Ligue 1Allianz RivieraFriday, May 29, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC
Kickoff in 8d 22h 53m

Nice
vs

Saint Etienne
AI Pick: Nice Win
Confidence: 37%
1X2: Nice Win (37%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No

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Nice vs Saint Etienne Prediction
Nice faces Saint Etienne at home in a Ligue 1 fixture. Despite Nice's struggles this season (16th place), they boast a historically dominant head-to-head record against Saint Etienne. The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with Nice leveraging their home advantage for a narrow victory.
Nice host Saint Etienne at Allianz Riviera on Friday, part of the 2025 Ligue 1 season. Both sides' recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and current injury status are factored into the prediction below.
How they arrived here
Nice arrive having taken 4 draws and 1 defeat from their last five matches. They are currently 16th and in the relegation play-off spot.
Saint Etienne come in having taken 1 win from their last five matches.
MATCH RESULT
Nice Win
Predicted: 1-0
37%
Nice, despite their poor league form (16th in Ligue 1), holds a significant historical advantage over Saint Etienne in head-to-head encounters, winning 7 of the last 10. Playing at home, Nice will look to leverage this advantage. While Saint Etienne's current season data is extremely limited (1 win in 1 game), Nice's strong H2H record and home advantage (4 wins, 8 draws in 17 home games) make them the favorites. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Nice or draw' and a total comparison heavily favoring Nice (76.5% Home). Given Nice's overall low-scoring season (30 out of 34 games were Under 2.5 goals), a narrow victory is anticipated.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.0
60%
Nice's season statistics show a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. The API-Sports advice also points to 'Under 3.5 goals'. While historical H2H suggests higher scoring, Nice's current form indicates a tighter match. Predicting a 1-0 home win aligns with both Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, despite API-Sports comparison showing Nice's defense at 0% (which suggests they might concede). We prioritize Nice's overwhelming season trend for low-scoring matches.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Nice's season statistics show a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 30 out of 34 matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. The API-Sports advice also points to 'Under 3.5 goals'. While historical H2H suggests higher scoring, Nice's current form indicates a tighter match. Predicting a 1-0 home win aligns with both Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, despite API-Sports comparison showing Nice's defense at 0% (which suggests they might concede). We prioritize Nice's overwhelming season trend for low-scoring matches.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Under 1.5
Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction and Nice's season trend of low-scoring matches, 'Under 1.5 goals' is a strong possibility, especially with a predicted 1-0 score.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
The API-Sports advice explicitly suggests 'Under 3.5 goals', which is strongly supported by Nice's season statistics where 30 out of 34 games had fewer than 3.5 goals.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Nice scores or concedes a significant portion of their goals in the first half (around 48% for, 50% against). This suggests a high probability of at least one goal being scored before halftime.
First Team to Score
Home
As the favored home team, Nice is expected to open the scoring, especially given their historical dominance in this fixture.
Goal in Both Halves
No
With a predicted low-scoring game (1-0) and Nice's tendency for tight matches, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves.
Most Likely Score
1-0
A 1-0 scoreline is chosen to align with the overall prediction of a narrow home win and the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market, reflecting Nice's low-scoring tendencies this season.
BTTS 1st Half
No
BTTS in the first half is a rare occurrence, especially in a match expected to be low-scoring and potentially cagey early on.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the prediction of a low-scoring 1-0 game and Nice's season trend for fewer goals, it's reasonable to expect the combined Expected Goals (xG) to be under 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
The API-Sports prediction explicitly states 'Nice or draw', and Nice has a strong H2H record and home advantage. This market offers good coverage for the favored home side.
Draw No Bet
Home
Nice is the favored side, and this market provides a safer option by voiding the bet if the match ends in a draw, aligning with the prediction of a home win.
HT/FT
Draw/Home
Given Nice's struggles this season and tendency for draws at home, it's plausible they might not lead at halftime but secure the win in the second half. This reflects a cautious approach to their victory.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
In the absence of specific corner statistics, 'Over 9.5 corners' is a standard pick for a competitive Ligue 1 match, assuming both teams will attack and defend actively.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Nice averages over 2 yellow cards per game this season. Ligue 1 matches can be physical, and with Nice fighting for position and Saint Etienne looking to make an impact, a competitive game with at least 4 cards is expected.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Without specific shot data, 'Over 8.5 shots on target' is a reasonable expectation for a Ligue 1 match, as both teams will aim to create scoring opportunities.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Without specific shot data, 'Over 22.5 total shots' is a reasonable estimate for a match where both teams will attempt to create chances.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
In the absence of specific foul data, 'Over 22.5 fouls' is a standard expectation for a competitive Ligue 1 match, where tactical fouling is common.
Possession Winner
Home
As the home team, Nice is likely to control more of the ball, especially against a team with limited current season data.
Nice Clean Sheet
Yes
Predicting a 1-0 scoreline for Nice implies a home clean sheet. While API-Sports comparison shows Nice's defense at 0%, their season stats show 6 clean sheets, and a narrow win against a team with limited data suggests they can hold out. Saint Etienne is expected to concede against the home side.
Saint Etienne Clean Sheet
No
Predicting a 1-0 scoreline for Nice implies a home clean sheet. While API-Sports comparison shows Nice's defense at 0%, their season stats show 6 clean sheets, and a narrow win against a team with limited data suggests they can hold out. Saint Etienne is expected to concede against the home side.
Nice vs Saint Etienne โ Key Stats
These sides last met on 21 December 2025, when Nice won 2-1 at home in a narrow but lively win. Over the last 10 meetings, Nice hold a 6-2 edge, with 2 draws in between.
Nice vs Saint Etienne โ Recent Meetings
Nice 2-1 Saint Etienne
โ Yes
3 (Over)
Saint Etienne 1-3 Nice
โ Yes
4 (Over)
Nice 8-0 Saint Etienne
โ No
8 (Over)
Nice 4-2 Saint Etienne
โ Yes
6 (Over)
Saint Etienne 0-3 Nice
โ No
3 (Over)
BTTS: 3/5 (60%) ยท Over 2.5: 5/5 (100%)
Allianz Riviera
Home Ground
6:45 PM UTC
Friday, May 29
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Nice vs Saint Etienne
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data available to determine sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to track line movement.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Nice vs Saint Etienne
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 13%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธNice's poor current league form (DLDDD) despite H2H dominance.
- โ ๏ธLimited data for Saint Etienne, making their current strength and potential impact hard to gauge.
- โ ๏ธConflict between H2H high-scoring trend and Nice's current season low-scoring statistics.
- โ ๏ธAPI-Sports 'Defense 0%' for Nice suggests they are likely to concede, which contradicts a 1-0 prediction.
Data Quality Score
60%
Data quality: Good for Nice (full season stats), but very limited for Saint Etienne (only 1 game). H2H data is comprehensive.
Limitations
- โขSaint Etienne's lack of comprehensive season data makes their true form and strength difficult to assess.
- โขContradiction between Nice's season-long low-scoring trend and historical H2H high-scoring matches.
- โขAPI-Sports 'Defense 0%' for Nice vs. prediction of a clean sheet.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Nice vs Saint Etienne โ FAQ
Nice's recent form is poor, with DLDDD (3 draws, 2 losses) in their last five league matches, indicating a struggle for wins.
Our soccer predictions weigh form, head-to-head record, home/away splits, league position, and current injury status across 16 leagues. Confidence is calibrated honestly โ a tight matchup stays 52-48 in our display rather than inflated. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Soccer Predictions hub.