MLSMLSSports Illustrated Stadium

Saturday, May 2, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 20h 55m

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

vs

FC Dallas

FC Dallas

16%
11%
73%
BullsDrawFC Dallas

AI Pick: FC Dallas Win

Confidence: 70%

1X2: FC Dallas Win (70%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas Prediction

This MLS fixture pits New York Red Bulls against FC Dallas. FC Dallas appears to be the stronger side based on current form, goal difference, and a particularly robust away defense. While NYRB will benefit from home advantage, Dallas's attacking threat and defensive solidity are expected to be decisive.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

FC Dallas Win

Predicted: 1-2

70%

FC Dallas enters this match with superior overall form (WDLDWW) and a better goal difference (+5) compared to New York Red Bulls (WWLDLW, GD -4). While NYRB has a decent home record (2W 0D 1L), their defense has been more vulnerable, conceding 1.7 goals per home game. FC Dallas, on the other hand, boasts a remarkably strong away defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, and a potent away attack averaging 2.0 goals. The API-Sports prediction also heavily favors an away win or draw. We expect FC Dallas to leverage their defensive solidity and attacking prowess to secure a narrow victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.0

60%

Both teams' matches have shown a tendency for goals. New York Red Bulls' home games average 3.33 total goals, and FC Dallas's overall games average 3.83 goals. While FC Dallas has a strong away defense, NYRB's home attack averages 1.7 goals, suggesting they are capable of scoring. FC Dallas's away attack averages 2.0 goals. This points to both teams finding the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Our predicted score of 1-2 aligns with both teams scoring and exceeding 2.5 goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams' matches have shown a tendency for goals. New York Red Bulls' home games average 3.33 total goals, and FC Dallas's overall games average 3.83 goals. While FC Dallas has a strong away defense, NYRB's home attack averages 1.7 goals, suggesting they are capable of scoring. FC Dallas's away attack averages 2.0 goals. This points to both teams finding the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Our predicted score of 1-2 aligns with both teams scoring and exceeding 2.5 goals.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

With our prediction of 'Over 2.5 Goals' and a 1-2 scoreline, it is highly probable that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

60%

While we predict Over 2.5 goals, a 1-2 scoreline results in exactly 3 goals, falling under the 3.5 goal mark. Dallas's strong away defense makes a very high-scoring game less likely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both teams have shown a propensity to score in the first half. FC Dallas has scored 7 goals in the first half across 6 games, and NYRB has scored 3. It's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Away

65%

FC Dallas has a more potent attack and better overall form, making them more likely to open the scoring against a somewhat vulnerable NYRB defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

With a predicted score of 1-2 and both teams having shown the ability to score in various periods, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

15%

This score aligns with our overall prediction of an FC Dallas win, with both teams scoring, reflecting NYRB's home scoring ability and Dallas's superior attack.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

While both teams can score, it's less common for both to find the net within the first 45 minutes, especially given Dallas's solid defense. A single goal in the first half is more probable than both teams scoring.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

65%

Given the high average total goals in both teams' recent matches and their attacking capabilities, the game is expected to generate a combined xG (expected goals) total exceeding 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

85%

FC Dallas is the stronger team in better form, and the API-Sports prediction gives them a combined 90% chance of winning or drawing. This makes 'Away Win or Draw' a highly confident pick.

Draw No Bet

Away

75%

Given our prediction for an FC Dallas win, backing them on a Draw No Bet market reduces risk, as the stake would be returned in case of a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

45%

We anticipate a tight first half, possibly ending in a draw, before FC Dallas's quality and attacking depth allow them to take control and secure the win in the second half.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

MLS matches often feature open play and attacking intent, leading to a good number of corners. Both teams have decent attacking averages, suggesting multiple attempts on goal and clearances for corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

New York Red Bulls average 1.67 yellow cards per game (plus 1 red in 6 games), while FC Dallas averages 2.0 yellow cards per game. The combined average of 3.67 yellow cards per game already suggests a high likelihood of exceeding 3.5 cards, especially in a competitive MLS fixture.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Given both teams' attacking averages (NYRB 1.5 GF/game, Dallas 2.3 GF/game) and the expectation of an open game, we anticipate a reasonable number of shots on target from both sides.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

With both teams having attacking capabilities and a predicted open game, we expect a decent volume of shots, both on and off target, contributing to an 'Over 22.5' total.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

MLS matches are often physical and competitive, leading to a higher number of fouls. This fixture between two teams vying for points is expected to be no different.

Possession Winner

Away

55%

FC Dallas, being the slightly stronger team and potentially playing with more control, is marginally more likely to dominate possession, especially if they take an early lead.

New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet

No

60%

While FC Dallas has a strong away defense, NYRB's home attack is capable of scoring (1.7 GF/game). Conversely, NYRB's home defense has conceded 1.7 goals per game, making it likely FC Dallas will score. Therefore, we predict neither team will keep a clean sheet.

FC Dallas Clean Sheet

No

60%

While FC Dallas has a strong away defense, NYRB's home attack is capable of scoring (1.7 GF/game). Conversely, NYRB's home defense has conceded 1.7 goals per game, making it likely FC Dallas will score. Therefore, we predict neither team will keep a clean sheet.

New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas Key Stats

BullsStatFC Dallas
League Position6th
Points11
6 Games Played6
3 Wins3
1 Draws2
9 Goals Scored14
13 Goals Conceded9
1.5 Goals Per Game2.3
1 Clean Sheets2
WLDLW Recent FormDLDWW
🏟️

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Home Ground

11:30 PM UTC

Saturday, May 2

Matchday kickoff

MLS

Soccer

Betting Angles New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas

⚠️ Match Result: FC Dallas to Win

Based on FC Dallas's stronger overall form, superior goal difference, and excellent away defensive record, our model assigns a higher probability to an away win than what hypothetical market odds might suggest. This indicates a potential value bet on FC Dallas to secure the victory.

💰 Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's difficult to track sharp money. However, based on the API-Sports prediction, any significant movement towards FC Dallas or a draw would align with expert sentiment. Line movement: Assuming initial lines might slightly underestimate FC Dallas's away strength, we would expect line movement to shorten odds for an FC Dallas win or the 'X2' double chance as kickoff approaches.

AI Same Game Parlay New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
FC Dallas Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 25%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️MLS unpredictability: The league is known for its competitive balance and unexpected results.
  • ⚠️Conflicting goal stats: While overall game averages suggest high scoring, individual BTTS and clean sheet records can be contradictory.
  • ⚠️Lack of H2H data: Absence of historical matchups means less insight into how these specific teams perform against each other.
  • ⚠️No odds provided: Without market odds, value bet calculations are based on hypothetical odds, which may not reflect actual market conditions.

Model Confidence

75%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings for the current season were provided, allowing for a data-driven analysis.

Limitations

  • Absence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • No real-time odds provided, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.
  • Lack of specific player injury reports, which could influence team strength.
  • MLS league inherent unpredictability.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas FAQ

We predict an away win for FC Dallas, with a likely score of 1-2.