more likely to control possession, even in an away fixture.
Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet
No
Nottingham Forest struggles to score at home, failing to do so in 9 of 16 home games. Newcastle, while not impenetrable, has a reasonable away clean sheet record (5 in 16 games) and is expected to win, implying they might keep Forest at bay.
Newcastle Clean Sheet
Yes
Nottingham Forest struggles to score at home, failing to do so in 9 of 16 home games. Newcastle, while not impenetrable, has a reasonable away clean sheet record (5 in 16 games) and is expected to win, implying they might keep Forest at bay.
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle โ Key Stats
City Ground
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Premier League
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data provided to assess sharp money movement. Line movement: N/A - No odds data provided to assess line movement.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธNottingham Forest's high home draw rate could lead to a shared points outcome.
- โ ๏ธNewcastle's away form is not consistently strong, despite their overall quality.
- โ ๏ธThe absence of current odds makes precise value betting difficult.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: The provided team statistics, standings, and API-Sports predictions are comprehensive and of good quality, forming a solid basis for analysis.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
- โขLack of specific player injury reports or lineup information.
- โขNo xG data provided for a deeper analytical dive.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle โ FAQ
A win for Newcastle is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a significant possibility.