Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With both teams expected to score and Chivas's strong attack, at least two goals in the match are highly probable. Our predicted score of 1-2 easily covers this market.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While we expect goals, a high-scoring thriller with 4 or more goals is less common for these teams. Both Necaxa and Chivas have a low percentage of games going over 3.5 goals (10% and 12.5% respectively). A 1-2 or 1-1 scoreline is more likely than a 2-2 or 3-1.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Chivas has scored 13.79% of their goals in 0-15 min and 25.86% in 31-45 min. Necaxa has conceded 34.62% of their goals in 31-45 min. A goal before halftime is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Away

Guadalajara Chivas is the more dominant attacking side and the league leader. They are more likely to open the scoring against a less formidable Necaxa defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the offensive capabilities of Chivas and Necaxa's tendency to concede, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves. Chivas scores significantly in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute segments, while Necaxa also has goals spread across halves.

Most Likely Score

1-2

This score aligns with Chivas's offensive strength and Necaxa's ability to score at home, while still reflecting Chivas's overall superiority. It's a common scoreline for a stronger away team winning against a mid-table home side.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While a first-half goal is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is a less frequent occurrence. Necaxa's scoring is more spread out, and Chivas's defense is relatively solid in the first half (conceding only 10.53% in 31-45 min).

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Based on the expected goal output (Chivas 1.8 avg, Necaxa 1.3 avg) and the expectation of an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides, the combined Expected Goals (xG) for the match is likely to exceed 2.5.

Double Chance

X2

Guadalajara Chivas is the league leader and in excellent form. Even if Necaxa manages to hold them to a draw at home, a Chivas loss is highly improbable given their current standing and performance. This is a very safe bet.

Draw No Bet

Away

Given Chivas's superior form and league position, they are the clear favorites. The Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making 'Away' a strong pick with good confidence.

HT/FT

Away/Away

Chivas has a strong offensive output, particularly in the later stages of the first half (25.86% of goals in 31-45 min). Necaxa concedes heavily in the 31-45 minute segment (34.62% of goals). This suggests Chivas could take a lead into halftime and maintain it for the full-time win.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Liga MX matches often feature a decent number of corners due to attacking play and defensive clearances. With Chivas pushing for a win and Necaxa defending and looking for counter-attacks, an active game with several corner opportunities is expected.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both Necaxa (73 yellow cards, 6 red cards in 30 games) and Chivas (71 yellow cards, 3 red cards in 32 games) accumulate a significant number of cards. Liga MX matches can be competitive and physical, making over 3.5 cards a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Chivas, as the stronger attacking side, will likely register a good number of shots on target. Necaxa, playing at home, will also look to test the Chivas goalkeeper. This should lead to a combined total exceeding 8.5 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Chivas will be looking to dominate and create many chances, while Necaxa will also attempt shots, especially at home. An active game with both teams taking shots should push the total over 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Liga MX matches are often characterized by a competitive and sometimes physical style of play, leading to a higher number of fouls. This fixture between a top team and a mid-table team could be feisty.

Possession Winner

Away

As the stronger team and league leader, Guadalajara Chivas is expected to control the tempo of the game and dominate possession against Necaxa, especially when playing away and looking to dictate play.

Necaxa Clean Sheet

No

Necaxa has only 2 home clean sheets in 15 games, and Chivas is a potent attacking force. Chivas has 3 away clean sheets in 16 games, but Necaxa scores 1.3 goals per home game. It's unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.

Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet

No

Necaxa has only 2 home clean sheets in 15 games, and Chivas is a potent attacking force. Chivas has 3 away clean sheets in 16 games, but Necaxa scores 1.3 goals per home game. It's unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.