Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With both teams averaging over 2.7 total goals per game in their respective home/away fixtures and a high BTTS probability, at least two goals are very likely to be scored.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While Over 2.5 is expected, the individual team stats for exceeding 2.5 goals in their own matches are low. A 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline is plausible, keeping the total under 3.5 goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams have a history of scoring and conceding in the first half. Newcastle has scored 21 and conceded 16 in the first half this season, while West Ham has scored 20 and conceded 23. This makes a goal in the first half highly probable.

First Team to Score

Away

West Ham's stronger recent form and higher percentage of goals scored in the early minutes (21.43% in 0-15 min) compared to Newcastle's early conceding tendency (4.17% in 0-15 min) suggest they are more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the expectation of Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, it's highly probable that goals will be distributed across both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

Considering West Ham's slightly better form and Newcastle's home scoring ability, a narrow 1-2 victory for the away side aligns with the overall prediction and goal market analysis.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While both teams are expected to score overall, BTTS in the first half is less common. Both teams have conceded a fair amount in the first half, but scoring for both within the first 45 minutes is a slightly riskier proposition.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Aligning with the prediction for Over 2.5 actual goals, the expected goals (xG) for this match are also likely to be above 2.5, reflecting the attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.

Double Chance

X2

API-Sports explicitly advises 'Draw or West Ham' (X2) with high probability. West Ham's better recent form and overall comparison stats support this pick.

Draw No Bet

Away

Based on the prediction of an away win for West Ham, the Draw No Bet market would favor West Ham, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

While West Ham is favored to win, Newcastle's home advantage could see them hold out for a draw at half-time before West Ham's better form and attacking prowess secure the win in the second half.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Premier League matches typically feature a high number of corners due to attacking play and defensive clearances. Both teams will be looking to create chances, leading to potential corner situations.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both teams have accumulated a significant number of yellow cards throughout the season (Newcastle 61, West Ham 60). Given the competitive nature of a Premier League fixture, a total of over 3.5 cards is a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

With both teams having decent attacking averages (Newcastle 1.4 GF/game, West Ham 1.2 GF/game) and a need to score, it's expected that they will register a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Both teams will be looking to attack and create opportunities. A combined total of over 22.5 shots (on target and off target) is a reasonable expectation for a Premier League fixture.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Premier League matches are often physical, leading to a high number of fouls. A competitive game between these two sides will likely see the foul count exceed 22.5.

Possession Winner

Home

While West Ham is in better form, the home team often tends to dominate possession, especially when playing at St. James' Park, even if they are struggling for results.

Newcastle Clean Sheet

No

Newcastle has only kept 3 clean sheets at home (17%), and West Ham has kept 4 clean sheets away (23%). Given the expectation of both teams scoring, neither is likely to keep a clean sheet.

West Ham Clean Sheet

No

Newcastle has only kept 3 clean sheets at home (17%), and West Ham has kept 4 clean sheets away (23%). Given the expectation of both teams scoring, neither is likely to keep a clean sheet.