Ligue 1Ligue 1Allianz Riviera

Friday, May 29, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC

Kickoff in 8d 22h 53m

Nice

Nice

vs

Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne

37%
35%
28%
NiceDrawSaint Etienne

AI Pick: Nice Win

Confidence: 37%

1X2: Nice Win (37%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Velobet

Get $5 Free Bet โ€” No Deposit Required

Bet Nice Win ยท AI confidence 37%

Accepts:
โ‚ฟฮžโ‚ฎล
Claim $5 Free Bet โ†’

18+ ยท Play Responsibly ยท Predictify Sports may earn commission ยท Affiliate disclosure

Nice vs Saint Etienne Prediction

Nice faces Saint Etienne at home in a Ligue 1 fixture. Despite Nice's struggles this season (16th place), they boast a historically dominant head-to-head record against Saint Etienne. The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with Nice leveraging their home advantage for a narrow victory.

AI-powered prediction

Nice host Saint Etienne at Allianz Riviera on Friday, part of the 2025 Ligue 1 season. Both sides' recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and current injury status are factored into the prediction below.

How they arrived here

Nice arrive having taken 4 draws and 1 defeat from their last five matches. They are currently 16th and in the relegation play-off spot.

Saint Etienne come in having taken 1 win from their last five matches.

MATCH RESULT

Nice Win

Predicted: 1-0

37%

Nice, despite their poor league form (16th in Ligue 1), holds a significant historical advantage over Saint Etienne in head-to-head encounters, winning 7 of the last 10. Playing at home, Nice will look to leverage this advantage. While Saint Etienne's current season data is extremely limited (1 win in 1 game), Nice's strong H2H record and home advantage (4 wins, 8 draws in 17 home games) make them the favorites. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Nice or draw' and a total comparison heavily favoring Nice (76.5% Home). Given Nice's overall low-scoring season (30 out of 34 games were Under 2.5 goals), a narrow victory is anticipated.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.0

60%

Nice's season statistics show a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. The API-Sports advice also points to 'Under 3.5 goals'. While historical H2H suggests higher scoring, Nice's current form indicates a tighter match. Predicting a 1-0 home win aligns with both Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, despite API-Sports comparison showing Nice's defense at 0% (which suggests they might concede). We prioritize Nice's overwhelming season trend for low-scoring matches.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Nice's season statistics show a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. The API-Sports advice also points to 'Under 3.5 goals'. While historical H2H suggests higher scoring, Nice's current form indicates a tighter match. Predicting a 1-0 home win aligns with both Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, despite API-Sports comparison showing Nice's defense at 0% (which suggests they might concede). We prioritize Nice's overwhelming season trend for low-scoring matches.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

65%

Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction and Nice's season trend of low-scoring matches, 'Under 1.5 goals' is a strong possibility, especially with a predicted 1-0 score.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

75%

The API-Sports advice explicitly suggests 'Under 3.5 goals', which is strongly supported by Nice's season statistics where 30 out of 34 games had fewer than 3.5 goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

70%

Nice scores or concedes a significant portion of their goals in the first half (around 48% for, 50% against). This suggests a high probability of at least one goal being scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

65%

As the favored home team, Nice is expected to open the scoring, especially given their historical dominance in this fixture.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

With a predicted low-scoring game (1-0) and Nice's tendency for tight matches, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-0

15%

A 1-0 scoreline is chosen to align with the overall prediction of a narrow home win and the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market, reflecting Nice's low-scoring tendencies this season.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

BTTS in the first half is a rare occurrence, especially in a match expected to be low-scoring and potentially cagey early on.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

55%

Given the prediction of a low-scoring 1-0 game and Nice's season trend for fewer goals, it's reasonable to expect the combined Expected Goals (xG) to be under 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

75%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly states 'Nice or draw', and Nice has a strong H2H record and home advantage. This market offers good coverage for the favored home side.

Draw No Bet

Home

65%

Nice is the favored side, and this market provides a safer option by voiding the bet if the match ends in a draw, aligning with the prediction of a home win.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

55%

Given Nice's struggles this season and tendency for draws at home, it's plausible they might not lead at halftime but secure the win in the second half. This reflects a cautious approach to their victory.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

55%

In the absence of specific corner statistics, 'Over 9.5 corners' is a standard pick for a competitive Ligue 1 match, assuming both teams will attack and defend actively.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

Nice averages over 2 yellow cards per game this season. Ligue 1 matches can be physical, and with Nice fighting for position and Saint Etienne looking to make an impact, a competitive game with at least 4 cards is expected.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

Without specific shot data, 'Over 8.5 shots on target' is a reasonable expectation for a Ligue 1 match, as both teams will aim to create scoring opportunities.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Without specific shot data, 'Over 22.5 total shots' is a reasonable estimate for a match where both teams will attempt to create chances.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

In the absence of specific foul data, 'Over 22.5 fouls' is a standard expectation for a competitive Ligue 1 match, where tactical fouling is common.

Possession Winner

Home

60%

As the home team, Nice is likely to control more of the ball, especially against a team with limited current season data.

Nice Clean Sheet

Yes

60%

Predicting a 1-0 scoreline for Nice implies a home clean sheet. While API-Sports comparison shows Nice's defense at 0%, their season stats show 6 clean sheets, and a narrow win against a team with limited data suggests they can hold out. Saint Etienne is expected to concede against the home side.

Saint Etienne Clean Sheet

No

60%

Predicting a 1-0 scoreline for Nice implies a home clean sheet. While API-Sports comparison shows Nice's defense at 0%, their season stats show 6 clean sheets, and a narrow win against a team with limited data suggests they can hold out. Saint Etienne is expected to concede against the home side.

Nice vs Saint Etienne โ€” Key Stats

NiceStatSaint Etienne
16th League Positionโœ… โ€”
32 โœ…Pointsโ€”
34 โœ…Games Played1
7 โœ…Wins1
11 Drawsโœ… 0
37 โœ…Goals Scored1
60 Goals Concededโœ… 0
1.1 โœ…Goals Per Game1.0
6 โœ…Clean Sheets1
DDDLD โœ…Recent FormW

These sides last met on 21 December 2025, when Nice won 2-1 at home in a narrow but lively win. Over the last 10 meetings, Nice hold a 6-2 edge, with 2 draws in between.

Nice vs Saint Etienne โ€” Recent Meetings

Dec 21, 2025Ligue 1

Nice 2-1 Saint Etienne

โœ… Yes

3 (Over)

Mar 1, 2025Ligue 1

Saint Etienne 1-3 Nice

โœ… Yes

4 (Over)

Sep 20, 2024Ligue 1

Nice 8-0 Saint Etienne

โŒ No

8 (Over)

May 11, 2022Ligue 1

Nice 4-2 Saint Etienne

โœ… Yes

6 (Over)

Sep 25, 2021Ligue 1

Saint Etienne 0-3 Nice

โŒ No

3 (Over)

BTTS: 3/5 (60%) ยท Over 2.5: 5/5 (100%)

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Allianz Riviera

Home Ground

โฐ

6:45 PM UTC

Friday, May 29

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Ligue 1

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Nice vs Saint Etienne

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A - No odds data available to determine sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to track line movement.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Nice vs Saint Etienne

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Nice Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 13%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธNice's poor current league form (DLDDD) despite H2H dominance.
  • โš ๏ธLimited data for Saint Etienne, making their current strength and potential impact hard to gauge.
  • โš ๏ธConflict between H2H high-scoring trend and Nice's current season low-scoring statistics.
  • โš ๏ธAPI-Sports 'Defense 0%' for Nice suggests they are likely to concede, which contradicts a 1-0 prediction.

Data Quality Score

60%

Data quality: Good for Nice (full season stats), but very limited for Saint Etienne (only 1 game). H2H data is comprehensive.

Limitations

  • โ€ขSaint Etienne's lack of comprehensive season data makes their true form and strength difficult to assess.
  • โ€ขContradiction between Nice's season-long low-scoring trend and historical H2H high-scoring matches.
  • โ€ขAPI-Sports 'Defense 0%' for Nice vs. prediction of a clean sheet.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Nice vs Saint Etienne โ€” FAQ

Nice's recent form is poor, with DLDDD (3 draws, 2 losses) in their last five league matches, indicating a struggle for wins.

Our soccer predictions weigh form, head-to-head record, home/away splits, league position, and current injury status across 16 leagues. Confidence is calibrated honestly โ€” a tight matchup stays 52-48 in our display rather than inflated. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Soccer Predictions hub.