MLSMLSGeodis Park

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 20d 22h 2m

Nashville SC

Nashville SC

vs

DC United

DC United

82%
7%
11%
Nashville SCDrawDC United

AI Pick: Nashville SC Win

Confidence: 80%

1X2: Nashville SC Win (โšก80%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Nashville SC vs DC United Prediction

Nashville SC is heavily favored to win this MLS encounter against DC United. Their dominant home form, superior league position, prolific attack, and solid defense, coupled with DC United's poor form, weak offense, and significant injury concerns, create a strong case for a home victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Nashville SC Win

Predicted: 3-0

โšก80%

Nashville SC enters this match as the clear favorite, boasting an excellent start to the 2026 MLS season, sitting 1st in the Eastern Conference with a 5W-1L-1D record. Their home form is perfect, with 3 wins from 3 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2. In contrast, DC United is struggling, placed 9th in the Eastern Conference with a poor 2W-1D-4L record. Their attack is particularly weak, having scored only 4 goals in 7 matches, and their leading scorer, Tai Baribo, is questionable due to injury. The head-to-head record also heavily favors Nashville SC, with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in 12 direct encounters. All API-Sports comparison metrics (Form, Attack, Defense, H2H, Poisson) overwhelmingly point towards a Nashville SC victory. Given Nashville's dominant home advantage, superior form, strong offensive output, and DC United's significant injury concerns and poor scoring record, a comfortable home win is highly anticipated.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.5

60%

Nashville SC's home matches have seen a high number of goals, with an average of 4.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The head-to-head average for these two teams is 3.25 goals per match. DC United's defense has been leaky, conceding 9 goals in 7 matches. Given Nashville's potent attack and DC's defensive vulnerabilities, 'Over 2.5 Goals' is a strong prediction. For 'Both Teams To Score', DC United has failed to score in 3 of their 4 away matches and their leading scorer is injured, while Nashville has a solid home defense. Therefore, 'No' for BTTS is the more probable outcome.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Nashville SC's home matches have seen a high number of goals, with an average of 4.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The head-to-head average for these two teams is 3.25 goals per match. DC United's defense has been leaky, conceding 9 goals in 7 matches. Given Nashville's potent attack and DC's defensive vulnerabilities, 'Over 2.5 Goals' is a strong prediction. For 'Both Teams To Score', DC United has failed to score in 3 of their 4 away matches and their leading scorer is injured, while Nashville has a solid home defense. Therefore, 'No' for BTTS is the more probable outcome.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

Nashville SC's home matches are high-scoring, and they alone average 4.0 goals per home game. It is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in this match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

60%

While Nashville SC has a high scoring average at home, DC United's extremely low scoring output (0.6 total average, 0.5 away average) might temper the total goals. While Nashville could score 3 or 4, it's less likely DC contributes, making 'Under 3.5 Goals' a slightly more cautious but reasonable pick than 'Over 3.5' given the opponent's weakness.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Nashville SC has a tendency to score early, with 20% of their goals coming in the first 15 minutes and another 20% between 16-30 minutes. Given their offensive strength and home advantage, it's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored in the first half.

First Team to Score

Home

75%

Nashville SC's strong offensive start to matches and DC United's struggles to find the net, especially away from home, make Nashville SC the overwhelming favorite to score the first goal.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Given Nashville SC's attacking prowess and tendency to score throughout the game, it is reasonable to expect goals in both halves. Even if DC United doesn't score, Nashville is capable of scoring multiple goals across both halves.

Most Likely Score

3-0

60%

Nashville SC averages 4.0 goals per game at home and has a strong defense. DC United struggles to score, averaging 0.5 goals away and having failed to score in 3 of 4 away games. A 3-0 victory for Nashville reflects their offensive power and defensive solidity against a struggling opponent.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

DC United's offensive struggles are pronounced, and it's unlikely they will score in the first half against a strong Nashville defense. Nashville might score, but both teams scoring in the first half is improbable.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

70%

Nashville SC's high goal-scoring rate at home and DC United's defensive vulnerabilities suggest that the quality of chances created (Expected Goals) in this match will be high, likely exceeding 2.5 xG for the combined teams.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Nashville SC's perfect home record (3 wins in 3) and overall strong form (1st in conference) make a loss at home highly improbable. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Win or Draw' for Nashville SC with 50% home win and 50% draw probability. This is a very safe pick.

Draw No Bet

Home

85%

Given Nashville SC's dominant form, particularly at home, and DC United's struggles, Nashville SC is heavily favored to win. The draw no bet market provides security in case of an unlikely draw, but a straight home win is the most probable outcome.

HT/FT

Home/Home

70%

Nashville SC is expected to start strong and dominate the match from the outset, especially at home. Their ability to score early combined with DC United's weak attack suggests Nashville will likely be leading at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

MLS matches typically see a moderate to high number of corners. With Nashville SC expected to dominate possession and attack frequently at home, they will likely generate many corners. DC United, even in a losing effort, managed 17 total shots in their last game, suggesting they can also contribute to the corner count if they press.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

MLS matches can often be competitive and physical, leading to a fair number of cards. Both teams have accumulated yellow cards in previous matches this season. Nashville SC has 14 yellow cards and 1 red card in 7 games, while DC United has 10 yellow cards in 7 games. This suggests a likelihood of at least 4 cards in the match.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

65%

Nashville SC's strong attack at home will likely result in numerous shots on target. DC United, despite their struggles, registered 17 total shots in their last match, indicating they can create opportunities, even if they don't convert. The combined offensive efforts should push the total shots on target over 8.5.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

DC United managed 17 shots in their last match despite losing 1-0. Nashville SC, as the dominant home team, will also generate a significant number of shots. The combined efforts should comfortably exceed 22.5 total shots.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

MLS matches often feature a decent number of fouls due to the competitive nature of the league. This is a standard line for MLS and a reasonable expectation for a match where one team is dominating and the other is trying to disrupt play.

Possession Winner

Home

70%

As the stronger team playing at home, Nashville SC is expected to control the tempo of the game and dominate possession against a struggling DC United side.

Nashville SC Clean Sheet

Yes

70%

Nashville SC has a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 2 goals in 3 matches. DC United's attack is weak, having failed to score in 3 of their 4 away games, and their leading scorer is currently injured. This makes a home clean sheet highly likely.

DC United Clean Sheet

No

70%

Nashville SC has a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 2 goals in 3 matches. DC United's attack is weak, having failed to score in 3 of their 4 away games, and their leading scorer is currently injured. This makes a home clean sheet highly likely.

Nashville SC vs DC United โ€” Key Stats

Nashville SCStatDC United
7 Games Played7
5 โœ…Wins2
1 Draws1
15 โœ…Goals Scored4
4 โœ…Goals Conceded9
2.1 โœ…Goals Per Game0.6
3 โœ…Clean Sheets2
WWWLW โœ…Recent FormLWDLL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Geodis Park

Home Ground

โฐ

1:00 AM UTC

Sunday, May 10

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

MLS

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Nashville SC vs DC United

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Given the clear statistical advantage and form, sharp money would likely be on Nashville SC to win, potentially with a handicap. Line movement: If odds become available, expect the line to move further in favor of Nashville SC as kickoff approaches, reflecting public and professional confidence.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Nashville SC vs DC United

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Nashville SC Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 28%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
2/10
  • โš ๏ธUnforeseen tactical changes by DC United's coach that disrupt Nashville's rhythm.
  • โš ๏ธNashville SC underperforming despite their strong form.
  • โš ๏ธIndividual errors leading to unexpected goals for DC United.
  • โš ๏ธTai Baribo making a surprise return and significantly impacting DC United's attack.

Model Confidence

โšก85%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics, standings, H2H data, and recent news/injury reports were available and consistent.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of real-time odds for value bet analysis.
  • โ€ขExact lineup announcements for the match day are not yet available, only recent injury statuses.
  • โ€ขSpecific tactical approaches for this particular match are not detailed in the provided data.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Nashville SC vs DC United โ€” FAQ

Nashville SC has a perfect home record this season, winning all 3 of their matches at Geodis Park.