MLSMLSGillette Stadium

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 55m

New England Revolution

New England Revolution

vs

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

51%
20%
29%
RevolutionDrawUnited FC

AI Pick: New England Revolution Win

Confidence: 47%

1X2: New England Revolution Win (47%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

New England Revolution is strongly favored to win this MLS encounter against Minnesota United FC. Their perfect home record, coupled with a potent attack and solid defense at Gillette Stadium, sets them up for success. Minnesota's defensive injuries are a significant concern, likely exacerbating their existing away defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head history also supports a New England victory and suggests a high-scoring game.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

New England Revolution Win

Predicted: 3-1

47%

New England Revolution boasts an impeccable home record this season, with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring an impressive 12 goals and conceding only 2. Their recent form, as per standings, is WWWWL, indicating strong momentum. Minnesota United FC, while having a good overall record (WWWWD in standings), has shown defensive vulnerabilities away from home, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Crucially, Minnesota is also dealing with significant defensive injuries, with key players like Michael Boxall, Julian Gressel, and Carlos Harvey listed as out. The head-to-head record also favors New England (3 wins to 1 in the last 5 meetings), with a high propensity for goals (80% over 2.5 goals and 100% BTTS in the last 5 H2H matches). The API-Sports prediction also strongly advises a New England Revolution win. Despite MLS's inherent unpredictability and Minnesota's decent away scoring, New England's dominant home form and Minnesota's defensive injury woes make the home win the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.5

60%

New England Revolution averages 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded in their home matches. Minnesota United FC averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded in their away matches. The combined offensive and defensive statistics for their respective home/away splits suggest a high-scoring affair. Furthermore, the head-to-head history shows that 80% of the last 5 meetings between these teams have seen over 2.5 goals, and 100% have seen both teams score. Minnesota's defensive injuries are likely to contribute to a higher goal count.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

New England Revolution averages 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded in their home matches. Minnesota United FC averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded in their away matches. The combined offensive and defensive statistics for their respective home/away splits suggest a high-scoring affair. Furthermore, the head-to-head history shows that 80% of the last 5 meetings between these teams have seen over 2.5 goals, and 100% have seen both teams score. Minnesota's defensive injuries are likely to contribute to a higher goal count.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

Given the high-scoring nature of New England's home games (3.5 total goals per game) and Minnesota's away games (3.5 total goals per game), along with the H2H trend of 100% over 1.5 goals in the last 5 meetings, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very confident pick.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

55%

New England's home matches average 3.5 total goals, and Minnesota's away matches also average 3.5 total goals. While the overall 'under_over' stats for both teams lean towards under 2.5, the specific home/away splits and H2H data (80% over 2.5) suggest that 'Over 3.5 Goals' is a plausible, albeit less certain, outcome.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

35%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. New England has scored 3 goals in the 31-45 minute range (18.75% of total goals), while Minnesota has scored 4 goals in the same period (36.36% of total goals). This indicates a high probability of at least one goal before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

47%

New England Revolution's strong home attack and Minnesota's defensive struggles, exacerbated by injuries, make the home team the most likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

47%

With both teams showing attacking capabilities and a high expectation of total goals, it's likely that goals will be scored in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

3-1

20%

Based on New England's home scoring average (3.0 GF) and Minnesota's away conceding average (2.2 GA), coupled with Minnesota's away scoring (1.3 GF), a 3-1 scoreline for the home team is a plausible outcome that reflects the expected attacking dominance of New England and Minnesota's ability to find the net.

BTTS 1st Half

No

46%

While BTTS is expected for the full match, New England's strong home defense (0.5 GA per game) makes it less likely for Minnesota to score in the first half, especially against a well-organized home side.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

46%

Aligning with the prediction for 'Over 2.5 Goals', the expected goals (xG) for this match are also likely to be above 2.5, reflecting the offensive capabilities of New England at home and the defensive vulnerabilities of Minnesota.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

New England Revolution has a perfect home record this season (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses). Given their dominant home form and Minnesota's defensive issues, a home win or draw (1X) is a highly confident pick.

Draw No Bet

Home

35%

With New England Revolution being strong favorites at home and having a perfect home record, backing them on a 'Draw No Bet' market provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Home/Home

46%

New England Revolution's strong home form and attacking prowess suggest they are capable of taking an early lead and maintaining it. While MLS can be unpredictable, their overall dominance at home makes a 'Home/Home' result a strong possibility.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

MLS matches typically feature a moderate to high number of corners. Without specific team corner statistics, 'Over 9.5' is a reasonable general pick for an attacking home team and a team that concedes away.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

MLS games are often competitive and can lead to a fair number of fouls and cards. Both teams have shown moderate yellow card accumulation in their season stats, making 'Over 3.5' cards a likely outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Given New England's strong home attack (3.0 goals per game) and Minnesota's ability to score away (1.3 goals per game), both teams are expected to create scoring opportunities. 'Over 8.5 shots on target' is a reasonable expectation for an MLS match with attacking intent.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Given the attacking nature of New England at home and Minnesota's ability to create chances, a combined total of over 22.5 shots in the match is a reasonable expectation.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

MLS matches are often physical, and a competitive game between two teams in good form is likely to see a fair number of fouls. 'Over 22.5' is a standard expectation for total fouls in such a league.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

While possession can vary, the home team often has a slight advantage in controlling the tempo and possession of the ball, especially a dominant home side like New England Revolution.

New England Revolution Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

New England Revolution has an excellent home defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game at Gillette Stadium and recording 2 clean sheets in 4 home matches. Conversely, Minnesota United FC's away defense is weak, conceding 2.2 goals per game, and they are missing several key defensive players due to injury. Therefore, a home clean sheet is more likely than an away clean sheet.

Minnesota United FC Clean Sheet

No

47%

New England Revolution has an excellent home defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game at Gillette Stadium and recording 2 clean sheets in 4 home matches. Conversely, Minnesota United FC's away defense is weak, conceding 2.2 goals per game, and they are missing several key defensive players due to injury. Therefore, a home clean sheet is more likely than an away clean sheet.

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC โ€” Key Stats

RevolutionStatUnited FC
โ€” League Positionโœ… 4th
โ€” Pointsโœ… 17
8 Games Playedโœ… 9
5 Wins5
0 โœ…Draws2
16 โœ…Goals Scored11
11 โœ…Goals Conceded13
2.0 โœ…Goals Per Game1.2
2 Clean Sheetsโœ… 4
LWWWW โœ…Recent FormDWWWW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Gillette Stadium

Home Ground

โฐ

11:30 PM UTC

Saturday, May 16

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

MLS

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (No odds provided to analyze sharp money movement). Line movement: N/A (No odds provided to analyze line movement).

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
New England Revolution Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธMLS matches can be unpredictable, and upsets are not uncommon.
  • โš ๏ธMinnesota United FC's strong overall form could lead to a more competitive match than anticipated, despite their injuries.
  • โš ๏ธNew England's midfield injuries could impact their ability to control the game if Minnesota capitalizes.

Model Confidence

โšก78%

Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics, standings, H2H, and recent news/injury reports were available and consistent across multiple sources.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of real-time betting odds to identify market sentiment and potential value bets.
  • โ€ขSpecific starting lineups for the match date are not yet available, which could slightly alter tactical approaches.
  • โ€ขMLS's inherent unpredictability can always lead to unexpected results, despite strong statistical indicators.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC โ€” FAQ

New England Revolution has an excellent home record this season, with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses in their 4 home matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2.