Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

Both teams have an extremely high percentage of games with Under 1.5 goals (Newells 10/12, San Lorenzo 9/12). This is a very strong statistical indicator for a low-scoring match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

With both teams consistently playing in low-scoring matches (Newells 12/12, San Lorenzo 12/12 Under 3.5), it is highly improbable that this match will see four or more goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

While both teams are low-scoring overall, a single goal in the first half is a common occurrence in football. Newells have scored 3 first-half goals and conceded 8, while San Lorenzo have scored 2 and conceded 6. It's a marginal call, but 'Over 0.5' is slightly favored.

First Team to Score

Home

While San Lorenzo has a better overall attack, Newells will be pushing hard at home. Newells score 70% of their goals in the last 15 minutes, San Lorenzo 41.67%. It's a close call, but a slight edge to the home team to break the deadlock, possibly from a set-piece or a moment of individual brilliance.

Goal in Both Halves

No

Given the low-scoring nature of both teams and the expectation of a tight match, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves. Many goals for both teams come late in the second half.

Most Likely Score

1-1

Based on both teams' low scoring nature, San Lorenzo's strong away defense, and Newells' struggle to convert chances, a 1-1 draw is the most plausible exact score. It aligns with the BTTS 'Yes' and Under 2.5 goals predictions.

BTTS 1st Half

No

With both teams struggling to score consistently and prioritizing defense, especially in the early stages, it is highly improbable that both teams will score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

Without explicit xG data, the extremely low goal averages for both teams (Newells 0.8 GF, 1.9 GA; San Lorenzo 1.0 GF, 1.0 GA) strongly suggest that the quality of chances created (Expected Goals) will also be low, well under 2.5.

Double Chance

1X

Considering Newells' home advantage, even with their poor form, and San Lorenzo's tendency for draws away, a 'Home Win or Draw' (1X) offers good coverage. The predicted draw falls within this market.

Draw No Bet

Home

If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned. Given the home advantage for Newells and the tight nature of the game, backing the home side on a Draw No Bet market provides a safer option than an outright win, while still benefiting if Newells manage to edge it.

HT/FT

Draw/Draw

Given the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair, it's likely that the first half will also be level, leading to a Draw at Half Time and a Draw at Full Time, especially with a 1-1 final score prediction.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Under 9.5

In a tight, low-scoring match between two teams not known for high attacking output, the number of corners is likely to be below the average. Both teams will prioritize defensive solidity.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Argentinian Liga Profesional matches are often fiercely contested, leading to a higher number of fouls and cards. Newells average 2.25 yellow cards per game, and San Lorenzo average 2.5. A combined average easily pushes this over 3.5.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

Given the low goal-scoring averages and defensive approaches, especially from San Lorenzo away, a high volume of shots on target is unlikely. Both teams struggle to create clear-cut chances consistently.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

Low-scoring games often correlate with fewer overall shots, as teams may struggle to penetrate defenses or opt for more cautious build-up play. Neither team is known for a high volume of attacking attempts.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Argentinian league matches are typically physical and competitive, often resulting in a high number of fouls as teams battle for possession and territory. A tight match between two struggling sides will likely exacerbate this.

Possession Winner

Home

Playing at home, Newells Old Boys will likely try to assert some control over the game, even if their attacking output is low. San Lorenzo might be content to sit deeper and play on the counter, ceding some possession.

Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet

No

Newells have only kept 1 clean sheet in 12 games this season (1/6 at home). While San Lorenzo's away defense is strong (3 clean sheets in 6 away games), our score prediction of 1-1 suggests both teams will score, thus no clean sheets.

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet

No

Newells have only kept 1 clean sheet in 12 games this season (1/6 at home). While San Lorenzo's away defense is strong (3 clean sheets in 6 away games), our score prediction of 1-1 suggests both teams will score, thus no clean sheets.